2023 Royal Ascot Betting Trends – Day Two (Weds 21st June)

As we move into the second day at ROYAL ASCOT, the feature contest on DAY TWO at Royal Ascot is the Group One Prince of Wales’s Stakes at 4.20 – Did you know – 19 of the last 20 Prince Of Wales’s Stakes winners were aged 4 or 5 years-old, while 14 of the last 20 successful horses in the race were previous Group One winners.

Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RacingTV)

Day Two – Wednesday 21st June 2023

2.30 - Queen Mary Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) 5f ITV

Queen Mary Recent Winners

2022 – Dramatised (5/2 fav)
2021 – Quick Suzy (8/1)
2020 – Campanelle (9/2)
2019 – Raffle Prize (18/1)
2018 – Signora Cabello (25/1)
2017 – Heartache (5/1)
2016 – Lady Aurelia (2/1 fav)
2015 – Acapulco (5/2 fav)
2014 – Anthem Alexander (9/4 fav)
2013 – Rizeena (6/1)
2012 – Ceiling Kitty (20/1)
2011 – Best Terms (12/1)
2010 – Maqaasid (9/4 fav)
2009 – Jealous Again (13/2)
2008 – Langs Lash (25/1)
2007 – Elletelle (20/1)
2006 – Gilded (11/2)
2005 – Flashy Wings (4/1 jfav)
2004 – Damson (11/2 jfav)
2003 – Attraction (13/8 fav)
2002 – Romantic Liason (16/1)

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Queen Mary Stakes Trends

20/21 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
20/21 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
17/21 – Had won over 5f (or shorter) before
17/21 – Won their previous race
16/21 – Won by a horse foaled between Jan-Mar
15/21 – Placed favourites
8/21 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
7/21 – Returned a double-figure price
4/21 – Trained by Wesley Ward (including 3 of last 8 runnings)
3/21 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori (3 of the last 7)
2/21 – Won by trainer Richard Hannon

3.05 – Kensington Palace Stakes (Handicap) (4yo+) fillies and mares 1m ITV

2 previous runnings
Rising Star (40/1) won this race in 2022
Trainer David Loughnane won this race in 2021
Trainer Kevin Philippart De Foy has a 25% record with his 4 year-olds at the track
Trainer Mrs Jessie Harrington has a 25% record with his 4 year-olds at the track
Trainer Owen Burrows has a 21% record with his 4+ year-olds at the track

3.40 - The Duke of Cambridge Stakes (Windsor Forest) (Group 2) 1m ITV

Duke of Cambridge Recent Winners

2022 – Saffron Beach (5/2 jfav)
2021 – Indie Angel (22/1)
2020 – Nazeef (10/3)
2019 – Move Swiftly (9/1)
2018 – Aljazzi (9/2)
2017 – Qemah (5/2 fav)
2016 – Usherette (9/4 fav)
2015 – Amazing Maria (25/1)
2014 – Integral (9/4 fav)
2013 – Duntle (10/3)
2012 – Joviality (11/1)
2011 – Lolly For Dolly (11/1)
2010 – Strawberrydaiquiri (9/2)
2009 – Spacious (10/1)
2008 – Sabana Perdida (4/1)
2007 – Nannina (3/1 co-fav)
2006 – Soviet Song (11/8 fav)
2005 – Peeress (14/1)
2004 – Favourable Terms (13/2)

Duke of Cambridge Trends

18/19 – Had won over a mile (or further) before
17/19 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
16/19 – Won by a 4 year-old
15/19 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/19 – Had won a Group 3 or better race before
12/19 – Had run at Ascot before
12/19 – Favourites that were placed
7/19 – Had won at Ascot before
6/19 – Returned a double-figure price
6/19 – Winning favourites (1 co)
5/19 – Owned by Cheveley Park Stud
4/19 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
4/19 – Ran at Epsom last time out
4/19 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 11 and 2 of last 3 runnings)
2/19 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/19 – Winners from stall 1
Only 5 placed horses (2 winners) from stall 1 in the last 19 runnings

 4.20 - Prince of Wales´s Stakes (Group 1) 1m2f ITV

Prince of Wales´s Stakes Recent Winners

2022 – State Of Rest (5/1)
2021 – Love (11/10 fav)
2020 – Lord North (5/1)
2019 – Crystal Ocean (3/1)
2018 – Poet’s Word (11/2)
2017 – Highland Reel (9/4)
2016 – My Dream Boat (16/1)
2015 – Free Eagle (5/2 fav)
2014 – The Fugue (11/2)
2013 – Al Kazeem (11/4)
2012 – So You Think (4/5 fav)
2011 – Rewilding (17/2)
2010 – Byword (5/2 fav)
2009 – Vision D’etat (4/1)
2008 – Duke of Marmalade (Evs fav)
2007 – Manduro (15/8 fav)
2006 – Ouija Board (8/1)
2005 – Azamour (11/8 fav)
2004 – Rakti (3/1)
2003 – Nayef (5/1)
2002 -  Grandera (4/1)

