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Andy Newton’s got another bunch of in-form trainers to have on your side this week…..
MARCO BOTTI (4 wins from his last 9 runners, 44% strike-rate): Flying at present with two more winners on Tuesday to add to the couple they notched last Thursday. This puts them on 37 for 2012 as they chase last year’s tally (their best yet) of 46. 31 of their winners so far have been with their 2 year-olds (13) and 3 year-olds (18), while they’ve had just 6 winners with their older horses. Adam Kirby is their main man in the saddle, having ridden most of their recent runners (2 winners), with Martin Harley and Andrea Atzeni on the others. Looking ahead, despite being based in Newmarket, their track stats at HQ do not make great reading, with just 2 winners from their last 52 runners, while as we enter AW season their best sands tracks in terms of strike-rates are Southwell (19%) and Wolverhampton (19%).
Upcoming entries and track stats: Lingfield AW (18 from 139, 13%), Newmarket (2 from 52, 4%)
CLAIRE DYSON (3 winners from her last 7 runners, 43% strike-rate): Excuse the pun but the Dyson yard has been clearing up at present. Yes, they had an obvious 13/8 fav winner at Wincanton on Sunday, but they also fired in a 50/1 winner on the same card, while they had success with a 10/1 shot earlier in the week at their home track, Worcester. Jockey Nick Scholfield has been on two of those recent winners, but they are also making use of Gerald Quinn’s 7lb claim when they can too – he was on their 50/1 winner. So, yes, that puts them on just 3 winners for the season, and being a small yard then their runners will be limited, but they have already matched their final tally for last season, and will now be gunning for the 8 they managed in 2010-11. In terms of entries they do have a few on the horizon, including their recent 50/1 winner, Boomtown, who is engaged at Stratford on Thursday.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Haydock (0 from 2), Stratford (1 from 24, 4%), Hereford (1 from 25, 4%), Wetherby (no runners)
JAMIE OSBORNE (3 winners from his last 9 runners, 33% strike-rate): Beat the Bell was another winner for the yard on Tuesday, and that was their third at Wolverhampton since last Thursday. They use jockey Fergus Sweeney a lot, but it could be worth noting that Matrin Dwyer rode two of those recent winners. This means they are now on a very decent 43 winners for the season – 19 more than 2011, but with 61 their best-ever (2007) it’s hard to see them bettering that record.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Kempton AW (21 from 203, 10%), Lingfield AW (16 from 167, 10%), Wolverhampton AW (29 from 254, 11%), Newmarket (2 from 11, 18%)
NICKY HENDERSON (6 winners from his last 19 runners, 32% strike-rate): The Seven Barrows team are starting to hit top gear as they bid to get the better of Paul Nicholls in the trainers’ title race after being chinned on the line last term thanks to Nicholls landing the Grand National. Molotof was a winner on his fencing debut at Tauton earlier this week, but will probably need to jump better if he’s to got onto better things over the bigger obstacles. We are yet to see their real big-guns, but it won’t be long and at least we know the horses are in fine fettle – you can expect a flurry of winners in November. They are already on 29 winners for the season, from just 206 runners (27%) – it will be interesting to see over the next 6 months if they can better the 167 successes they managed last season. Henderson is already as short as 2/5 to land the trainers’ title, with Nicholls 9/4 and Donald McCain next best on 16/1. Of their 29 winners so far they’ve only had 4 over fences, but that will increase in the weeks to come, but more interestingly they’ve already had 10 NH Flat winners from just 25 sent to post (40%).
Upcoming entries and track stats: Haydock (10 from 67, 15%), Stratford (9 from 46, 20%), Hereford (12 from 41, 29%), Uttoxeter (11 from 43, 33%), Wetherby (4 from 17, 24%), Newmarket (3 from 8, 38%), Ascot (36 from 132, 27%), Huntingdon (35 from 104, 34%), Plumpton (5 from 30, 17%)
LUCA CUMANI (5 winners from his last 19 runners, 26% strike-rate): Fired in a double at Kempton last Wednesday, but also had a winner earlier that day at Newmarket and has since added to that with another success at Wolverhampton. Kieren Fallon has ridden two of those recent winners, with Buick, Milczarek and Patrick Hills steering the others home. They now need just 3 more winners to better their 2011 tally of 45, while just over 50% of their 4+ year-olds this season have finished fourth or better. With the flat turf action drawing to a close then you will see more of their runners on the AW tracks – with Kempton and Lingfield being the sand courses they have the best records at.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Lingfield AW (10 from 61, 16%), Newmarket (15 from 120, 13%)
COLIN TIZZARD (5 wins from his last 20 runners, 25% strike-rate): Pasco landed a decent prize up at Aintree on Saturday, but that was just one of three winners for the stable that day – with two more coming at Chepstow. Keep a lookout for any of theirs that go off favourite as the last 4 have finished or 2nd (2 winners), while in terms of jockeys it’s son Joe and young Brendan Powell who are mopping up most of the rides. They are now on 15 winners from 73 runners this season and with things starting to hot up in the National Hunt sphere then you can expect this number to increase over the coming weeks. They are also showing a very healthy +£43 level stakes profit with their runners this term, but with 11 chase winners, compared to just 4 over hurdles then you might want to focus on those running over the bigger obstacles for the time being. Looking ahead to the weekend their Cannington Brook is entered in the Charlie Hall, JNwine.com Champion Chase and the United House Gold Cup at Ascot, so looks certain to be in action somewhere this Saturday.
Upcoming entries and track stats: Ascot (1 from 21, 5%), Down Royal (0 from 1), Wetherby (0 from 1)
DAVID PIPE (5 winners from his last 23 runners, 22% strike-rate): Being one of the biggest NH yards, then maintaining a decent strike-rate can sometimes be a lot harder with the amount of runners they have, but with two Aintree winners from just 3 runners last weekend and winners at Chepstow and Stratford on Saturday too then everything is looking rosy at the Pipe camp. If the money comes in the betting then take note as 4 of their last 5 runners to be sent off as the market leader have won, while although stable jockey Tom Scudamore gets the bulk of the rides they often like to use some decent up-and-coming conditionals too – most notably Tom Bellamy, Conor o’Farrell. They are now sitting on 28 winners for the season as they look to get over 100 again – something they’ve managed in 4 of the last 6 seasons. Finally, keep a note of any NH Flat runners at present as they are 4 from 11, in fact 10 of their 11 bumper runners have finished fourth or better – not bad, hey!
Upcoming entries and track stats: Haydock (8 from 50, 16%), Stratford (15 from 75, 20%), Hereford (7 from 55, 13%), Wetherby (4 from 21, 19%), Uttoxeter (27 from 139, 19%), Dundalk AW (no runners), Ascot (10 from 62, 16%), Huntingdon (4 from 32, 13%), Carlisle (2 from 8, 25%)
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Note: Stats correct as 31st Oct 2012