2022 Newmarket July Festival Trends – Day Three, Saturday 9th July geegeez.co.uk

As we head into day three of the Newmarket July Festival this Saturday there is bundles more to look forward to with five more LIVE ITV races too. The Group One July Cup (4:25) spearheads the afternoon's action at HQ and, as always, we've got all the ITV races covered with key trends to help you find the winners.

Newmarket July Meeting - Day Three, Saturday 9^th July 2022

2.05 - Bedford Lodge Hotel & Spa Fillies’ Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-100) 7f ITV

13/13 – Ran in the last 6 weeks
12/13 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
12/13 – Didn’t win last time out
12/13 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
10/13 - Had won over at least 7f before
9/13 – Ran in the last 3 weeks
9/13 – Rated between 83-93 (inc)
8/13 – Placed favourites
6/13 – Drawn in stalls 10, 11 or 13 (2 each)
4/13 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/13 – Trained by the Hannon yard
2/13 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/13 – Winning favourites

2.40 - bet365 Mile (Handicap) Cl2 1m ITV

18/20 – Had won over 7f or further previously
16/20 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
15/20 – Had 2 or more runs that season
11/20 – Unplaced in their last race
9/20 – Favourites unplaced
9/20 – Winners from stall 8 or higher
5/20 – Won their last race
4/20 – Winning Favourites
2/20 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/20 – Trained by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 4)
The Richard Hannon yard have won 3 of the last 9 runnings

3.15 - Bet365 Superlative Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

19/20 – Won over at least 6f previously
18/20 – Placed in their last race
17/20 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the market
15/20 – Won their latest race
13/20 – Won by either a March or April foal
12/20 – Had 2 or more previous career runs
10/20 – Winners from stall 5 or lower
9/20 – Favourites unplaced
6/20 – Winning Favourites
4/20 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
4/20 – Winners from stall 3
5/20 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/20 – Trained by Richard Fahey (2 of last 8 runnings)
2/20 – Trained by Mick Channon
3/20 - Ridden by William Buick
Trainer Charlie Appleby has won 4 of the last 6 runnings

3.50 - bet365 Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV

19/20 – Won over 7f previously
18/20 – Raced 3 or more times that season
14/20 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
13/20 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
12/20 – Winners from stall 14 or higher
11/20 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
10/20 – Returned between 10/1 and 16/1 in the betting
10/20 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
10/20 – Placed in their last race
9/20 – Horses from a double-figure stall that 1^st, 2^nd and 3^rd
4/20 – Favourites (inc joint and co)
3/20 – Trained by Richard Fahey
4/20 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
8 of the last 11 winners came from double-figure draws
Motakhayyel won the race in 2020 and 2021

4.25 - Darley July Cup (British Champions Series And Global Sprint Challenge) (Group 1) Cl1 6f ITV

Recent July Cup Winners.....

2021     Starman (9/2)
2020     Oxted (12/1)
2019     Ten Sovereigns (9/2)
2018     U S Navy Flag (8/1)
2017     Harry Angel (9/2)
2016     Limato (9/2 fav)
2015     Muhaarar (2/1 jfav)
2014     Slade Power (7/4 fav)
2013     Lethal Force (9/2)
2012     Mayson (20/1)
2011    Dream Ahead (7/1)

July Cup Betting Trends

19/20 – Aged 5 or younger
18/20 – Had won over 6f before
17/20 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
16/20 – Had between 1-3 previous runs that season
15/20 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
15/20 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
15/20 – Won by a horse trained in the UK
12/20 – Placed last time out
9/20 – Ran last time out in either the King’s Stand Stakes or Diamond Jubilee
9/20 – Unplaced favourites
8/20 – Won their previous race
5/20 – Winning favourites
4/20 – Irish-trained winners (O’Brien trained 2 of the last 4 winners)
2/20 – Trained By Hughie Morrison
1/20 – French-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 20 years is 8/1
Just one horse aged older than 5 has won since 1968
Aidan O’Brien has won the race 5 times before (1999, 2001, 2010, 2018 & 2019)

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Newmarket July Meeting - Day Three, Saturday 9th July 2022