Well, I Declare! 27th June 2012

Well I Declare: June 27th 2012

Well, I Declare! 27th June 2012

Well, I Declare! 27th June 2012

Today's action comes from Bath, Carlisle, Salisbury, Kempton & Worcester.



General stats: Robert Cowell has saddled two of his three runners to winning effect at Bath to date. 



General stats: Edwin Tuer boasts a strike rate of 44% via figures of 4/9, statistics which have produced a level stake profit of twenty-one points. 



General stats: Salisbury is yet another track where Roger Varian has started well (3/10 to date), whilst this is Richard Price country (as is most of the south-west from a value for money perspective), the trainer boasting a 31% strike rate (5/16) in recent years.

2.20: Eight clear favourites have won alongside a joint market leader during the last 15 years. 12 of the 16 favourites secured toteplacepot positions in the process.  10 of the last 11 winners were returned at odds of 8/1 or less.

3.50: Six favourites have won via thirteen renewals to date, whilst twelve of the thirteen winners were returned at 7/1 or less.  Thirteen of the four market leaders have been successful from a toteplacepot perspective.

4.25: Five-year-olds have won five of the last seven renewals of this contest, whilst three of the last five favourites (of one sort or another) have obliged.

4.55: Seven of the eleven winners of the ’Bibury Cup’ since the turn of the Millennium have carried weights of 9-1 or more, stats which include the last four of the last five gold medallists. Ten of the last fifteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions (three winners).  Successful favourites were only conspicuous by their absence during the last decade.

5.25: Seven of the nine winners have carried weights of 8-13 or less to date, whilst ten of the fourteen favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions, with two market leaders having snared the gold rosette.



General stats: Ibtahaj is the only Saeed Bin Suroor runner at Kempton on Wednesday (the trainer boasts a 33% strike rate at the venue in recent times), the yard now being back to form after a quiet start to the season.



General stats: Anthony Honeyball enjoys a level stake profit of seventy-one points here at Worcester via a 31% strike rate relating to his 9/23 ratio).

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3 replies
  1. Jim
    Jim says:


    Edwin Tuer’s figures of 44% from results of 4/6 doesn’t seem right – should it be 4/9 which is 44%?????

  2. Mal Boyle
    Mal Boyle says:

    Nice to know people are reading the column!

    Thanks for spotting the error….Mal.

    End of term report…could do better.

    Weather/going report: Is it ever going to stop raining?

    The question is relevant because when the ground does start changing all around the country, bookmakers/layers will be the winners!

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