2021 Royal Ascot Trends – Day Three (Thurs 17th June)

We look ahead to DAY THREE at  ROYAL ASCOT and we've seven more top-notch races to take in, but day three has always only ever been about one race - the Ascot Gold Cup! Trainer Aidan O'Brien will be going for his 8th win in the contest.

Did you know - 15 of the last 19 Ascot Gold Cup favourites finished in the top three?

Like all big race days, here at GEEGEEZ we've got it all covered with key trends and stats - use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

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2021 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends

Thursday 17th June 2021

 

2.30 - Norfolk Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 5f ITV4

Norfolk Stakes Recent Winners

2020 – The Lir Jet (9/2)
2019 – A’Ali (5/1)
2018 – Shang Shang Shang (5/1)
2017 – Sioux Nation (14/1)
2016 – Prince Of Lir (8/1)
2015 – Waterloo Bridge (12/1)
2014 – Baitha Alga (8/1)
2013 – No Nay Never (4/1)
2012 – Reckless Abandon (4/1)
2011 – Bapak Chinta (6/1)
2010 – Approve (16/1)
2009 – Radiohead (10/1)
2008 – South Central (11/4 fav)
2007 – Winker Watson (2/1 fav)
2006 – Dutch Art (11/4)
2005 – Masta Plasta (7/2)
2004 – Blue Dakota (5/4 fav)
2003 – Russian Valour (4/1)

Norfolk Stakes Key Trends


18/18 – Had at least 1 previous run
17/18 – Previous winners over 5f
16/18 – Had a RPR of 106+
16/18 – Had never raced at Ascot before
15/18 – Won their previous race
14/18 – Foaled in March or April
11/18 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
10/18 – Favourites placed
5/18 – Returned a double-figure price
3/18 – Winning favourites
3/18 – Ran at Windsor last time out
2/18 – Trained by Wesley Ward
2/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (4 wins in total)
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Aidan O’Brien has trained 2 of the last 6 winners
10 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 7-12 (inc)

 

3.05 - Hampton Court Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m2f ITV4

Hampton Court Stakes Recent Winners

2020 – Russian Emperor (10/3)
2019 – Sangarius (13/2)
2018 – Hunting Horn (5/1)
2017 – Benbatl (9/2)
2016 – Hawkbill (11/2)
2015 – Time Test (15/8 fav)
2014 – Cannock Chase (7/4 fav)
2013 – Remote (9/4 fav)
2012 – Energizer (15/2)
2011 – Pisco Sour (20/1)
2010 – Afsare (9/4 fav)
2009 – Glass Harmonium (8/1)
2008 – Collection (13/2)
2007 – Zaham (7/2 fav)
2006 – Snoqualmie Boy (33/1)
2005 – Indigo Cat (3/1 fav)
2004 – Moscow Ballet (8/1)
2003 – Persian Majesty (8/1)

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Hampton Court Stakes Key Trends

17/18 – Had not raced at Ascot before
15/18 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
15/18 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
11/18 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/18 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs that season
10/18 – Had won over 1m2f before
8/18 – Unplaced favourites
6/18 – Winning favourites
4/18 - Ran at Epsom last time out
4/18 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
4/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/18 – Won by trainer Sir Michael Stoute
No winner from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings
13 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 5 or higher
10 of the last 15 winners came from stall 5-9 (inc)

 

3.40 - Ribblesdale Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) Winner £77,092 1m4f ITV4

Ribblesdale Stakes Recent Winners

2020 – Frankly Darling (11/8 fav)
2019 – Star Catcher (4/1)
2018 – Magic Wand (10/3)
2017 – Coronet (9/1)
2016 – Even Song (15/8 fav)
2015 – Curvy (9/2)
2014 – Bracelet (10/1)
2013 – Riposte (9/2)
2012 – Princess Highway (17/2)
2011 – Banimpire (3/1 fav)
2010 – Hibaayeb (4/1 jfav)
2009 – Flying Cloud (5/1)
2008 – Michita (10/3 fav)
2007 – Silkwood (4/1)
2006 – Mont Etoile (25/1)
2005 – Thakafaat (22/1)
2004 – Punctilious (9/2)
2003 – Spanish Sun (9/2)

Ribblesdale Stakes Key Trends

15/18 – Had at least 2 previous races that season
15/18 – Had never raced at Ascot before
14/18 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
14/18 – Placed in their previous race
13/18 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
13/18 – Placed favourites
10/18 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
7/18 – Won their last race
6/18 – Irish-trained winners (5 of last 9)
5/18 – Winning favourites
5/18 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/18 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
3/18 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of last 7)
3/18 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
3/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Just two winners from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings
8 of the last 15 winners came between stalls 3-6 (inc)

 

4.15 - Ascot Gold Cup (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m4f ITV

