2017 Aintree Festival Trends: DAY ONE (Thurs 6th April)

Another top week for jump racing fans as the three-day Aintree Grand National Meeting kicks-off on Thursday 6th April 2017 with the ITV cameras showing five races LIVE each day.

We get going on DAY ONE with the Betfred Bowl, Aintree Hurdle and the Randox Health Foxhunters’ Chase are some of the key highlights so there is bundles to look forward to.

As always with the big meetings here at GeeGeez we've all the main trends for the LIVE ITV races – use these to help build-up a better profile of horses that have done well in each race over the years.

 

 

THURSDAY, 6th April 2017 (ITV/RUK)

 

2.20 – DOOMBAR ANNIVERSARY 4YO JUVENILE HURDLE 4YO GRADE 1 (CLASS 1) (4yo) 2m1f

13/14 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
11/14 – Placed in the top three last time out
10/14 – Raced in the Triumph Hurdle (Cheltenham) last time out
8/14 – Returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
6/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Won by trainer Alan King (4 of the last 10)
3/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
2/14 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/14 – Irish-trained winners
French-bred horses have won 9 of the last 18 (50%) runnings
12 of the last 17 winners raced in that season’s Triumph Hurdle
Just 5 of the last 27 winners didn’t win at least twice over hurdles before
Apple’s Jade (3/1 fav) won the 2016 running

2.50 – Betfred Bowl Chase Grade 1 (CLASS 1) (5yo+) 3m1f

11/14 – Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
8/14 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
8/14 – Ran in the Gold Cup (Cheltenham) last time out
6/14 – Aged in double-figures
4/14 - Won by the Pipe stable
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Won last time out
15 of the last 33 (45%) winners were aged 10 or older
22 of the last 33 (67%) winners ran in that season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup
11 of the last 20 (55%) winners were placed fourth or better in that season’s King George VI Chase
2nd or 3rd favourites have won 13 of the last 24 (54%) renewals
4 of the last 6 winners ran in this race 12 months ago
3 of the last 8 winners finished in the top 3 in that season’s Hennessy Gold Cup at Newbury
Cue Card (6/5 fav) won the 2016 running

3.25 – BETWAY Aintree Hurdle Grade 1 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m4f

14/14 – Aged 8 or younger
11/14 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
10/14 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
10/14 - Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
8/14 – Irish-trained winner, plus 18 of the last 41
8/14 – Ran in the Champion Hurdle last time out
4/14 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
4/14 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
3/14 – Won last time out
2/14 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/14 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
8 of the last 16 (50%) winners had won at this meeting before
6 of the last 10 Champion Hurdle winners to race have lost
Just 1 of the last 16 Champion Hurdle runner-ups to race have won
Annie Power (4/9 fav) won the 2016 running

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4.05 – RANDOX HEALTH Fox Hunters´ Chase (CLASS 2) (6yo+) 2m5f

14/14 – Aged 9 or older (Just 2 of the last 32 were younger than 9)
12/14 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Aged in double-figures
10/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/14 – Won last time out
5/14 – Ran in the Cheltenham Foxhunters’ last time out
5/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/14 – Irish-trained winner (Just 4 since 1983)
2/14 – Ridden by Sam Waley-Cohen
22 of the last 24 winners had won a race earlier that season
Only 2 of the last 33 winners were aged younger than 9
21 of the last 24 (88%) winners came from the top 4 in the market
8 of the last 12 winners had run over these National-style fences before
Ex-handicap horses have won 9 of the last 15 (60%) renewals
On The Fringe (15/8 fav) won the 2016 running

4.40 – BETWAY Red Rum Handicap Chase Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (5yo+) 2m

13/14 – Aged 9 or younger
12/14 – Carried 11-1 or less
10/14 – Carried 10-13 or less
9/14 – Aged 10/1 or shorter in the betting
8/14 - Ran at the Cheltenham Festival last time out
8/14 – Aged 7 or younger
8/14 – Unplaced last time out
4/14 – Winning favourites (1 co)
3/14 – Won last time out
1/14 – Irish-trained winner
Only 2 winners older than 9 years-old since 1988
The top 5 in the betting have won 12 of the last 19 (63%) runnings
15 of the last 17 (88%) winners carried 11-2 or less
A Novice has won 8 of the last 15 (53%) renewals
3 of the last 10 winners raced in the previous year’s race
7 of the last 18 (39%) winners ran in that season’s Johnny Henderson Grand Annual (Cheltenham)
Katachenko (9/1) won the 2016 running

 

 

 

 

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