Prince of Wales´s Stakes Trends

21/21 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
20/21 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
20/21 – Won by a 4 or 5 year-old
18/21 – Finished in the top three last time out
17/21 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
15/21 – Were previous Group 1 winners
14/21 – Placed favourites
12/21 – Won their last race
11/21 – Had run at Ascot before
11/21 – Won by a non-UK based trainer
7/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of the last 11)
3/21 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
2/21 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse
3 of the last 15 runnings have gone to a French-trained horse

5.00 - Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) 1m ITV

Royal Hunt Cup Recent Winners

2022 – Dark Shift (13/2)
2021 – Real World (18/1)
2020 – Dark Vision (15/2)
2019 – Afaak (20/1)
2018 – Settle For Bay (16/1)
2017 – Zhui Feng (25/1)
2016 – Portage (10/1)
2015 – GM Hopkins (8/1)
2014 – Field of Dream (20/1)
2013 – Belgian Bill (33/1)
2012 – Prince Of Johanne (16/1)
2011 – Julienas (12/1)
2010 – Invisible Man (28/1)
2009 – Forgotten Voice (4/1 fav)
2008 – Mr Aviator (25/1)
2007 – Royal Oath (9/1)
2006 – Cesare (14/1)
2005 – New Seeker (11/1)
2004 – Mine (16/1)
2003 – Macadamia (8/1)
2002 – Norton (25/1)

Royal Hunt Cup Trends

19/21 – Had won over at least a mile before
18/21 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
16/21 – Carried 9-1 or less
15/21 – Unplaced favourites
15/21 – Returned a double-figure price
13/21 – Had run at Ascot before
13/21 – Won by a 4 year-old (inc 11 of the last 14 runnings)
11/21 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs that season
6/21 – Won their last race
2/21 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/21 – Won by trainer John Gosden
1/21 – Winning favourites
Overall, high number stalls have dominated in recent years
14 of the last 17 winners came from a double-figure stall
We’ve seen 3 winners from stall 33 in the last 14 runnings

 5.35 - Queen´s Vase (Listed) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 2m ITV

Queen´s Vase Recent Winners

2022 – Eldar Eldarov (5/2 fav)
2021 – Kemari (15/2)
2020 – Santiago (10/3)
2019 – Dashing Willoughby (6/1)
2018 – Kew Gardens (10/3)
2017 – Stradivarius (11/2)
2016 – Sword Fighter (33/1)
2015 – Aloft (5/2 fav)
2014 – Hartnell (7/2)
2013 – Leading Light (5/4 fav)
2012 – Estimate (3/1 fav)
2011 – Namibian (7/2 fav)
2010 – Mikhail Glinka (2/1 fav)
2009 – Holberg (7/1)
2008 – Patkai (6/4 fav)
2007 – Mahler (7/1)
2006 – Soapy Danger (4/1)
2005 – Melrose Avenue (4/1)
2004 – Duke Of Venice (9/2)
2003 – Shanty Star (7/2 fav)

Queen´s Vase Key Trends

18/20 – Had never raced at Ascot before
14/20 – Placed last time out
13/20 – Had at least 2 previous career wins
12/20 – Had run over at least 1m4f before
11/20 – Placed favourites
7/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
6/20 – Ran at either Lingfield or Haydock last time out
7/20 – Winning favourites
5/20 - Trained by the Johnston yard
5/20 - Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/20 - Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won it 4 times in all)
2/20 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
No winner from stall 1 in the last 17 years
The horse from stall 7 has been placed in 6 of the last 16 runnings (4 wins)
16 of the last 17 winners came from a single-figure stall
6 of the last 17 winners came from stalls 7 or 8

6.10 - Windsor Castle Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 5f ITV4

Windsor Castle Recent Winners

2022 – Little Big Bear (6/5 fav)
2021 – Chipotle (22/1)
2020 – Tactical (7/2 fav)
2019 – Southern Hills (7/1)
2018 – Soldier’s Call (12/1)
2017 – Sound And Silence (16/1)
2016 – Ardad (20/1)
2015 – Washington DC (5/1)
2014 – Hootenanny (7/2 fav)
2013 – Extortionist (16/1)
2012 – Hototo (14/1)
2011 – Frederick Engels (9/4 fav)
2010 – Marine Commando (9/2)
2009 – Strike The Tiger (33/1)
2008 – Flashmans Papers (100/1)
2007 – Drawnfromthepast (9/1)
2006 – Elhamri (20/1)
2005 – Titus Alone (11/4)
2004 – Chateau Istana (12/1)
2003 – Holborn (5/2 fav)
2002 – Revenue (14/1)

Windsor Castle Trends

21/21 – Had at least 1 previous outing
20/21 – Won by a foal born April or earlier
19/21 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs
16/21 – Had won over 5f before
15/21 – Placed last time out
15/21 – Had never run at Ascot before
11/21 – Returned a double-figure price (inc a 100/1 winner)
11/21 – Unplaced favourites
10/21 – Won their previous race
9/21 – Won by a Feb foal
5/21 – Winning favourites
2/21 – Trained by Wesley Ward
2/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of last 8)
Just 2 horses placed from stall 1 in the last 15 runnings
10 of the last 15 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

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