Top Ten Draw Biases: Goodwood features

2022 Glorious Goodwood Trends – Day One (Tues 26th July)

It's panama hats, pimms, plus strawberries and cream galore at the end of July with the 5-day Glorious Goodwood Meeting (Tues 26th July to Sat 30th July). As always, the West Sussex track can expect monster crowds throughout the week with a whole host of top-notch contests each day for punters to get stuck into.

So we'll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races.

We get going on Day One with four LIVE ITV races, including the Vintage Stakes and Lennox Stakes, plus the recently upgraded Group One Goodwood Cup.

2022 Glorious Goodwood Trends

DAY ONE - Tuesday 26th July 2022

1.50 – Coral Chesterfield Cup Handicap Cl2 1m1f192y ITV

19/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
18/20 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
16/20 – Had won at least 3 times already during their career
16/20 – Carried 8-10 or more
15/20 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
14/20 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
13/20 – Unplaced last time out
11/20 – Had run at Goodwood before
11/20 – Unplaced favourites
11/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/20 – Trained by Mark Johnston
5/20 – Winning favourites (1 co-fav)
3/20 – Won their last race
2/20 – Trained by Mick Channon
2021 Winner: Migration (2/1 fav)
11 of the last 16 winners came from stalls 9 or higher
10 of the last 16 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

2.25 – Japan Racing Association Vintage Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

19/20 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
19/20 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
19/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
16/20 – Had 2 or 3 previous career runs
15/20 – Won last time out
15/20 – Placed favourites
13/20 – Winning favourites
12/20 – Won by a March or later-born foal
11/20 – Ran at either Newmarket or Ascot last time out
9/20 – Had won 2 previous races
4/20 – Had run at Goodwood before
4/20 – Trained by Richard Hannon
4/20 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of the last 8)
3 of the last 12 winners came from stall 9
2021 Winner: Angel Bleu (100/30)

 

3.00 – World Pool Lennox Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

20/20 – Had won at least 2 times before
18/20 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
18/20 – Had 2 or more previous runs already that season
17/20 – Had won over 7f before
17/20 – Previous Group Race winners
16/20 – Had previously won a Group 2 or 3
13/20 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/20 – Had run at Goodwood before
8/20 - Winning favourites
7/20 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/20 – Trained by Richard Hannon
11 of the last 13 winners came from stalls 7 or lower
3 of the last 11 came from stall 5
2021 Winner: Space Blues (2/1 fav)

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3.35 – Al Shaqab Goodwood Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 2m ITV

17/20 – Placed last time out
16/20 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
16/20 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
15/20 – Aged 5 or older
14/20 – Had won over at least 2m before
13/20 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
12/20 – Ran at Ascot last time out
12/20 – Had run at Goodwood before
12/20 – Winning favourites
11/20 – Won their previous race
4/20 – Trained by John Gosden (5 wins in total)
4/20 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
4/20 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (7 wins in total)
2/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/20 – Trained by Michael Bell
Just one winner aged 8 or older in the last 18 runnings
All of the last 18 winners had run in the last 45 days
Stradivarius won the race in 2017, 2018, 2019 and 2020
Trainer John Gosden has trained 4 of the last 5 winners
8 of the last 26 runnings were won by a previous winner of the race
14 of the last 15 winners came from stall 10 or lower
2021 Winner: Trueshan (6/5 fav)

 

4.10 – Nicholson Gin Handicap (Class 2) (4yo+ 0-105) 5f ITV

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Unplaced last time out
7/7 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
6/7 – Rated between 88-98
6/7 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
6/7 – Drawn in stalls 9 or lower
5/7 – Returned 14/1 or bigger in the betting
5/7 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
5/7 – Won over 5f in the past
4/7 – Won between 3-6 times
4/7 – Ran at Goodwood before
2/7 – Trained by John Quinn
2/7 – Ridden by PJ McDonald
2/7 – Came from stall 6
2/7 – Ran at Ascot last time out
0/7 – Winning favourites
Lord Riddiford (13/2) won the race in 2021

 

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