Recent Ascot Gold Cup Winners

2020 – Stradivarius (4/5 fav)
2019 – Stradivarius (Evs fav)
2018 – Stradivarius (7/4 jfav)
2017 – Big Orange (5/1)
2016 – Order Of St George (10/11 fav)
2015 – Trip To Paris (12/1)
2014 – Leading Light (10/11 fav)
2013 – Estimate (7/2 fav)
2012 – Colour Vision (6/1)
2011 – Fame And Glory (11/8 fav)
2010 – Rite of Passage (20/1)
2009 – Yeats (6/4 fav)
2008 – Yeats (11/8 fav)
2007 – Yeats (8/13 fav)
2006 – Yeats (7/1)
2005 – Westerner (7/4 fav)
2004 – Papineau (5/1)
2003 – Mr Dinos (3/1)
2002 – Royal Rebel (16/1)

Key Ascot Gold Cup Trends

17/19 – Had no more than 2 previous runs that season
16/19 – Had won over at least 2 miles on the flat before
16/19 – Had between 1-2 previous runs that season
15/19 – Favourites that were placed
14/19 – Won their last race
13/19 – Previous Group 1 winners
11/19 – Aged 5 or older
11/19 – Won by the favourite
7/19 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien
5/19 – Ran at Sandown last time out (Henry II Stakes)
13 of the last 15 winners returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
10 of the last 15 winners returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
8 of the last 15 winners came from stalls 1-5 (inc)
Godolphin won the race in 1996, 1998, 2004 & 2012
Aidan O’Brien has trained the winner in 2016, 2014, 2011, 2009, 2008, 2007, 2006
John Gosden has trained the winner in 2018, 2019 and 2020
Since 1949 there have been 15 multiple winners of the race

 

5.00 - Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m ITV4

Britannia Stakes Recent Winners

2020 – Khaloosy (9/2)
2019 – Biometric (28/1)
2018 – Ostillo (10/1)
2017 – Bless Him (25/1)
2016 – Defrocked (13/2)
2015 – War Envoy (10/1)
2014 – Born In China (14/1)
2013 – Beauty Flame (20/1)
2012 – Fast Or Free (6/1 fav)
2011 – Sagramor (8/1)
2010 – Ransom Note (9/1)
2009 – Fareer (20/1)
2008 – Fifteen Love (28/1)
2007 – Eddie Jock (33/1)
2006 – Sir Gerard (9/2 fav)
2005 – Mostashaar (10/3 fav)
2004 – Mandobi (8/1)
2003 – New Seeker (16/1)

Britannia Stakes Key Trends

16/18 – Had no more than 3 previous runs that season
15/18 – Had won a race over 7f or 1m before
14/18 – Placed last time out
13/18 – Failed to win their previous race
13/18 – Carried 8-13 or less
13/18 – Had never run at Ascot before
11/18 – Returned a double-figure price
10/18 – Unplaced favourites
8/18 – Had exactly 2 previous runs that season
7/18 – Had only won over 7f previously
4/18 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
3/18 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/18 – Winning favourites
2/18 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
Just one top three finish horse from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings
11 of the last 15 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

5.35 - King George V Stakes (Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo 0-105) 1m4f ITV4

King George V Stakes Recent Winners

2020 – Hukum (12/1)
2019 – South Pacific (22/1)
2018 – Baghdad (9/1)
2017 – Atty Persse (7/1)
2016 - Primitivo (13/2)
2015 – Space Age (9/1)
2014 – Elite Army (4/1 jfav)
2013 – Elidor (20/1)
2012 – Fennell Bay (12/1)
2011 – Brown Panther (4/1 jfav)
2010 – Dandino (7/1)
2009 – Cosmic Sun (66/1)
2008 – Colony (11/2 fav)
2007 – Heron Bay (20/1)
2006 – Linas Selection (9/2)
2005 – Munsef (14/1)
2004 – Admiral (9/1)
2003 – Fantastic Love (10/1)

 

King George V Stakes Key Trends

17/18 – Had at least 2 previous runs that same season
17/18 – Had between 2 and 4 previous runs that season
17/18 – Never raced at Ascot before
17/18 – Placed last time out
15/18 – Carried 8-13 or less
11/18 – Returned 9/1 or bigger in the betting
12/18 – Had won over at least 1m2f previously
9/18 – Favourites placed
9/18 – Won their previous race
6/18 – Won by trainers Sir Michael Stoute (2) or Mark Johnston (4)
4/18 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/18 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
2/18 – Godolphin-owned
10 of the last 15 winners came between stalls 10-20 (inc)
8 of the last 15 winners came between stalls 10-16 (inc)

 

6.10 - Buckingham Palace Handicap (3yo+) 7f ITV4

6/6 – Returned 12/1 or bigger in the betting
6/6 – Had run at Ascot before
6/6 – Had won over at least 6f before
6/6 – Unplaced favourites
5/6 – Had 5+ wins before
5/6 – Had run in the last 6 weeks
5/6 – Rated between 93-98
5/6 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
5/6 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
4/6 – Bred in Ireland
4/6 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
2/6 – Came from stall 29
2/6 – Ran at Ascot last time out
0/6 – Winning favourites
Motakhayyel (14/1) won the race in 2020

 

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