2024 Newmarket July Festival Trends – Day Two, Friday 12th July

As we head into day two of the 2023 Newmarket July Festival this Friday there is bundles more to look forward to with four more LIVE ITV races too. The Group One Falmouth Stakes (3:35) spearheads the afternoon's action at HQ and, as always, we've got all the ITV races covered with key trends to help you find the winners.

Newmarket July Meeting - Day Two, Friday 12th July 2024

1.50 - bet365 Handicap Cl2 (3yo 0-105) 1m2f ITV

15/17 – Had won between 1-2 times before
14/17 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
13/17 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
13/17 – Placed in the top 6 last time out
12/17 – Have never run at Newmarket (July) before
12/17 – Carried 8-12 or more in weight
11/17 – Unplaced favourites
10/17 – Irish bred
8/17 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
8/17 – Trained by the Johnston yard (including 7 of last 11 runnings)
7/17 – Raced at Ascot last time out
4/17 – Won last time out
2/17 – Trained by Andrew Balding
2/17 – Ridden by William Buick (2 of the last 9)
1/17 – Winning favourites
Killybegs Warrior (20/1) won in 2023

2.25 - Duchess of Cambridge Stakes (Sponsored by Bet365) (Group 2) Cl1 6f ITV

20/20 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
20/20 – Had raced at least twice before
19/20 – Had won between 1-2 times before
18/20 – Drawn in stall 8 or lower
17/20 – Foaled in Feb or March
17/20 – Placed favourites
16/20 – Won by a UK-based yard
15/20 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
15/20 – Ran at Ascot last time out
14/20 – Had won over 6f before
12/20 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/20 – Won last time out
9/20 – Winning favourites
3/20 – Trained by the Hannon team
3/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
3/20 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (inc 2 of last 8)
3/20 – Drawn in stall 1 (2 of the last 5)
2/20 – Trained by the Johnston yard
3 of the last 9 winners drawn in stall 7
Sir Michael Stoute has won the race 4 times in total (but last in 1996)

3.00 – bet365 Trophy (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 (4yo+) 1m6f ITV

Just 6 previous running
The Saeed Bin Suroor yard won this race in 2021 and 2023
The Johnston yard won this race in 2019, 2020 and 2022
The Charlie Appleby yard won this race in 2018
Godolphin have won 3 of the 6 past runnings
6/6 – Aged between 4-6 years-old
4/6 – Carried 9-0 or more
3/6 – Aged 4 years-old
3/6 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/6 – Winning favourites

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3.35 - Tattersalls Falmouth Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m ITV

21/22 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
20/22 – Won a Listed or better class race previously
18/22 – Had 2+ runs that season
17/22– Won over at least 1 mile previously
17/22 – Won from stall 5 or lower
16/22 – Ran at Ascot in their last race
16/22 – Won at 13/2 or shorter in the betting
13/22 – Favourites placed
8/22 – Previous Group One winners
7/22 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
7/22 – Had run on the Newmarket July course previously
6/22 – Won their last race
3/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (3 of the last 10)
3/22 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 12 runnings)
2/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (2 of last 8 runnings)
2/22 - Owned by the Cheveley Park Stud (2 of the last 10 runnings)
2/22 – French-trained winners
2/22 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (6 wins in total)
Since 1979 all bar 2 winners were aged 3 or 4 years-old
The last horse to win aged 5 or older was Soviet Song (2005)
8 of the last 11 winners came from stalls 1 (3) or 4 (4)
Nashwa (4/1) won this race in 2023

 

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