2020 Royal Ascot Trends – Day One (Tues 16th June)

2020 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

GOOD NEWS - The 2020 ROYAL ASCOT  fixture is on!!  But, Ascot officials have already stated it will be done behind closed doors.

So, if the 2020 Royal Ascot Meeting is on, we get going with some cracking contests that include the Group One King's Stand Stakes and the Group Two Ribblesdale Stakes as two of the feature races on a seven-race card.

Did You Know - ALL of the last 18 King's Stand Stakes winners were aged 7 or younger?

Like all big race days here at GEEGEEZ we've got it all covered with key trends and stats, plus our free tips (to be added once final runners are out) - use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

Day One – Tuesday 16th June 2020

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1.15 - Buckingham Palace Handicap (3yo+) 7f

5/5 – Returned 12/1 or bigger in the betting
5/5 – Had run at Ascot before
5/5 – Had won over at least 6f before
5/5 – Had 5+ wins before
5/5 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
5/5 – Unplaced favourites
4/5 – Bred in Ireland
4/5 – Rated between 93-98
4/5 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
4/5 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
4/5 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
2/5 – Came from stall 29
2/5 – Ran at Ascot last time out
0/5 – Winning favourites

Note: This race was last run at the meeting in 2014

 

1.50 - Queen Anne Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 1m

Recent Queen Anne Stakes Winners

2019 – Lord Glitters (14/1)
2018 – Accidental Agent (33/1)
2017 – Ribchester (11/10 fav)
2016 – Tepin (11/2)
2015 – Solow (11/8 fav)
2014 – Toronado (4/5 fav)
2013 – Declaration Of War (15/2)
2012 – Frankel (1/10 fav)
2011 – Canford Cliffs (11/8)
2010 – Goldikova (11/8 fav)
2009 – Paco Boy (10/3)
2008 – Haradasun (5/1)
2007 – Ramonti (5/1)
2006 – Ad Valorem (13/2)
2005 – Valixir (4/1)
2004 – Refuse To Bend (12/1)
2003 – Dubai Destination (9/2)
2002 – No Excuse Needed (13/2)

Queen Anne Stakes Trends

Your first 30 days for just £1

17/18 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/18 – Previous winners over 1 mile
15/18 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs that season
14/18 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Had already won a Group 1 race
12/18 - Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
12/18 – Won by a 4 year-old
10/18 – Had never run at Ascot before
10/18 – Trained by either R Hannon (3), A P O’Brien (3) or Godolphin (4)
9/18 – Favourites that were unplaced
9/18 – Ran in the Lockinge Stakes at Newbury last time out
8/18 – Won their previous race
5/18 – Winning favourites
3/18  - Ridden by Frankie Dettori
Only 2 winners from Stall 1 in the last 12 runnings
9 of the last 12 winners came from stalls 4 or higher

 

2.25 - Ribblesdale Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) Winner £77,092 1m4f

Ribblesdale Stakes Recent Winners

2019 – Star Catcher (4/1)
2018 – Magic Wand (10/3)
2017 – Coronet (9/1)
2016 – Even Song (15/8 fav)
2015 – Curvy (9/2)
2014 – Bracelet (10/1)
2013 – Riposte (9/2)
2012 – Princess Highway (17/2)
2011 – Banimpire (3/1 fav)
2010 – Hibaayeb (4/1 jfav)
2009 – Flying Cloud (5/1)
2008 – Michita (10/3 fav)
2007 – Silkwood (4/1)
2006 – Mont Etoile (25/1)
2005 – Thakafaat (22/1)
2004 – Punctilious (9/2)
2003 – Spanish Sun (9/2)

Ribblesdale Stakes Key Trends

15/17 – Had at least 2 previous races that season
14/17 – Had never raced at Ascot before
13/17 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
13/17 – Placed in their previous race
12/17 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/17 – Placed favourites
10/17 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
7/17 – Won their last race
6/17 – Irish-trained winners (5 of last 8)
4/17 – Winning favourites
4/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/17 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
3/17 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of last 6)
3/17 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
3/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Just two winners from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings
7 of the last 14 winners came between stalls 3-6 (inc)

 

3.00 - King Edward VII Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m4f

King Edward VII Stakes Recent Winners

2019 – Japan (6/4 fav)
2018 – Old Persian (9/2)
2017 – Permian (6/1)
2016 – Across The Stars (7/1)
2015 – Balios (3/1)
2014 – Eagle Top (12/1)
2013 – Hillstar (15/2)
2012 – Thomas Chippendale (9/2)
2011 – Nathaniel (11/4 fav)
2010 – Monterosso (7/2)
2009 – Father Time (9/1)
2008 – Campanologist (9/1)
2007 – Boscobel (7/1)
2006 – Papal Bull (5/4 fav)
2005 – Plea Bargain (9/2)
2004 – Five Dynasties (11/4 fav)
2003 – High Accolade (5/2 fav)

