2018 Punchestown Festival Trends

2018 Punchestown Festival Trends: A massive week of Irish racing ahead with the 5-day Punchestown Festival (24th-28th April). Plenty of big names on show with a lot of Cheltenham and Aintree Festival winners also in attendance - Like all big race meetings we've got all the main trends and stats for the key races through the week – hopefully, these help narrow down the fields and point you in the direction of a few winners……………….

 

DAY ONE – Tuesday 24th April 2018

 

4.20 - Herald Champion Novice Hurdle (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m

7 of the last 13 runnings went to the favourite
7 of the last 12 winners had won a Grade 1 or 2 before
12 of the last 13 recent winners were priced 8/1 or shorter
7 of the last 13 returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
No British-trained winner for 19 years (16 runners)
Supreme Novice Hurdle winners have only followed-up 3 times
12 of the last 13 were aged either 5 or 6 years-old
Trainer Noel Meade has won the race in 2002, 2005, 2006 & 2008
Trainer Edward O’Grady has won the race in 2003, 2007 & 2011
Willie Mullins won the prize in 2009, 2010, 2014, 2015 & 2017
5 of the last 10 winners ran in that season’s Royal Bond Novices’ Hurdle
14 of the last 18 winners came 1st or 2nd last time out

5.30 - Boylesports.com Champion Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m

6 of the last 15 runnings went to the favourite
14 of the last 19 winners came from the first three in the betting
French breds have won 6 of the last 11 runnings
12 of the last 16 returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
8 of the last 16 had previously won at the track
All of the last 16 winners had won before over 2m
13 of the last 16 came 1st or 2nd last time out
10 of the last 16 were Irish-trained winners
12 of the last 16 were aged 9 or younger
5 of the last 13 finished unplaced that season’s Champion Chase at Cheltenham
12 of the last 15 winners ran in the Queen Mother Champion Chase that season
6 of the last 15 winners ran in that season’s Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown)
Trainer Paul Nicholls won the race in 2008 & 2009
Trainer Willie Mullins won the race in 2010 & 2015

 

DAY TWO – Wednesday 25th April 2018

5.30 – CORAL Punchestown Gold Cup (Grade 1) (5yo+) 3m1f

Recent Punchestown Gold Cup Winners

2017 – SIZING JOHN (9/10)
2016 – CARLINGFORD LOUGH (12/1)
2015 – DON COSSACK (5/2)
2014 – BOSTON BOB (5/2 fav)
2013 – SIR DES CHAMPS (2/1 fav)
2012 – CHINA ROCK (20/1)
2011 – FOLLOW THE PLAN (20/1)
2010 – PLANET OF SOUND (14/1)
2009 – NOTRE PERE (15/8 fav)
2008 – NEPTUNE COLLONGES (9/10 fav)
2007 – NEPTUNE COLLONGES (8/1)
2006 – WAR OF ATTRITION (4/5 fav)
2005 – KICKING KING (8/11 fav)
2004 – BEEF OF SALMON (5/4 fav)
2003 – FIRST GOLD (7/4 fav)

Punchestown Gold Cup Betting Trends

13/15 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
11/15 – Aged 8 or younger
11/15 – Irish-trained winners
10/15 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
9/15 – Had run in that season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup
8/15 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the betting
8/15 – Winning favourites
8/15 – Ran in the Cheltenham Gold Cup last time out
6/15 – Won last time out
3/15 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/15 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/15 – Trained by Willie Mullins
2/15 – Trained by Mouse Morris
The average winning SP in the last 15 years is 6/1
7 of the last 13 favourites have won
Eight of the last ten Irish-trained favourites have won
Since 1999 only 2 Irish-trained winners hadn’t won at the course before
8 of the last 19 winners had run in that season’s John Durkan Memorial Chase

6.05 – RACING POST Champion INH Flat Race (Grade 1) (4-7yo) 2m

3 winning favourites in the last 13 years (1 joint)
11 of the last 14 were aged 5 or older
The Cheltenham Champion Bumper has produced 13 winners since 1992
13 of the last 26 winners finished 6th or better in the Weatherbys Champion Bumper (Cheltenham)
25 of the last 26 winners had raced 2 or more times before
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1
Not many mares have run in the race – just 3 have won it since 1994
Trainer Noel Meade won the race in 2004, 2006, 2007
Trainer Willie Mullins won the race in 2008, 2011, 2014, 2015, 2016
Patrick Mullins rode the winner in 2008, 2011, 2012 & 2015
Nina Carberry rode the winner in 2006 & 2007
The Irish have won 12 of the last 14 runnings

 

DAY THREE – Thursday 26th April 2018

4.50 – friends first Cross Country Chase for the La Touche Cup (5yo+) 4m1f

6 winning favourites in the last 12 years (3 join/co)
Trainer Enda Bolger has won 12 of the last 19 runnings
9 of the last 12 winners returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
Nina Carberry rode the winner in 2006 & 2009
7 of the last 12 carried 12-3 or more
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2
10 of the last 12 winners were aged 9 or older
5 of the last 12 winners ran in the race 12 months ago
19 of the last 23 winners returned 7/1 or shorter
9 of the last 12 winners ran in the Cheltenham Festival Cross Country race

