2020 Royal Ascot Trends – Day Three (Thurs 18th June)

2020 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

 

The 2020 ROYAL ASCOT  fixture is on!!  But, Ascot officials have already stated it will be done behind closed doors.

We look ahead to DAY THREE at  ROYAL ASCOT and we've seven more top-notch races to take in, but day three has always only ever been about one race - the Ascot Gold Cup! Trainer Aidan O'Brien will be going for his 8th win in the race.

Did you know - 14 of the last 18 Ascot Gold Cup favourites finished in the top three?

Like all big race days here at GEEGEEZ we've got it all covered with key trends and stats, plus our free tips (to be added once final runners are out) - use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

Thursday 18th June 2020

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Thursday 18th June 2020

 

1.15 - Golden Gates Handicap (3yo) 1m2f

New Race

 

1.50 - Wolferton Rated Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (4yo+ 0-110) 1m2f

Wolferton Rated Stakes Recent Winners

2019 – Addeybb (5/1)
2018 – Monarchs Glen (8/1)
2017 – Snoano (25/1)
2016 – Sir Isaac Newton (7/1)
2015 – Mahsoob (7/4 fav)
2014 – Contributer (9/1)
2013 – Forgotten Voice (12/1)
2012 – Gatewood (3/1 fav)
2011 – Beachfire (12/1)
2010 – Rainbow Peak (13/8 fav)
2009 – Perfect Stride (8/1)
2008 – Supaseus (12/1)
2007 – Championship Point (25/1)
2006 – I’m So Lucky (16/1)
2005 – Imperial Stride (25/1)
2004 – Red Fort (6/1)
2003 – In Time’s Eye (5/1)

 

Wolferton Rated Stakes Key Trends

14/17 – Had between 1 and 3 runs already that season
13/17 – Had won 3 or more races during their career
12/17 – Finished unplaced last time out
12/17 – Aged 4 years-old
11/17 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
11/17 – Unplaced favourites
9/17 – Had run at Ascot before
8/17 – Returned a double-figure price
7/17 – Ran at either York (4) or Goodwood (3) last time out
4/17 – Trained by John Gosden (4 of last 9)
2/17 – Trained at Kremlin House Stables (Roger Varian/M Jarvis)
2/17 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/17 – Winning favourites
10 of the last 14 winners returned 7/1 or bigger

Your first 30 days for just £1

 

2.25 - Jersey Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 7f

Recent Jersey Stakes Winners

2019 – Space Traveller (25/1)
2018 – Expert Eye (8/1)
2017 – Le Brivido (2/1 fav)
2016 – Ribchester (7/1)
2015 – Dutch Connection (14/1)
2014 – Mustajeeb (9/2 jfav)
2013 – Gale Force Ten (9/2 fav)
2012 – Ishvana (20/1)
2011 – Strong Suit (11/1)
2010 – Rainfall (8/1)
2009 – Ouqba (12/1)
2008 – Aqlaam (13/2)
2007 – Tariq (15/2)
2006 – Jeremy (9/2)
2005 – Proclamation (7/1)
2004 – Kheleyf (6/1)
2003 – Membership (20/1)
2002 -  Just James (20/1)

 

Jersey Stakes Trends

17/18 – Had at least 1 run already that season
14/18 – Had 4 or more career runs
11/18 – Had won over 7f before
10/18 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
9/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
8/18 – Unplaced favourites
8/18 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
8/18 – Horses from stall 8 placed
7/18 – Had run at Ascot before
7/18 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/18 – Won their previous race
3/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 wins in total)
2/18 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (5 wins in total)
The Irish have won 3 of the last 8 runnings
The horse from stall 11 has finished 2nd in 5 of the last 12 runnings

 

3.00 - Chesham Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 7f

Chesham Stakes Recent Winners

2019 – Pinatubo (3/1)
2018 – Arthur Kitt (13/2)
2017 – September (11/8 fav)
2016 – Churchill (8/11 fav)
2015 – Suits You (14/1)
2014 – Richard Pankhurst (10/1)
2013 – Berkshire (16/1)
2012 – Tha’ir (9/2)
2011 – Maybe (5/2 fav)
2010 – Zaidan (7/1)
2009 – Big Audio (22/1)
2008 – Free Agent (7/2 jfav)
2007 – Maze (11/2)
2006 – Champlain (7/2)
2005 – Championship Point (4/1)
2004 – Whazzat (7/1)
2003 – Pearl Of Love (11/10 fav)

 

