Simply The Best Review

First of all, let me apologise for the later than originally intended final review of this system. One of the reasons for this was that I wanted to undertake an additional and final 7 day off page review of the system.

System Claims

The author (Bernard Hibbert) has “researched” (back-fitted) this system over the past 2 National Hunt seasons:

Total Qualifiers = 532

Winners = 199

Strike Rate = 37.5%

Profit to SP = 753 points

ROI = 142%

Mode of Operation

The system itself is very simple to operate and has no special requirements so your favourite newspaper or an online service (Racing Post or Sporting Life) should be sufficient to identify potential qualifiers. The system is only to be used during the main National Hunt season (November to April inclusive) at specified UK courses.  The system is based on trainers and/or jockey combinations at these specified courses.

System Results – 1st November to 30th November 2009

Total Qualifiers = 46

Winners = 9

Second = 7

Third = 2

Non-runners = 1

Unplaced = 27

Strike Rate = 20%

Total Stakes = £ 450.00

Total Return = £ 322.34

Loss to SP = - 12.766 points (- £ 127.66)

Summary

The system costs £95 (apparently the “standard” price for a Sportsworld system these days) for a 5 page document.  During the review period the performance of the system was poor.

Whilst a review of  a month is probably the minimum period for basing a firm judgement on a particular system, I would be happy at this stage to give the system the thumbs down. Back-fitted systems are fine if they stand the test of time however, one of the prime stumbling blocks for this type of system is that “success” in the past is no guarantee of success in the future. This system would appear to be yet another example of this.

Stop Press – additional review (1st – 6th December 2009)

Total Qualifiers = 18

Winners = 4

Second = 2

Third = 3

Unplaced = 9

Strike Rate = 22.22%

Total Stakes = £ 180.00

Total Return = £ 217.50

Profit to SP = 3.75 points (£ 37.50)

A profit in the mini review but not enough in terms of strike rate for me to change my original opinion. If you have already purchased the system then could I suggest you paper trade for a while for signs of improvement/increased strike rate before you commit further cash to the bookies’ satchels.

Happy punting

John