2024 Welsh Grand National Trends

Run, this year (2024) on Friday December 27^th, the Welsh Grand National has always been a big highlight over the festive period.

With 3m 5 ½f to cover at Chepstow racecourse then stamina is a ‘must-have’ requirement when it comes to finding the winner, while if you like your trends you might want to know that 19 of the 22 winners have been aged 9 or younger - plus, 18 of the last 22 winners carried 11-0 or less.

Here at Geegeez, we look back at the recent winners and give you all the key trends - use these to help find the best profiles of past winners and apply these to the 2024 Welsh Grand National. This year the race will be run on Friday 27th December.

Recent Welsh National Winners

2023 - NASSALAM (9/2 jfav)
2022 - THE TWO AMIGOS (16/1)
2021 – IWILLDOIT (13/2)
2020 - SECRET REPRIEVE (5/2 fav)
2019 – POTTERS CORNER (8/1)
2018 – ELEGANT ESCAPE (3/1 fav)
2017 – RAZ DE MAREE (16/1)
2016 – NATIVE RIVER (11/4 fav)
2015 – MOUNTAINOUS (9/1)
2014 – EMPEROR’S CHOICE (9/1)
2013 -  MOUNTAINOUS (20/1)
2012 – MONBEG DUDE (10/1)
2011 – LE BEAU BAI (10/1)
2010 – SYNCHRONISED (5/1)
2009 – DREAM ALLIANCE (20/1)
2008 – NOTRE PERE (16/1)
2007 – MIKO de BEAUCHENE (13/2)
2006 – HALCON GENELARDAIS (7/1)
2005 – L’AVENTURE (14/1)
2004 – SILVER BIRCH (10/3 fav)
2003 – BINDAREE (10/1)
2002 – MINI SENSATION (8/1)

Welsh National Betting Trends

22/22 – Had won between 1-5 chase races before
22/22 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
22/22 – Had won over at least 3m before (fences)
20/22 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
19/22 – Aged 9 or younger
17/22 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
16/22 – Aged 8 or younger
15/22– Carried 10-8 or less in weight
15/22 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
13/22 – Had won just 2 or 3 times before over fences
12/22 – Irish bred
12/22 – Had won over fences at Chepstow before
9/22 – Won last time out
8/22 – Unplaced favourites
8/22 – Ran at Chepstow last time out
7/22 – Had run in the Welsh National before
7/22 – French bred
5/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 – Trained by the Tizzard yard
2/22 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
Trainers Venetia Williams and Nigel Twiston-Davies have won the Welsh Grand National twice each
The average winning SP in the last 22 years is 9/1

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