Sat TV Trends – 28th Dec 2013

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ChepHorse racing trends expert Andy Newton is on hand with all the key stats for the LIVE C4 races at Chepstow and Newbury this Saturday – including the Coral Welsh National……

 

Newbury (C4/ATR)

1.15 – Betfred Mandarin Handicap Chase Cl3 3m2f110y CH4

Only 2 previous running
2/2 – Trained by Charlie Longsdon 2/2 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
2/2 – Carried 11-2 or more
2/2 – Aged between 6-8 years-old
Trainer Mark Bradstock has a 33% record with his chasers at the track – SUPER VILLAN
Paul Nicholls has a 26% record with his chasers at the course

 

1.45 – Betfred Goals Galore Challow Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m5f CH4

11/11 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
11/11 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
11/11 – Placed in the top three last time out
11/11 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
10/11 – Aged 6 or younger
10/11 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/11 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
9/11 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Placed favourites
8/11 – Won last time out
7/11 – Irish bred
6/11 – Went onto finish in the top 3 in a novice hurdle race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
6/11 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/11 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/11 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
4/11 – Ridden by AP McCoy
2/11 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
1/11 – Went onto win a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (Wichita Lineman 2007)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4

Note: The 2005 renewal was run in Jan 2006 at Cheltenham

 

1.30 – Coral Spin Casino For iPad Handicap Hurdle Cl2 3m CH4

11/11 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
9/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
9/11 – Won between 1-3 times before over hurdles
8/11 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
8/11 – Rated 120 or less
8/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Carried between 11-2 and 11-9
7/11 – Irish bred
7/11 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/11 – Had won over 3m before
5/11 – Raced at Chepstow before
4/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
1/11 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 11 runnings is 9/1

Note: The 2011 running was a dead-heat

2.00 – coral.co.uk Future Champions Finale Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 1) Cl1 2m110y CH4

9/9 – Had won between 0-2 times before
9/9 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
8/9 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
8/9 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
5/9 – French bred
4/9 – Won last time out
3/9 – Had run at the track before
3/9 – Ran at Newbury last time out
2/9 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by Alan King
The average winning SP in the last 11 runnings is 9/1

2.35 – Coral Welsh Grand National (A Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f110y CH4

11/11 – Aged 9 or younger 1
1/11 – Had won between 1-5 chase races before
11/11 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
11/11 – Had won over at least 3m before (fences)
10/11 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
9/11 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
9/11 – Aged 8 or younger
8/11 – Carried 10-8 or less in weight
8/11 – Had won just 2 or 3 times before over fences
7/11 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – Had won over fences at Chepstow before
5/11 – French bred
5/11 – Unplaced favourites
5/11 – Won last time out
5/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Had run in the Welsh National before
3/11 – Ran at Chepstow last time out
2/11 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
1/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 11 years is 10/1

3.10 – coral.co.uk Money Back If Your Horse Falls Handicap Chase Cl2 2m3f110y CH4

9/10 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Had won between 2-3 times (fences) before
9/10 – Either French (5) or Irish (4)
8/10 – Had won over 2 ½ miles (fences) before
8/10 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
7/10 – Aged 7 or younger
7/10 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
6/10 – Came in the first three last time out
5/10 – Had run at Chepstow last time out
4/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/10  – Ridden by Noel Fehily
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

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2 Responses to Sat TV Trends – 28th Dec 2013

  1. really like stats been lookin for about 5 weeks now had some good priced winners and forecasts last week 12 to 1 winner and 8 to 1 second

    wanty5
    December 28, 2013 at 12:29 pm
    Reply

  2. Hello Andy….I know Mountainous was well tipped up…but the horse rated very well using your trends and was key in me backing it…..thank you!

    dolphin68
    December 29, 2013 at 11:19 am
    Reply

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