 

5.30 - Ladbrokes.com Champion Stayers’ Hurdle (Grade 1) (4yo+) 3m

Past Ladbrokes.com Champion Stayers Hurdle Winners

2017 – UNOWHATIMEANHARRY (4/1)
2016 – ONE TRACK MIND (10/1)
2015 – JEZKI (5/2)
2014 – JETSON (20/1)
2013 – QUEVEGA (6/4 fav)
2012 – QUEVEGA (11/10 fav)
2011 – QUEVEGA (8/11 fav)
2010 – QUEVEGA (5/2 fav)
2009 – FIVEFORTHREE (5/4 fav)
2008 – BLAZING BAILEY (10/3 fav)
2007 – REFINEMENT (16/1)
2006 – ASAIN MAZE (8/13 fav)
2005 – CARLYS QUEST (25/1)
2004 – RHINESTONE COWBOY (5/2)
2003 – HOLY ORDERS (6/1)

Your first 30 days for just £1

Ladbrokes Champion Stayers Hurdle Betting Trends

13/15 – Raced at the Cheltenham Festival earlier that season
13/15 – Placed in the top three last time out
11/15 – Aged 8 or younger
11/15 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
9/15 – Won last time out
9/15 – Irish trained winners
7/15 – Winning favourites
6/15 – Ran in the Aintree Hurdle last time out
6/15 – Trained by Willie Mullins
5/15 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
4/15 – Ran in the OLBG Mares’ Hurdle last time out
Only one World Hurdle (Cheltenham) winner from the same season in the last 18 runnings
13 of the last 15 winners ran at the Cheltenham Festival that season
The market leader has won 9 of the last 17 runnings
11 of the last 17 winners won their previous race
10 of the 21 runnings have been won by a British-trained horse
7 of the last 14 winners ran at Aintree’s Grand National Meeting last time out
10 of the last 15 winners had won a Grade One over 3m+ before
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

6.40 - Ryanair Novice Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m

5 winning favourites in the last 7 runnings
11 of the last 12 winners returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
9 of the last 12 winners were aged 7 or older (only 5 of the last 22 aged 6 or younger)
7 of the last 12 were aged either 7 or 8 years-old
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2
21 of the last 23 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
7 of the last 12 winners ran in the Arkle Chase (Cheltenham) that same season
UK-based trainers have won 4 of the last 9 times they have had runners
12 of the last 14 winners had run at least 4 times over fences previously
Willie Mullins trained the winner in 2009, 2013, 2015, 2016 & 2017

 

DAY FOUR – Friday 27th April 2018

5.30 – BETDAQ PUNCHESTOWN CHAMPION HURDLE (GRADE 1) 2m

7 of the last 13 favourites (1 joint) have won
7 of the last 11 winners won last time out
10 of the last 11 winners finished in the top 3 last time out
11 of the last 13 winners were aged 6 or older
11 of the last 19 winners ran in that season’s Champion Hurdle
9 of the last 19 winners ran in that season’s Ryanair Hurdle (Leopardstown)
The current Champion Hurdler is yet to finish out of the top two (when running)
11 of the last 13 winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the betting
Willie Mullins trained the winner in 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2015, 2016 & 2017
6 of the last 7 winners returned odds-on in the betting
Ruby Walsh rode the winner in 2011, 2012, 2013, 2015 & 2016
12 of the last 13 winners were Irish-trained
Wicklow Brave (12/1) won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 2/1

6.05 – TATTERSALLS IRELAND CHAMPION NOVICE HURDLE (GRADE 1) 2m4f

9 of the last 13 favourites have won
7 of the last 13 winners were aged 5 years-old
11 of the last 13 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old
Willie Mullins has won 9 of the last 16 runnings
9 of the last 20 winners ran at that season’s Fairyhouse Easter Meeting
13 of the last 17 winners won last time out
Since 1996 all-bar-two of the winners were aged either 5 or 6 years-old

 

DAY FIVE – Saturday 28th April 2018

4.25 – AES CHAMPION FOUR YEAR-OLD HURDLE (GRADE 1) 2m

5 winning favourites in the last 13 runnings
All of the last 13 winners returned 15/2 or shorter
Ruby Walsh has ridden 3 of the last 5 winners
Willie Mullins trained the winner in 2006, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016 & 2017
11 of the last 12 winners ran in that season’s Triumph Hurdle (Cheltenham)
6 of the last 10 winners ran in that season’s Spring Juvenile Hurdle (Leopardstown)
9 of the last 20 runnings went to a British-trained horse
The average winning SP in the last 11 runnings is 3/1

 

 

 

Trainers Quotes

TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 20 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

GET INVOLVED TODAY

Your first 30 days for just £1
0 replies

Leave a Reply

Want to join the discussion?
Feel free to contribute!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *