Blue Point and James Doyle just beats Dream Of Dreams in the Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot. 22/6/2019 Pic Steve Davies/Racingfotos.com

2024 Royal Ascot Betting Trends – Day Four (Thurs 21st June)

More top action in June as the horse racing bandwagon turns its attention to the 2024 Royal Ascot Meeting. The five-day meeting (Tues 18th to Sat 22nd June 2024) is always one of the highlights on the flat racing calendar.

Like all big race days, here at GEEGEEZ we've got it all covered with key trends and stats - use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners - as the big meeting moves into day four on Friday 21st June 2024.

 

Royal Ascot Trends Day Four – Friday 21st June 2024

2.30 - Albany Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 6f ITV

Albany Stakes Past Winners

2023 – Porta Fortuna (5/1)
2022 – Meditate (5/2)
2021 – Sandrine (16/1)
2020 – Dandalla (13/2)
2019 – Daahyeh (4/1 fav)
2018 – Main Edition (7/1)
2017 – Different League (20/1)
2016 – Brave Anna (16/1)
2015 – Illuminate (4/1 fav)
2014 – Cursory Glance (14/1)
2013 – Kiyoshi (8/1)
2012 – Newfangled (7/4 fav)
2011 – Samitar (16/1)
2010 – Memory (15/2)
2009 – Habaayib (16/1)
2008 – Cuis Ghaire (8/11 fav)
2007 – Nijoom Dubai (50/1)
2006 - Sander Camillo (4/1 fav)
2005 – La Chunga (10/1)
2004 – Jewel In The Sand (10/1)
2003 – Silca’s Gift (5/1)

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Albany Stakes Key Trends

22/22 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs
22/22 – Never raced at Ascot before
21/22 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
18/22 – Won their previous race
16/22 – Won by either a Feb or Mar foal
15/22 – Placed favourites
11/22 – Previous winner over 6f
10/22 – Returned a double-figure price
6/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Won by trainers Channon (2) or Hannon (3)
3/22 – Ran at Sandown last time
2/22 – Trained by Roger Varian (2 of the last 10)
16 of the last 19 winners came from double-figure stalls
12 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 11-15 (inc)

3.05 - Commonwealth Cup (Group 1) (Class 1) (3yo) 6f ITV

Commonwealth Cup Recent Winners

2023 – Shaquille (9/1)
2022 – Perfect Power (7/2 jfav)
2021 – Campanelle (5/1)
2020 – Golden Horde (5/1)
2019 – Advertise (8/1)
2018 - Eqtidaar (12/1)
2017 - Caravaggio (5/6 fav)
2016 - Quiet Reflection (7/4 fav)
2015 - Muhaarar (10/1)

Commonwealth Cup Trends

9/9 – Won over 6f before
8/9 – Had run at Ascot before
7/9 – Drawn 8 or lower
7/9 – Won 3+ times before
5/9 – Ran in the last 4 weeks
4/9 – Rated 117 or higher
3/9 – Winning favourite
3/9 – Won last time out
2/9 – Came from stall 8

3.45 - Coronation Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m ITV

Coronation Stakes Past Winners

2023 – Tahiyra (8/13 fav)
2022 – Inspiral (15/8 fav)
2021 – Alcohol Free (11/2)
2020 – Apline Star (9/2)
2019 – Watch Me (20/1)
2018 – Alpha Centauri (11/4 fav)
2017 – Winter (4/9 fav)
2016 – Qemah (6/1)
2015 – Ervedya (3/1)
2014 – Rizeena (11/2)
2013 – Sky Lantern (9/2 jfav)
2012 – Fallen For You (12/1)
2011 – Immortal Verse (8/1)
2010 – Lillie Langtry (7/2 fav)
2009 – Ghanaati (2/1 fav)
2008 – Lush Lashes (5/1)
2007 – Indian Ink (8/1)
2006 – Nannina (6/1 jfav)
2005 – Maids Causeway (9/2)
2004 – Attraction (6/4 fav)
2003 – Russian Rhythm (4/7 fav)
2002 – Sophisticat (11/2)

Coronation Stakes Recent Trends

22/22 – Had won over at least 7f before
20/22 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
17/22 – Had between 1 and 2 previous runs that season
17/22 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 previously
15/22 – Had won over at least a 1 mile before
10/22 – Ran in that season’s English 1,000 Guineas
10/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
9/22 – Had run at Ascot before (3 winners)
8/22 – Unplaced last time out
6/22 – Ran in that season’s Irish 1,000 Guineas
3/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/22 – Trained by John Gosden
2/22 – Trained by Jessica Harrington (2 of the last 6)

15 of the last 17 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
No winners from stall 1 in the last 18 runnings
14 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 5 or higher
10 of the last 18 winners were non UK-trained – French (4), Irish (6)

 4.25 - Duke of Edinburgh Stakes Handicap (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-105) 1m4f ITV