Chesham Stakes Key Trends

17/17 – Had no more than 2 previous career runs
16/17 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/17 – Ran over 6f last time out (10 won)
14/17 – Had just 1 previous career run
14/17 – Were foaled in March or earlier
12/17 – Won their previous race
12/17 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
5/17 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/17 – Irish trained-winners (Aiden O’Brien)
2/17 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/17 – Trained by Richard Hannon
Ryan Moore has ridden the winners in 2011, 2016 and 2017
13 of the last 14 winners came between stalls 1-8
7 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 1 (3) or 7 (4)
11 of the last 14 winners returned 10/1 or shorter
Trainer Paul Cole has won the race 4 times before

 

3.35 - Gold Cup (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m4f

Recent Ascot Gold Cup Winners

2019 – Stradivarius (Evs fav)
2018 – Stradivarius (7/4 jfav)
2017 – Big Orange (5/1)
2016 – Order Of St George (10/11 fav)
2015 – Trip To Paris (12/1)
2014 – Leading Light (10/11 fav)
2013 – Estimate (7/2 fav)
2012 – Colour Vision (6/1)
2011 – Fame And Glory (11/8 fav)
2010 – Rite of Passage (20/1)
2009 – Yeats (6/4 fav)
2008 – Yeats (11/8 fav)
2007 – Yeats (8/13 fav)
2006 – Yeats (7/1)
2005 – Westerner (7/4 fav)
2004 – Papineau (5/1)
2003 – Mr Dinos (3/1)
2002 – Royal Rebel (16/1)

Key Ascot Gold Cup Trends

16/18 – Had no more than 2 previous runs that season
15/18 – Had won over at least 2 miles on the flat before
15/18 – Had between 1-2 previous runs that season
14/18 – Favourites that were placed
13/18 – Won their last race
12/18 – Previous Group 1 winners
10/18 – Aged 5 or older
10/18 – Won by the favourite
7/18 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
5/18 – Ran at Sandown last time out (Henry II Stakes)
12 of the last 14 winners returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9 of the last 14 winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
7 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
Godolphin won the race in 1996, 1998, 2004 & 2012
Aidan O’Brien has trained the winner in 2016, 2014, 2011, 2009, 2008, 2007, 2006
Since 1949 there have been 14 multiple winners of the race

 

4.10 - Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m

Britannia Stakes Recent Winners

2019 – Biometric (28/1)
2018 – Ostillo (10/1)
2017 – Bless Him (25/1)
2016 – Defrocked (13/2)
2015 – War Envoy (10/1)
2014 – Born In China (14/1)
2013 – Beauty Flame (20/1)
2012 – Fast Or Free (6/1 fav)
2011 – Sagramor (8/1)
2010 – Ransom Note (9/1)
2009 – Fareer (20/1)
2008 – Fifteen Love (28/1)
2007 – Eddie Jock (33/1)
2006 – Sir Gerard (9/2 fav)
2005 – Mostashaar (10/3 fav)
2004 – Mandobi (8/1)
2003 – New Seeker (16/1)

Britannia Stakes Key Trends

15/17 – Had no more than 3 previous runs that season
14/17 – Had won a race over 7f or 1m before
13/17 – Failed to win their previous race
13/17 – Placed last time out
13/17 – Carried 8-13 or less
12/17 – Had never run at Ascot before
11/17 – Returned a double-figure price
10/17 – Unplaced favourites
8/17 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
7/17 – Had only won over 7f previously
4/17 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
3/17 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/17 – Winning favourites
2/17 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Just one top three finish horse from stall 1 in the last 14 runnings
10 of the last 14 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

 

4.40 - Sandringham Handicap (Listed Race) 1m


Sandringham Handicap Recent Winners

2019 – Thanks Be (33/1)
2018 – Agrotera (11/2 fav)
2017 – Con Te Partiro (20/1)
2016 – Persuasive (11/4 fav)
2015 – Osaila (13/2)
2014 – Muteela (9/2 fav)
2013 – Annecdote (11/1)
2012 – Duntle (4/1 fav)
2011 – Rhythm Of Light (8/1)
2010 – Timepiece (5/1)
2009 – Moneycantbuymelove (9/2 fav)
2008 – Festivale (10/1)
2007 – Barshiba (16/1)
2006 – Red Evie (5/1 co-fav)
2005 – Beautyandthebeast (9/2)
2004 – Celtic Heroine (11/1)
2003 – Hold To Ransom (11/1)
2002 – Tashawak (12/1)

 

Sandringham Handicap Trends

16/18 – Had between 2 and 4 previous runs that season
15/18 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
14/18 – Had never run at Ascot before
13/18 – Had won over at least 7f before
12/18 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
12/18 – Placed in their previous race
11/18 – Carried 8-11 or more
8/18 – Won their last race
8/18 – Returned a double-figure price
7/18 – Had exactly 3 runs already that season
6/18 – Winning favourites (1 co)
4/18 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
3/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (7 winners in all)

 

 

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