King Edward VII Stakes Key Trends

17/17 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
16/17 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the
13/17 – Had never raced at Ascot before
12/17 – Placed favourites
12/17 – Finished in the top three last time out
10/17 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
10/17 - Had won at least 2 previous races during their career
7/17 – Had already won a Listed or better class race
5/17 – Winning favourites
3/17 – Trained by John Gosden
3/17 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston
No winner from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings
11 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 4-9 (inc)
13 of the last 14 winners returned 9/1 or shorter

 

3.35 - King´s Stand Stakes (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 5f

Recent King’s Stand Stakes Winners

2019 – Blue Point (5/2)
2018 – Blue Point (6/1)
2017 – Lady Aurelia (7/2)
2016 – Profitable (4/1)
2015 – Goldream (20/1)
2014 – Sole Power (5/1)
2013 – Sole Power (8/1)
2012 - Little Bridge (12/1)
2011 - Prohibit (7/1)
2010 - Equiano (9/2)
2009 - Scenic Blast (11/4 fav)
2008 - Equiano (22/1)
2007 - Miss Andretti (3/1 fav)
2006 - Takeover Target (7/1)
2005 - Chineur (7/1)
2004 - The Tatling (8/1)
2003 – Choisir (25/1)

King’s Stand Stakes Trends

18/18 – Aged 7 or younger
16/18 – Had won a Group race before
15/18 – Aged 4 or older
15/18 – Had won over 5f before
13/18 – Finished first or second last time out
13/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Had run at Ascot before (8 had won at the track)
10/18 – Favourites placed
10/18 – Won by a non-UK based trained horse
6/18 – Ran at either Flemington (3) or Chantilly (3) last time out
6/18 – Favourites that finished third
3/18 – Won by an Australian-trained horse
3/18 – 3 Year-old winners
3/18 – Winning favourites
A horse from stalls 9, 11 & 14 has been placed in 11 of the last 12 runnings

 

4.10 - The Duke of Cambridge Stakes (Windsor Forest) (Group 2) 1m

Duke of Cambridge Recent Winners

2019 – Move Swiftly (9/1)
2018 – Aljazzi (9/2)
2017 – Qemah (5/2 fav)
2016 – Usherette (9/4 fav)
2015 – Amazing Maria (25/1)
2014 – Integral (9/4 fav)
2013 – Duntle (10/3)
2012 – Joviality (11/1)
2011 – Lolly For Dolly (11/1)
2010 – Strawberrydaiquiri (9/2)
2009 – Spacious (10/1)
2008 – Sabana Perdida (4/1)
2007 – Nannina (3/1 co-fav)
2006 – Soviet Song (11/8 fav)
2005 – Peeress (14/1)
2004 – Favourable Terms (13/2)

 

Duke of Cambridge Trends

15/16 – Had won over a mile (or further) before
14/16 – Had won a Group 3 or better race before
14/16 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
14/16 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
13/16 – Won by a 4 year-old
11/16 – Had run at Ascot before
9/16 – Favourites that were placed
7/16 – Had won at Ascot before
5/16 – Returned a double-figure price
5/16 – Winning favourites (1 co)
4/16 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
4/16 – Ran at Epsom last time out
4/16 – Owned by Cheveley Park Stud
2/16 – Trained by John Gosden
2/16 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/16 – Winners from stall 1
Only four placed horses (2 winners) from stall 1 in the last 16 runnings

 

4.40 - Ascot Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (4yo+ 0-95) 2m4f

Ascot Stakes Recent Winners

2019 – The Grand Visir (12/1)
2018 – Lagostovegas (10/1)
2017 – Thomas Hobson (4/1 fav)
2016 – Jennies Jewel (6/1)
2015 – Clondaw Warrior (5/1 fav)
2014 – Domination (12/1)
2013 – Well Sharp (9/1)
2012 – Simenon (8/1)
2011 – Veiled (11/2)
2010 – Junior (17/2)
2009 – Judgethemoment (13/2)
2008 – Missoula (20/1)
2007 – Full House (20/1)
2006 – Baddam (33/1)
2005 – Leg Spinner (9/1)
2004 – Double Obsession (25/1)
2003 – Sindapour (12/1)
2002 – Riyadh (7/1 fav)

Ascot Stakes Trends

16/18 – Carried 9-0 or more
14/18 – Won by a stable better known for their NH runners
14/18 – Had at least 1 previous run on the flat that season
12/18 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
11/18 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
9/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
8/18 – Won their previous race
3/18 – Trained by the Pipe stable
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 – Trained by Willie Mullins
7 of the last 12 winners came from a double-figure stall
Just one winner (or placed) horse from stall 1 placed in the last 12 runnings

 

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