Sat TV Trends: 5th Jan 2013

The Welsh National Takes Centre Stage

A huge day of LIVE C4 action this Saturday from Sandown, Wincanton and Chepstow, that includes the Welsh National……

Chepstow (ATR/C4)

1.35 – coral.co.uk Future Champions Finale Juvenile Hurdle Grade 1 (CLASS 1) (4yo) CH4 2m110y

10/10 – Won over at least 2m1f (hurdles) before
10/10 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
9/10 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Had won between 0-2 times over hurdles in the UK before
9/10 – Finished either 1^st or 2^nd last time out
7/10 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/10 – Winners that went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season
6/10 – Placed favourites
6/10 – Ran at either Cheltenham (3) or Newbury (3) last time out
5/10 – French bred
5/10 – Winners that went onto run in the Triumph Hurdle (no winners) that season
4/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Trained by Alan King
2/10 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/10 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1

3.20 – Coral Welsh National Handicap Chase Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (5yo+) CH4 3m5f110y

10/10 – Won over at least 3m previously (fences)
10/10 – Won between 1-5 chase races previously
10/10 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
10/10 – Had run within the last 7 weeks
9/10 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
8/10 – Won by a horse aged 8 or younger
8/10 – Carried 11-0 or less
7/10 – Won 2 or 3 times previously over fences
7/10 – Carried 10-8 or less
6/10 – Priced at 10/1 or shorter
6/10 – Won a chase race at Chepstow previously
5/10 – Favourites unplaced
5/10 – Won by a French bred horse
4/10 – Won their last race
4/10 – Won by an Irish bred horse
4/10 – Raced in the Welsh National previously
3/10 – Raced at Chepstow last time out
2/10 – Won by Paul Nicholls stable
2/10 – Won by the Jonjo O’Neill stable
1/10 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/1

Wincanton (RUK/C4)

2.05 – Bathwick Tyres Poole Handicap Hurdle (CLASS 3) (4yo+ 0-135) CH4 2m4f

2 previous runnings
2/2 – Returned a double-figure price
2/2 – Unplaced last time out
2/2 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
2/2 – Raced within the last 2 months
2/2 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 2 runnings is 13.5/1

2.40 – Bathwick Tyres Handicap Chase (CLASS 2) (5yo+ 0-145) CH4 2m5f

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Carried 10-13 or more
6/6 – Winning distance – 3 lengths of more
5/6 – Raced within the last 2 months
5/6 – Placed favourites
5/6 – Had never raced at Wincanton before
4/6 – Irish bred
4/6 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
4/6 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
4/6 – Had won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
4/6 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
3/6 – Top 3 in the betting
3/6 – Had won just once before over fences
2/6 – Winning favourites
2/6 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
1/6 – Won last time out
Consigliere (David Pipe) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 13/2

Sandown (RUK/C4)

1.50 – 32Red Casino Handicap Chase (CLASS 2) (5yo+) CH4 2m

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Had won over at least 2m (chase) before
6/7 – Had never raced at Sandown before
6/7 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
6/7 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
6/7 – Had raced within the last 2 months
6/7 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
5/7 – Irish bred
5/7 – Placed favourites
5/7 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/7 – Officially rated 135 or higher
5/7 – Carried 11-0 or more
4/7 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences in the UK before
4/7 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase at the Cheltenham Festival
4/7 – Finished unplaced last time out
3/7 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/7 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
2/7 – Went onto win a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (Champion Chase, Grand Annual)
1/7 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 6/1

2.25 – 32Red Hurdle Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Tolworth Hurdle Race) Grade 1 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4 2m110y

9/9 – Won over at least 2m (hurdles) previously
9/9 – Placed 1^st or 2^nd in their last race
8/9 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
8/9 – Priced  5/1 or shorter
8/9 – Won by a horse aged either 5 or 6 years-old
7/9 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
7/9 – Favourites placed
7/9 – Came from the top three in the market
6/9 – Won their latest race
6/9 – Winners that run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
5/9 – Won by a horse aged 5 years-old
5/9 – Won by an Irish bred horse
4/9 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
4/9 – Favourites that won
4/9 – Raced at either Sandown (2) or Newbury (2) last time out
2/9 – Had raced at Sandown previously
2/9 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
2/9 – Won by the Jonjo O’Neill stable
2/9 – Ridden by jockey Ruby Walsh
2/9 – Ridden by jockey Timmy Murphy
2/9 – Ridden by jockey Barry Geraghty
1/9 – Won the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle later that season (Noland 2006)
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/3
5 or 6 years-old have won 16 of the last 21 runnings
Since 1988 ALL winners have been aged 7 or younger

Note: 2002 – Running staged at Warwick
2003 – Running staged at Wincanton

3.00 –32Red Handicap Hurdle (CLASS 2) (4yo+ 0-145) CH4 2m110y

7/8 – Aged between 5-7 years-old
7/8 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
7/8 – Unplaced last time out
7/8 – Won over at least 2m1f (hurdles) before
6/8 – Placed in the top three last time out
6/8 – Officially rated between 127 and 132
6/8 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/8 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
5/8 – Carried 10-12 or less
5/8 – Went onto finish unplaced in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
4/8 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/8 – Irish bred
4/8 – Ran at either Ascot (2) or Cheltenham (2) last time out
4/8 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
2/8 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/8 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/8 – Trained by Venetia Williams
2/8 – Won last time out
0/8 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 14/1

Note: 2002 & 2003 runnings were staged at Ascot

3.40 – 32Red.com HBLB Handicap Chase (CLASS 2) (5yo+) CH4 3m110y

7/7 – Had raced within the last 2 months
7/7 – Had won between 1-3 times (fences) in the UK before
6/7 – Finished in the first three last time out
6/7 – Officially rated between 124 and 133
6/7 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
5/7 – Irish bred
5/7 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
5/7 – Raced at either Sandown (2) or Newbury (3) last time out
5/7 – Aged 9 or older
5/7 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
4/7 – Came from the top 4 in the betting
1/7 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 10/1

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