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Stat of the Day: 18th February 2012
A disappointing run from Paul Nicholls’ Cedre Bleu yesterday, on a day of mostly disappointing runs for the stable (just one winner – Zarkandar, who should be marked up for so doing – from fifteen runners!).
Today is no easier, so I’m going to speculatively roll with a decent priced each way play in a telly race, the…
We’ll have a crack at an ultra-competitive Listed handicap chase with a field of thirteen getting us a quarter the odds if we can land the place..
David Pipe’s mob may not be in the best of form, but he loves a winner at Ascot, as overall figures of sixteen from eighty (20%) and a level stakes profit of 52.03 testify.
He’s only got the one runner there this afternoon, Massini’s Maguire, who is a course and distance chase winner… in a Listed contest, to boot. Sure, he pulled up last time on ground that would have been plenty soft enough for him (official going soft, all MM’s jumping wins on good to soft or faster).
Today’s good to soft should be about spot on, he has a racing weight, and he’s only two pounds higher than when winning that course, distance, and class chase. 16/1 looks a big price for a horse which has been in the frame in six of his eight chase runs. But do…