Top Ten Draw Biases: Goodwood features

2023 Glorious Goodwood Trends – Day One (Tues 1st August)

It's panama hats, pimms, plus strawberries and cream galore at the end of July with the 5-day Glorious Goodwood Meeting (Tues 1st to Sat 5th August). As always, the West Sussex track can expect monster crowds throughout the week with a whole host of top-notch contests each day for punters to get stuck into.

So we'll be on-hand throughout the whole meeting to take you through the key trends for each day’s LIVE ITV races.

We get going on Day One with four LIVE ITV races, including the Vintage Stakes and Lennox Stakes, plus the recently upgraded Group One Goodwood Cup.

2023 Glorious Goodwood Trends

DAY ONE - Tuesday 1st August 2023

2.50 – Coral Chesterfield Cup Handicap Cl2 1m1f192y ITV

20/21 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
19/21 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
17/21 – Had won at least 3 times already during their career
17/21 – Carried 8-10 or more
16/21 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
14/21 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
14/21 – Unplaced last time out
12/21 – Had run at Goodwood before
12/21 – Unplaced favourites
12/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/21 – Trained by the Johnston yard (now Charlie)
5/21 – Winning favourites (1 co-fav)
3/21 – Won their last race
3/21 – Ridden by Adam Kirby (3 of the last 8)
2/21 – Trained by Mick Channon
2022 Winner: Forest Falcon (14/1)
12 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 9 or higher
11 of the last 17 winners came from a double-figure stall

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3.25 – Nicholson Gin Vintage Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

20/21 – Had won over 6f or 7f before
20/21 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
19/21 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
17/21 – Had 2 or 3 previous career runs
16/21 – Won last time out
16/21 – Placed favourites
13/21 – Winning favourites
13/21 – Won by a March or later-born foal
11/21 – Ran at either Newmarket or Ascot last time out
10/21 – Had won 2 previous races
4/21 – Had run at Goodwood before
4/21 – Trained by Richard Hannon
4/21 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
3/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of the last 9)
3 of the last 6 winners came from stall 7
8 of the last 9 winners came between stalls 5-9 (inc)
4 of the last 13 winners came from stall 9
2022 Winner: Marbaan (14/1)

 

4.00 – World Pool Lennox Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

21/21 – Had won at least 2 times before
18/21 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
19/21 – Had 2 or more previous runs already that season
18/21 – Previous Group Race winners
17/21 – Had won over 7f before
17/21 – Had previously won a Group 2 or 3
14/21 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/21 – Had run at Goodwood before
8/21 - Winning favourites
7/21 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/21 – Trained by Richard Hannon
12 of the last 14 winners came from stalls 7 or lower
3 of the last 12 came from stall 5
2022 Winner: Sandrine (12/1)

4.35 – Al Shaqab Goodwood Cup (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 2m ITV

18/21 – Placed last time out
17/21 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
17/21 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
15/21 – Aged 5 or older
15/21 – Had won over at least 2m before
14/21 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
13/21 – Ran at Ascot last time out
13/21 – Winning favourites
12/21 – Won their previous race
12/21 – Had run at Goodwood before
4/21 – Trained by John Gosden (5 wins in total)
4/21 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
4/21 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (5 wins in total)
3/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
2/21 – Trained by Michael Bell
Just one winner aged 8 or older in the last 19 runnings
All of the last 19 winners had run in the last 45 days
Stradivarius won the race in 2017, 2018, 2019 and 2020
Trainer John Gosden has trained 4 of the last 6 winners
8 of the last 27 runnings were won by a previous winner of the race
15 of the last 16 winners came from stall 10 or lower
2022 Winner: Kyprios (6/4 fav)

 

 

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