OXTED (centre, Cieren Fallon) beats BATTAASH (right) ARECIBO (2nd right) and EXTRAVAGANT KID (red) in The King's Stand Stakes Royal Ascot 15 Jun 2021 - Pic Steven Cargill / Racingfotos.com

2024 Royal Ascot Betting Trends – Day Two (Weds 19th June)

More top action in June as the horse racing bandwagon turns its attention to the 2024 Royal Ascot Meeting. The five-day meeting (Tues 18th to Sat 22nd June 2024) is always one of the highlights on the flat racing calendar.

Like all big race days, here at GEEGEEZ we've got it all covered with key trends and stats - use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners - as the big meeting moves into day two on Wednesday 19th June 2024.

Royal Ascot Trends Day Two – Wednesday 19th June 2024

2.30 - Queen Mary Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies) 5f ITV

Queen Mary Recent Winners

2023 – Crimson Advocate (9/1)
2022 – Dramatised (5/2 fav)
2021 – Quick Suzy (8/1)
2020 – Campanelle (9/2)
2019 – Raffle Prize (18/1)
2018 – Signora Cabello (25/1)
2017 – Heartache (5/1)
2016 – Lady Aurelia (2/1 fav)
2015 – Acapulco (5/2 fav)
2014 – Anthem Alexander (9/4 fav)
2013 – Rizeena (6/1)
2012 – Ceiling Kitty (20/1)
2011 – Best Terms (12/1)
2010 – Maqaasid (9/4 fav)
2009 – Jealous Again (13/2)
2008 – Langs Lash (25/1)
2007 – Elletelle (20/1)
2006 – Gilded (11/2)
2005 – Flashy Wings (4/1 jfav)
2004 – Damson (11/2 jfav)
2003 – Attraction (13/8 fav)
2002 – Romantic Liason (16/1)

Queen Mary Stakes Trends

21/22 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
21/22 – Had between 1 and 3 previous runs that season
18/22 – Had won over 5f (or shorter) before
18/22 – Won their previous race
16/22 – Won by a horse foaled between Jan-Mar
16/22 – Placed favourites
9/22 – Won from non UK-based yards
8/22 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
7/22 – Returned a double-figure price
5/22 – Trained in the US
4/22 – Trained by Wesley Ward (including 3 of last 9 runnings)
2/22 – Won by trainer Richard Hannon
9 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 12+
5 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 20+

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3.05 - Queen's Vase (Listed) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 2m ITV

Queen's Vase Recent Winners

2023 – Gregory (Evs fav)
2022 – Eldar Eldarov (5/2 fav)
2021 – Kemari (15/2)
2020 – Santiago (10/3)
2019 – Dashing Willoughby (6/1)
2018 – Kew Gardens (10/3)
2017 – Stradivarius (11/2)
2016 – Sword Fighter (33/1)
2015 – Aloft (5/2 fav)
2014 – Hartnell (7/2)
2013 – Leading Light (5/4 fav)
2012 – Estimate (3/1 fav)
2011 – Namibian (7/2 fav)
2010 – Mikhail Glinka (2/1 fav)
2009 – Holberg (7/1)
2008 – Patkai (6/4 fav)
2007 – Mahler (7/1)
2006 – Soapy Danger (4/1)
2005 – Melrose Avenue (4/1)
2004 – Duke Of Venice (9/2)
2003 – Shanty Star (7/2 fav)

Queen's Vase Key Trends

19/21 – Had never raced at Ascot before
15/21 – Placed last time out
13/21 – Had at least 2 previous career wins
13/21 – Had run over at least 1m4f before
12/21 – Placed favourites
7/21 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
7/21 – Ran at either Lingfield or Haydock last time out
8/21 – Winning favourites
5/21 - Trained by the Johnston yard
5/21 - Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/21 - Trained by Sir Michael Stoute (won it 4 times in all)
No winner from stall 1 in the last 18 years
The horse from stall 7 has been placed in 7 of the last 17 runnings (4 wins)
17 of the last 18 winners came from a single-figure stall
7 of the last 18 winners came from stalls 7 or 8

3.45 - The Duke of Cambridge Stakes (Windsor Forest) (Group 2) 1m ITV

Duke of Cambridge Recent Winners

2023 – Rogue Millennium (10/1)
2022 – Saffron Beach (5/2 jfav)
2021 – Indie Angel (22/1)
2020 – Nazeef (10/3)
2019 – Move Swiftly (9/1)
2018 – Aljazzi (9/2)
2017 – Qemah (5/2 fav)
2016 – Usherette (9/4 fav)
2015 – Amazing Maria (25/1)
2014 – Integral (9/4 fav)
2013 – Duntle (10/3)
2012 – Joviality (11/1)
2011 – Lolly For Dolly (11/1)
2010 – Strawberrydaiquiri (9/2)
2009 – Spacious (10/1)
2008 – Sabana Perdida (4/1)
2007 – Nannina (3/1 co-fav)
2006 – Soviet Song (11/8 fav)
2005 – Peeress (14/1)
2004 – Favourable Terms (13/2)

Duke of Cambridge Trends

19/20 – Had won over a mile (or further) before
18/20 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
17/20 – Won by a 4 year-old
16/20 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
15/20 – Had won a Group 3 or better race before
13/20 – Favourites that were placed
12/20 – Had run at Ascot before
7/20 – Had won at Ascot before
7/20 – Returned a double-figure price
6/20 – Winning favourites (1 co)
5/20 – Owned by Cheveley Park Stud
4/20 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
4/20 – Ran at Epsom last time out
4/20 – Trained by John Gosden (3 of the last 12 and 2 of last 4 runnings)
3/20 – Ridden by William Buick (3 of last 12)
2/20 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (2 of last 12)
2/20 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/20 – Winners from stall 1

