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See which trainers have made it onto Andy Newton’s Hot-List this week…
ROGER INGRAM (3 winners from his last 3 runners, 100% strike-rate): Okay, so all stats can be manipulated – if we went back a bit further they are actually 3 from 9, but it just happens that those three successes came with their last three sent to post. Adam Kirby has been on two of them, with Jim Crowley riding the other, while all three victories came at Lingfield. Based in Epsom they’ve actually only managed to get into double-figures in a season 5 times since 1991, and the last time they did that, with 13 winners,was in 2005. They are now on 4 winners in 2013, which is a good sign for the year ahead, while as well as seeing the bulk of their runners on the AW surfaces at Lingfield, Wolverhampton and Kempton once the turf season kicks into gear you can expect to see them sending horses to Brighton, Windsor and, of course, Epsom too.
Track stats and up-coming entries: Southwell (no runners), Kempton (3 from 68, 4%)
RON HARRIS (6 winners from his last 18 runners, 33% strike-rate): With 12 of their last 18 runners finishing fourth or better then the Ron Harris team have certainly hit a rich vein of form at present. Add in that amongst those recent winners they’ve bagged 16/1, 12/1 (twice), 10/1 & 9/1 successes then punters following their horses blind at the moment are certainly cashing in. Luke Morris gets the majority of their rides, as does William Carson, but they are also not frightened to use the odd apprentice with the 7lb claiming Gary Phillips one to look out for. For the past seven years they’ve banged in 40+ winners, with 63 last term their best yet, so with 8 already on the board then it looks like being another steady year for this consistent yard. Of the four AW tracks they’ve got the worse strike-rate at Wolverhampton (8%),
Track stats and up-coming entries: Kempton (38 from 291, 13%), Wolverhampton (44 from 541, 8%)
JEREMY NOSEDA (3 winners from their last 6 runners, 50% strike-rate): This powerful Newmarket yard are not afraid to raid the AW tracks at this time of year and although their runners can be a bit selective anything they do run should be noted. Of the four sand tracks they do best at Wolverhampton (32%), but also have 25%+ strike-rates at both Lingfield and Southwell too, while with a 16% record at Kempton that’s still not too shabby either. So far in 2013 they are 3 from just 7 runners, while looking back at their longer term stats you can expect them to get around 50-60 winners again – something they’ve more or less done in all of the last 8 seasons. In terms of age trends they do by far the best with their 3 year-olds (137 winners in the last 5 seasons), but it’s also no secret they excel with their juveniles too (56 winners in the last 5 seasons). Finally, they use a variety of different jockeys these days, but note anything Ryan Moore is booked to ride – he was on their decent-looking Infinite Magic at Lingfield last week.
Track stats and up-coming entries: Wolverhampton (22 from 71, 31%)
GEORGE MARGASSON (5 winners from his last 10 runners, 50% strike-rate): Featured last week and didn’t let us down with two more winners – Artful Lady and Young Jackie. Young Jordan Vaughan has been on Young Jackie (entered at Wolverhampton on Thursday) on her last two wins and after another winning ride on Monday looks an apprentice to keep on the right side of in the coming months. Storm Runner is another inmate that’s been paying his way of late and despite a poor sixth last time I think if he’s given a tiny break he could get back to winning ways. Woolfall Sovereign is their star sprinter –unbeaten over 5f – and although the opportunities on the AW might be a bit few and far between he looks a horse to note as the turf season gets going in a few months. They are now on 6 winners for the season, from just 18 runners, and will be hoping that the 21 (their best yet) they managed in 2011 is achievable again. Now that Southwell are back racing that’s more good news for the yard as they currently boast a 24% strike-rate there, while at Wolverhampton they don’t do too badly either (26%).
Track stats and up-coming entries: Wolverhampton (10 from 39, 26%)
DAVID PIPE (5 winners from their last 18 runners, 28% strike-rate): Yes, their strike-rate should probably be a tiny bit better, but 12 of their last 18 runners have finished 5th or better too. The out-and-out stayer, Master Overseer, who is often described at the ‘slowest horse in training’ was a nice 10/1 winner at Wincanton last week and in heavy or soft ground he’s one to look out for. This puts the Pipe team now on 71 winners for the season, and they look certain to break the 100 barrier for the fifth time. However, 134 is their best yet, and that might just be a bit optimistic to better that. Obviously, it’s all gone a bit wrong with Grands Crus this year after his latest flop at Cheltenham – let’s just hope they can get him back to his best. On a plus, they’ve got several promising bumper horses (had 8 NH Flat winners this season) coming through the ranks, which bodes well for the future, while Gevrey Chambertin looks another exciting prospect in their care.
Track stats and up-coming entries: Sedgefield (3 from 14, 21%), Market Rasen (9 from 57, 16%), Carlisle (2 from 11, 18%), Ludlow (5 from 47, 11%), Huntingdon (4 from 33, 12%), Doncaster (4 from 28, 14%), Taunton (19 from 180, 11%), Bangor (5 from 43, 12%), Newcastle (3 from 9, 33%), Kempton (8 from 58, 14%), Newbury (13 from 96, 14%)
VENETIA WILLIAMS (6 winners from their last 22 runners, 27% strike-rate): This yard have been in flying form for quite a while now and a Sandown double on Saturday was followed up with the exciting Brick Red winning yet again on Sunday up at Musselburgh. Seven of their last 8 runners have finished third or better too, while jockey Aidan Coleman is riding at the top of his game at present and now needs just two more winners (currently on 68) to make this his best-ever season. They also seem to have a really decent batch of improving handicapers this year, arguably the best they’ve ever had, while they often plot a few out for Cheltenham and it will be a surprise if they can’t fire in at least one winner at Prestbury Park – races to look out for are the Byrne Group Plate, Pertemps Final Hurdle and the Coral Cup – all festival races the yard have won before. In terms of their figures they are now on 62 for the season and are firmly on target to better their best-ever tally of 89 (2003-04). Finally, if there is one word of caution it’s probably with their NH Flat runners this season as they are just 1-from 21 in that sphere.
Track stats and up-coming entries: Market Rasen (3 from 11, 27%), Sedgefield (no runners), Ludlow (14 from 68, 21%) Carlisle (3 from 14, 21%), Huntingdon (5 from 66, 8%), Doncaster (2 from 24, 8%), Taunton (19 from 76, 25%), Kempton (4 from 60, 7%), Bangor (14 from 98, 14%), Haydock (6 from 57, 11%)
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