Stat of the Day, 8th May 2012
Stat of the Day
Stat of the Day: 8th May 2012
A curious weekend just passed for SotD, as Saturday and Monday provided clunker crusts surrounding a 12/1 winner in a tasty punting sandwich… if that makes any sense. In truth, whilst Saturday’s last place finish was an aberration, yesterday’s last place finish was the sort of horse I’d have no hesitation in backing again.
She was 16/1 early, and sent off 25/1. She had form in the ground, better class, over a shorter and longer trip, and was top weight implying she was the best horse. Sure, she ran badly. But these type of profile beasts will win often enough to keep punters in front.
Today I’m following the hottest trainer in the land right now, in the…
Recent form figures of six winners from her last eighteen runners, and thirteen of eighteen placed, at up to 40/1 mark Ruth Carr out as on a white hot streak just now. Obviously, I’m tempting providence somewhat by following her in after such a great spell – all good things must come to an end, right? – but her record at Catterick is impeccable in its own right.
She’s had twelve winners from 64 runners with her older handicappers here, and scored a profit of 31.75 points from them.
Tonight Mrs Carr runs three under such conditions: On The High Tops, Dhamaan, and Klynch. Given the first two have no winning form on ground softer than good, the obvious one is Klynch.
Match fit after four runs this season, Klynch finished second under very similar conditions last time – class 4, good to soft, 7f handicap. That was just three days ago, when the only horse to beat him was… stablemate, Orpsie Boy, the pair of them two and a half lengths clear of the rest.
There’s always the chance that this race comes too soon, but sprinters do tend to run well after a short rest, and our fella is fitter and better suited by conditions than most of his rivals here.
9/2 is about as I write (best odds guaranteed, of course), so make sure you…
Click here for the latest odds on the 7.10 Catterick.
Stat of the Day, 8th May 2012,
6 Responses to Stat of the Day, 8th May 2012
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regards klynch at catterick would 0-19 running left handed be a problem.
jim
May 8, 2012 at 4:20 pm
Possibly Jim, though a second place the last time he went left-handed would imply not.
The stat is based primarily on the trainer, though of course a look at the horse’s ability to handle key conditions today – distance, class, going – are considered as well.
You should also note that Klynch has never won over seven furlongs (0 from 8), but he’d have won last time if his stable mate wasn’t in the race. The rest were beaten 2 1/2 lengths and more.
Am I saying he’ll win, and that the left-handed observation isn’t pertinent? No. Am I suggesting that based on the overall record of trainer and horse, he’s worth a punt at the price? Yes.
Hope that clarifies.
Matt
Matt Bisogno
May 8, 2012 at 4:27 pm
very well put.well worth a punt.
jim
May 8, 2012 at 6:19 pm
sorry 0-20 stats are stats.
jim
May 8, 2012 at 7:48 pm
+81.68 points since we started last November at level stakes. Stats are stats.
Matt
Matt Bisogno
May 8, 2012 at 7:51 pm
Matt – think your research & results speak for themselves, I never would have thought of backing Dam Beautiful – and what an easy win, as you predicted.
Bob
May 9, 2012 at 8:36 am