Royal Ascot Day 4 Preview, Trends, Tips

2020 Royal Ascot Trends – Day Five (Sat 20th June)

2020 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

The 2020 ROYAL ASCOT  fixture, which is set to be staged later this year, still hangs in the balance due to the ongoing coronavirus pandemic, but Ascot officials have already stated that if the meeting does get the all-clear to race - it will be done behind closed doors.

Into DAY FIVE at  ROYAL ASCOT we've EIGHT more mouth-watering races to look forward to that include the Chesham Stakes and the Hardwicke Stakes, but all eyes will be on some of the best sprinters in the world as they line-up for the Group One Diamond Jubilee Stakes at 4.20.

Did you know that 14 of the last 17 Diamond Jubilee Stakes winners were aged 5 or younger?

Like all big race days here at GEEGEEZ we've got it all covered with key trends and stats, plus our free tips (to be added once final runners are out) - use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

 

Saturday 20th June 2020

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12:40 - Silver Wokingham Handicap (3yo+) 6f

New Race

1.15 - Queen Mary Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) 5f

Queen Mary Recent Winners

2019 – Raffle Prize (18/1)
2018 – Signora Cabello (25/1)
2017 – Heartache (5/1)
2016 – Lady Aurelia (2/1 fav)
2015 – Acapulco (5/2 fav)
2014 – Anthem Alexander (9/4 fav)
2013 – Rizeena (6/1)
2012 – Ceiling Kitty (20/1)
2011 – Best Terms (12/1)
2010 – Maqaasid (9/4 fav)
2009 – Jealous Again (13/2)
2008 – Langs Lash (25/1)
2007 – Elletelle (20/1)
2006 – Gilded (11/2)
2005 – Flashy Wings (4/1 jfav)
2004 – Damson (11/2 jfav)
2003 – Attraction (13/8 fav)
2002 – Romantic Liason (16/1)

Queen Mary Stakes Trends

17/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
17/18 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
15/18 – Had won over 5f (or shorter) before
15/18 – Won by a horse foaled between Jan-Mar
15/18 – Won their previous race
12/18 – Placed favourites
7/18 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
7/18 – Returned a double-figure price
3/18 – Trained by Wesley Ward (including 2 of last 5 runnings)
2/18 – Won by trainer Richard Hannon

 

1.50 - Coventry Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 6f

Recent Coventry Stakes Winners

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2019 – Arizona (15/8 fav)
2018 – Calyx (2/1 fav)
2017 – Rajasinghe (11/1)
2016 – Caravaggio (13/8 fav)
2015 – Buratino (6/1)
2014 – The Wow Signal (5/1 jfav)
2013 – War Command (20/1)
2012 – Dawn Approach (7/2)
2011 – Power (4/1 fav)
2010 – Strong Suit (15/8 fav)
2009 – Canford Cliffs (7/4 fav)
2008 – Art Connoisseur (8/1)
2007 – Henrythenavigator (11/4 fav)
2006 – Hellvelyn (4/1 jfav)
2005 – Red Clubs (11/2)
2004 – Iceman (5/1 jfav)
2003 – Three Valleys (7/1)
2002 – Statue Of Liberty (16/1)

Coventry Stakes Trends

18/18 – Won their previous race
17/18 – Had never raced at Ascot before
16/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 - Came from the top three in the betting
15/18 – Had between 1 and 2 previous career runs
13/18 - Foaled in either Feb or March
12/18 – Won over 6f before
10/18 – Winning favourites (3 joint)
6/18 – Ran at either Newbury or Newmarket last time out
6/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/18 – Trained by Richard Hannon
1/18 - Won by a Jan foal
10 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 6 or higher
7 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 9-19 (inc)

 

2.25 - Coronation Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m

Coronation Stakes Past Winners

2019 – Watch Me (20/1)
2018 – Alpha Centauri (11/4 fav)
2017 – Winter (4/9 fav)
2016 – Qemah (6/1)
2015 – Ervedya (3/1)
2014 – Rizeena (11/2)
2013 – Sky Lantern (9/2 jfav)
2012 – Fallen For You (12/1)
2011 – Immortal Verse (8/1)
2010 – Lillie Langtry (7/2 fav)
2009 – Ghanaati (2/1 fav)
2008 – Lush Lashes (5/1)
2007 – Indian Ink (8/1)
2006 – Nannina (6/1 jfav)
2005 – Maids Causeway (9/2)
2004 – Attraction (6/4 fav)
2003 – Russian Rhythm (4/7 fav)
2002 – Sophisticat (11/2)

Coronation Stakes Recent Trends

18/18 – Had won over at least 7f before
16/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
15/18 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs that season
13/18 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 previously
13/18 – Had won over at least a 1 mile before
9/18 – Had run at Ascot before (3 winners)
8/18 – Ran in that season’s English 1,000 Guineas
8/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
8/18 – Unplaced last time out
5/18 – Ran in that season’s Irish 1,000 Guineas
3/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
12 of the last 14 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
No winners from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings
12 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 5 or higher
Just two horses placed from stall 2 (2nd ) in the last 14 runnings
8 of the last 14 winners were non UK-trained – French (4), Irish (4)

 

3.00 - St James´s Palace Stakes (Group 1) (Entire Colts) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m

Recent St James’s Palace Stakes Winners

2019 – Circus Maximus (10/1)
2018 – Without Parole (9/4 fav)
2017 – Barney Roy (5/2)
2016 – Galileo Gold (6/1)
2015 – Gleneagles (8/15 fav)
2014 – Kingman (8/11 fav)
2013 – Dawn Approach (5/4 fav)
2012 – Most Improved (9/1)
2011 – Frankel (3/10 fav)
2010 – Canford Cliffs (11/4 jfav)
2009 – Mastercraftsman (5/6 fav)
2008 – Henrythenavigator (4/7 fav)
2007 – Excellent Art (8/1)
2006 – Araafa (2/1 fav)
2005 – Shamardal (7/4 fav)
2004 – Azamour (9/2)
2003 - Zafeen (8/1)
2002 – Rock Of Gibraltar (4/5 fav)