Duke of Edinburgh Stakes Past Winners

2023 – Okita Soushi (9/1)
2022 – Candleford (11/2)
2021 – Quickthorn (7/2 fav)
2020 – Scarlet Dragon (33/1)
2019 – Baghdad (7/2 fav)
2018 – Dash Of Spice (7/2 fav)
2017 – Rare Rhythm (20/1)
2016 – Kinema (8/1)
2015 – Arab Dawn (6/1 jfav)
2014 – Arab Spring (11/4 fav)
2013 – Opinion (8/1)
2012 – Camborne (11/2 fav)
2011 – Fox Hunt (12/1)
2010 – Cill Rialaig (16/1)
2009 – Drill Sergeant (14/1)
2008 – Sugar Ray (8/1)
2007 – Pevensey (8/1)
2006 – Young Mick (28/1)
2005 – Notable Guest (4/1)
2004 – Wunderwood (15/2)
2003 – Waverley (14/1)

Duke of Edinburgh Stakes Key Trends

20/21 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
19/21 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
19/21 – Had at least 2 previous career wins to their name
17/21 – Carried 9-0 or more
15/21 – Placed last time out
14/21 – Had won over 1m4f before
13/21 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
11/21 – Trained by Hughie Morrison (4), Johnston (3) or Sir Michael Stoute (4)
11/21 – Had run at Ascot before
8/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
7/21 – Ran at either York or Epsom last time (inc 7 of last 11 winners)
7/21 – Unplaced favourites
6/21 – Ran at Newmarket last time
5/21 – Winning favourites
4/21 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
16 of the last 18 winners came from a double-figure stall

5.05 - Sandringham Handicap (Listed Race) 1m ITV

Sandringham Handicap Recent Winners

2023 – Coppice (6/1 jfav)
2022 – Heredia (7/2 fav)
2021 – Create Belief (6/1)
2020 – Onassis (33/1)
2019 – Thanks Be (33/1)
2018 – Agrotera (11/2 fav)
2017 – Con Te Partiro (20/1)
2016 – Persuasive (11/4 fav)
2015 – Osaila (13/2)
2014 – Muteela (9/2 fav)
2013 – Annecdote (11/1)
2012 – Duntle (4/1 fav)
2011 – Rhythm Of Light (8/1)
2010 – Timepiece (5/1)
2009 – Moneycantbuymelove (9/2 fav)
2008 – Festivale (10/1)
2007 – Barshiba (16/1)
2006 – Red Evie (5/1 co-fav)
2005 – Beautyandthebeast (9/2)
2004 – Celtic Heroine (11/1)
2003 – Hold To Ransom (11/1)
2002 – Tashawak (12/1)

Sandringham Handicap Trends

18/22 – Had between 2 and 4 previous runs that season
18/22 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
17/22 – Had never run at Ascot before
17/22 – Had won over at least 7f before
16/22 – Placed in their previous race
15/22 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
14/22 – Carried 8-11 or more
12/22 – Won their last race
9/22 – Returned a double-figure price
8/22 – Had exactly 3 runs already that season
8/22 – Winning favourites (1 co, 1 joint)
4/22 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer

 

5.40 - King Edward VII Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 1m4f ITV

King Edward VII Stakes Recent Winners

2023 – King Of Steel (11/10 fav)
2022 – Changingoftheguard (11/10 fav)
2021 – Alenquer (13/8 fav)
2020 – Pyledriver (18/1)
2019 – Japan (6/4 fav)
2018 – Old Persian (9/2)
2017 – Permian (6/1)
2016 – Across The Stars (7/1)
2015 – Balios (3/1)
2014 – Eagle Top (12/1)
2013 – Hillstar (15/2)
2012 – Thomas Chippendale (9/2)
2011 – Nathaniel (11/4 fav)
2010 – Monterosso (7/2)
2009 – Father Time (9/1)
2008 – Campanologist (9/1)
2007 – Boscobel (7/1)
2006 – Papal Bull (5/4 fav)
2005 – Plea Bargain (9/2)
2004 – Five Dynasties (11/4 fav)
2003 – High Accolade (5/2 fav)

King Edward VII Stakes Key Trends

20/21 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
19/21 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the
17/21 – Had never raced at Ascot before
15/21 – Finished in the top three last time out
15/21 – Placed favourites
13/21 - Had won at least 2 previous races during their career
12/21 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
10/21 – Had already won a Listed or better class race
8/21 – Winning favourites
3/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/21 – Trained by John Gosden
3/21 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
3/21 – Trained by the Johnston yard
Just 1 winner from stall 1 in the last 18 runnings
12 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 4-9 (inc)
15 of the last 17 winners returned 9/1 or shorter

6.15 - Palace Of Holyroodhouse Handicap (3yo) 5f ITV

Just 4 previous runnings
Rhythm N Hooves (12/1) won this race in 2023
Latin Lover (5/1) won this race in 2022
Trainer Harry Eustace won this race in 2022
Trainer Karl Burke won this race in 2021
Trainer Tim Easterby won this race in 2020
Trainer David Evans has a 50% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Michael Dods has a 50% record with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

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