Only 5 placed horses (2 winners) from stall 1 in the last 20 runnings

 4.25 - Prince of Wales's Stakes (Group 1) 1m2f ITV

Prince of Wales's Stakes Recent Winners

2023 – Mostahdaf (10/1)
2022 – State Of Rest (5/1)
2021 – Love (11/10 fav)
2020 – Lord North (5/1)
2019 – Crystal Ocean (3/1)
2018 – Poet’s Word (11/2)
2017 – Highland Reel (9/4)
2016 – My Dream Boat (16/1)
2015 – Free Eagle (5/2 fav)
2014 – The Fugue (11/2)
2013 – Al Kazeem (11/4)
2012 – So You Think (4/5 fav)
2011 – Rewilding (17/2)
2010 – Byword (5/2 fav)
2009 – Vision D’etat (4/1)
2008 – Duke of Marmalade (Evs fav)
2007 – Manduro (15/8 fav)
2006 – Ouija Board (8/1)
2005 – Azamour (11/8 fav)
2004 – Rakti (3/1)
2003 – Nayef (5/1)
2002 -  Grandera (4/1)

Prince of Wales's Stakes Trends

22/22 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
21/22 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
21/22 – Won by a 4 or 5 year-old
18/22 – Finished in the top three last time out
18/22 – Had at least 1 previous run that season
15/22 – Were previous Group 1 winners
15/22 – Placed favourites
12/22 – Won their last race
12/22 – Had run at Ascot before
11/22 – Won by a non-UK based trainer
7/22 – Winning favourites
4/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of the last 12)
3/22 – Trained by John Gosden (5 wins in total)
2/22 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse (5 wins in total)
3 of the last 16 runnings have gone to a French-trained horse

5.05 - Royal Hunt Cup (Heritage Handicap) 1m ITV

Royal Hunt Cup Recent Winners

2023 – Jimi Hendrix (22/1)
2022 – Dark Shift (13/2)
2021 – Real World (18/1)
2020 – Dark Vision (15/2)
2019 – Afaak (20/1)
2018 – Settle For Bay (16/1)
2017 – Zhui Feng (25/1)
2016 – Portage (10/1)
2015 – GM Hopkins (8/1)
2014 – Field of Dream (20/1)
2013 – Belgian Bill (33/1)
2012 – Prince Of Johanne (16/1)
2011 – Julienas (12/1)
2010 – Invisible Man (28/1)
2009 – Forgotten Voice (4/1 fav)
2008 – Mr Aviator (25/1)
2007 – Royal Oath (9/1)
2006 – Cesare (14/1)
2005 – New Seeker (11/1)
2004 – Mine (16/1)
2003 – Macadamia (8/1)
2002 – Norton (25/1)

Royal Hunt Cup Trends

20/22 – Had won over at least a mile before
19/22 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
16/22 – Carried 9-1 or less
16/22 – Unplaced favourites
16/22 – Returned a double-figure price
14/22 – Had run at Ascot before
14/22 – Won by a 4 year-old (inc 11 of the last 14 runnings)
12/22 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs that season
6/22 – Won their last race
2/22 – Won by trainer James Fanshawe
2/22 – Won by trainer John Gosden
2/22 – Won by trainer Charles Hills (2 of the last 5)
1/22 – Winning favourites
Overall, high number stalls have dominated in recent years
14 of the last 18 winners came from a double-figure stall
We’ve seen 3 winners from stall 33 in the last 15 runnings

 5.40 – Kensington Palace Stakes (Handicap) (4yo+) fillies and mares 1m ITV

3 previous runnings
No winning favourite yet
All three past winners aged 4
All three winners drawn between 8-17
All three winners returned a double figure price
Villanova Queen (25/1) won this race in 2023
Rising Star (40/1) won this race in 2022
Trainer Mrs John Harrington won this race in 2023
Trainer Marco Botti won this race in 2022
Trainer David Loughnane won this race in 2021

6.15 - Windsor Castle Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 5f ITV4

Windsor Castle Recent Winners

2023 – Big Evs (20/1)
2022 – Little Big Bear (6/5 fav)
2021 – Chipotle (22/1)
2020 – Tactical (7/2 fav)
2019 – Southern Hills (7/1)
2018 – Soldier’s Call (12/1)
2017 – Sound And Silence (16/1)
2016 – Ardad (20/1)
2015 – Washington DC (5/1)
2014 – Hootenanny (7/2 fav)
2013 – Extortionist (16/1)
2012 – Hototo (14/1)
2011 – Frederick Engels (9/4 fav)
2010 – Marine Commando (9/2)
2009 – Strike The Tiger (33/1)
2008 – Flashmans Papers (100/1)
2007 – Drawnfromthepast (9/1)
2006 – Elhamri (20/1)
2005 – Titus Alone (11/4)
2004 – Chateau Istana (12/1)
2003 – Holborn (5/2 fav)
2002 – Revenue (14/1)

Windsor Castle Trends

22/22 – Had at least 1 previous outing
21/22 – Won by a foal born April or earlier
19/22 – Had 2 or 3 previous runs
16/22 – Had won over 5f before
16/22 – Placed last time out
16/22 – Had never run at Ascot before
12/22 – Returned a double-figure price (inc a 100/1 winner)
11/22 – Unplaced favourites
10/22 – Won their previous race
9/22 – Won by a Feb foal
5/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 – Trained by Wesley Ward
2/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (3 of last 9)

Just 2 horses placed from stall 1 in the last 16 runnings
11 of the last 16 winners came from a double-figure stall

 

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