St James’s Palace Stakes Trends

18/18 - Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
16/18 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
15/18 – Favourites that were placed
15/18 – Had won over a mile before
14/18– Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
12/18 – Previous Group 1 winners
12/18 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
10/18 – Won their previous race
9/18 – Ran in the Irish 2000 Guineas (Curragh) last time out (7 won it)
6/18 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
5/18 – Had run at Ascot before
Just 2 winners from stall 1 or 2 in the last 12 runnings
6 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 4 or 5

 

3.35 - Diamond Jubilee Stakes (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 6f

Diamond Jubilee Stakes Recent Winners

2019 – Blue Point (6/4 fav)
2018 – Merchant Navy (4/1)
2017 – The Tin Man (9/2)
2016 – Twilight Son (7/2)
2015 – Undrafted (14/1)
2014 – Slade Power (7/2 fav)
2013 – Lethal Force (11/1)
2012 – Black Caviar (1/6 fav)
2011 – Society Rock (25/1)
2010 – Starspanglebanner (13/2 jfav)
2009 – Art Connoisseur (20/1)
2008 – Kingsgate Native (33/1)
2007 – Soldier’s Tale (9/1)
2006 – Les Arcs (33/1)
2005 – Cape Of Good Hope (8/1)
2004 - Fayr Jag (12/1)
2003 – Choisir (13/2)

Diamond Jubilee Stakes Key Trends

16/17 – Previous distance (6f) winners
14/17 – Aged 5 or younger
14/17 – Previous Group Race winners
12/17 – Failed to win their last race
12/17 – Had run at Ascot before
10/17 – Won by a UK-based yard
8/17 – Returned a double-figure price
8/17 – Unplaced favourites
6/17 – Ran in the King’s Stand Stakes earlier at the meeting
4/17 – Winning favourite (joint)
2/17 – Trained by James Fanshawe
6 of the last 15 winners were Irish-bred
8 of the last 15 winners came from a double-figure draw
No winner from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings
6 of the last 15 winners returned a double-figure price.

 

4.10 - Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-110) 6f

Wokingham Stakes Recent Winners

2019 – Cape Byron (7/2 fav)
2018 – Bacchus (33/1)
2017 – Out Do (25/1)
2016 – Outback Traveller (10/1)
2015 – Interception (10/1)
2014 – Baccarat (9/1)
2013 – York Glory (14/1)
2012 – Dandy Boy (33/1)
2011 – Deacon Blues (15/2)
2010 – Laddies Poker Two (9/2 fav)
2009 – High Standing (8/1)
2008 – Big Timer I (20/1)
2007 – Dark Missile (22/1)
2006 – Baltic King (10/1)
2005 – Iffraaj (9/4 fav)
2004 – Lafi (6/1 fav)
2003 – Ratio (14/1) / Fayr Jag (10/1)  (dead-heat)

 

Wokingham Stakes Key Trends

20/20 – Had won before over 6f or 7f
20/20 – Had no more than 4 runs that season­­
19/20 – Finished sixth or better last time out
18/20 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
17/20 – Had won a race over 6f before
17/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/20 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
12/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/20 – Had run at Ascot before (7 had won here)
10/20 – Ran at either Ascot, Goodwood or Newmarket last time
6/20 – Won their previous race
5/20 – Won by the favourite
10 of the last 14 winners carried 9-3 or less in weight
9 of the last 14 winners returned 14/1 or shorter
10 of the last 14 winners came from a double-figure draw
9 of the last 10 winners came from a double-figure stall
7 of the last 9 runnings - the top 2 finishers all came from double-figure stalls
Horse from stall 15 has been placed in 3 of the last 9 runnings
Since 1980 there have been only 8 winning favourites
Since 1980 there have been 31 winners returning a double-figure price

 

4.40 - Queen Alexandra Stakes (Conditions Race) (CLASS 2) (4yo+) 2m5f159y

Queen Alexandra Stakes Recent Winners

2019 – Cleonte (7/2)
2018 – Pallasator (11/2)
2017 – Oriental Fox (10/1)
2016 – Commissioned (12/1)
2015 – Oriental Fox (4/1)
2014 – Pique Sous (11/4)
2013 – Chiberta King (8/1)
2012 – Simenon (11/4 fav)
2011 – Swingkeel (11/2)
2010 – Bergo (10/1)
2009 – Caracciola (6/1)
2008 – Honolulu (7/4 fav)
2007 – Enjoy The Moment (6/1)
2006 – Baddam (11/2)
2005 – Cruzspiel (10/1)
2004 – Corrib Eclipse (25/1)
2003 – Cover Up (4/5 fav)

Queen Alexandra Stakes Key Trends

15/17 – Finished unplaced last time out
11/17 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
10/17 – Had run at Ascot before
10/17 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years old
5/17 – Won by a NH yard
5/17 – Irish-trained winners
3/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Trained by Willie Mullins
2/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/17 – Trained by Gordon Elliott
10 of the last 14 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
12 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 9-16 (inc)
11 of the last 14 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

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3 replies
    • Matt Bisogno
      Matt Bisogno says:

      No day 5 preview, Vic, as per yesterday’s email and the bottom of the Day 4 preview.

      One day per meeting, it’s all for themselves. Good luck!

      Matt

      Reply

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