Royal Ascot Betting Trends

DAY FIVE: Andy Newton continues with his daily Royal Ascot trends as we move into the final day of the meeting.

 

 

2.30 - Chesham Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) Winner £31,191 BBC1 Good To Soft 7f

10/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/10 – Had no more than 2 previous career runs
9/10 – Ran over 6f last time out (7 won)
8/10 – Had just 1 previous career run
8/10 – Were foaled in March or earlier
8/10 – Won their previous race
8/10 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
3/10 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/10 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/10 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/10 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

Ascot Trainer/Jockey Stats:
Jim Bolger is 2 from 8 with his 2 year-olds
Andrew Balding is 0 from 18 with his 2 year-olds
Kevin Manning is 2 from 8 riding 2 year-olds
Martin Harley is 2 from 7 riding 2 year-olds
Frankie Dettori is just 2 from 42 on 2 year-olds
William Buick is 0 from 21 on 2 year-olds


3.05 -
Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) Winner £113,420 BBC1 Good To Soft 1m4f

10/10 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
10/10 – Had won a Group 2 or 3 previously
9/10 – Placed last time out
8/10 – Had won over 1m4f before
8/10 – Placed favourites
8/10 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
7/10 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2), Mark Johnston (2) or Sir Michael Stoute (3)
6/10 – Had run at Ascot before
5/10 – Aged 4 years-old (inc last 4 winnings)
5/10 – Ran at Epsom last time out (Coronation Cup)
4/10 – Winning favourites
4/10 – Won their previous race
2/10 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2

 

Ascot Trainer/Jockey Stats:

Aidan O’Brien has a 34% record with his older horses
John Gosden is 8 from 40 (+£38) with his older horses
Ed Dunlop is just 1 from 32 with his older horses
Luca Cumani is only 1 from 41 with his older horses
Johnny Murtagh has a 27% record riding older horses
Kieren Fallon is just 1 from 48 riding older horses
Paul Hanagan is only 1 from 29 riding older horses
James Doyle is o from 20 riding older horses


3.45 - Diamond Jubilee Stakes (British Champions Series & Global Sprint Challenge) (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) Winner £283,550 BBC1 Good To Soft 6f

9/10 – Previous distance winners
8/10 – Had run at Ascot before
8/10 – Failed to win their last race
7/10 – Aged 5 or younger
7/10 – Previous Group Race winners
6/10 – Unplaced favourites
6/10 – Returned a double-figure price
4/10 – Ran in the King’s Stand Stakes earlier at the meeting
3/10 – Ridden by Johnny Murtagh
1/10 – Winning favourite (joint)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 17/1

Ascot Trainer/Jockey Stats:

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James Fanshawe has a 19% (+£26) record with his older horses
Roger Charlton is only 1 from 21 with his older horses
Johnny Murtagh has a 27% record riding older horses
Kieren Fallon is just 1 from 48 riding older horses
Darryll Holland is just 1 from 37 on older horses
Shane Kelly is only 1 from 40 on older horses

 

4.25 - Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-110) Winner £77,813 BBC1Good To Soft 6f

11/11 – Ran sixth or better last time out
11/11 – Had won before over 6 or 7f
11/11 – Had no more than 4 runs that season
10/11 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/11 – Carried 8-11 or more
9/11 – Had won a race over 6f before
8/11 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
6/11 – Had run at Ascot before (3 had won here)
6/11 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/11 – Ran at either Ascot, Goodwood or Newmarket last time
4/11 – Won their previous race
3/11 – Won by the favourite
Since 1980 there have been only 7 winning favourites
Since 1980 there have been 25 winners returning a double-figure price
Johnny Murtagh rode the winner in 2001, 2010 & 2011
Paul Cole trained the winner in 1977, 1980 & 1987

Ascot Trainer/Jockey Track Stats

James Fanshawe has a 19% (+£26) record with his older horses
Brian Meehan is just 2 from 47 with his older horses
Richard Fahey is only 2 from 67 with his older horses
Jim Goldie is just 1 from 29 with his older horses
Johnny Murtagh has a 27% record riding older horses
Kieren Fallon is just 1 from 48 riding older horses
Paul Hanagan is only 1 from 29 riding older horses
Dane O’Neill is 0 from 41 riding older horses
James Doyle is 0 from 20 riding older horses


5.00 -
Duke of Edinburgh Handicap (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-105) Winner £43,575 ATR Good To Soft 1m4f

10/10 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/10 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
10/10 – Had at least 2 previous career wins to their name
8/10 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
7/10 – Placed last time out
7/10 – Carried 9-0 or more
6/10 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/10 – Had won over 1m4f before
6/10 – Trained by Hughie Morrison, Mark Johnston or Sir Michael Stoute
5/10 – Ran at either York or Epsom last time (inc last 5 runnings)
5/10 – Unplaced favourites
5/10 – Had run at Ascot before
3/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time
0/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1

Ascot Trainer/Jockey Track Stats

Aidan O’Brien has a 34% record with his older horses
John Gosden is 8 from 40 (£38) with his older horses
Luca Cumani is just 1 from 41 with his older horses
Gary Moore is just 2 from 36 with his older horses
Johnny Murtagh has a 27% record riding older horses
Kieren Fallon is just 1 from 48 riding older horses
Darryll Holland is just 1 from 37 on older horses
Paul Hanagan is only 1 from 29 riding older horses
Dane O’Neill is 0 from 41 riding older horses
James Doyle is 0 from 20 riding older horses


5.35 - Queen Alexandra Stakes (Conditions Race)
(CLASS 2) (4yo+) Winner £34,238 ATR Good To Soft 2m5f159y

 

8/10 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years old
8/10 – Finished unplaced last time out
5/10 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
5/10 – Had run at Ascot before
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Ridden by Kieren Fallon
2/10 – Ridden by Johnny Murtagh
2/10 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/1

Ascot Trainer/Jockey Track Stats

John Gosden is 8 from 40 (£38) with his older horses
Ed Dunlop is just 1 from 32 with his older horses
John Dunlop is only 1 from 26 with his older horses
Johnny Murtagh has a 27% record riding older horses
Kieren Fallon is just 1 from 48 riding older horses
Darryll Holland is just 1 from 37 on older horses
Paul Hanagan is only 1 from 29 riding older horses
James Doyle is 0 from 20 riding older horses

 

All trainer/jockey stats correct as 22nd June 2012

 

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