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2025 Punchestown Festival Trends

A huge week of Irish racing ahead with the 5-day Punchestown Festival (29th April-3rd May 2025). Like all big race meetings, we've got all the main trends and stats for the key races through the week – hopefully, these to help narrow down the fields and point you in the direction of a few winners……………….

Punchestown Festival Trends DAY ONE – Tuesday 29th April 2025

4:15pm – KPMG Champion Novice Hurdle (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m 1/2f

11 of the last 19 were won by the favourite
12 of the last 18 winners won a Grade 1 or 2
16 of the last 19 priced 8/1 or shorter
11 of the last 19 returned 2/1 or shorter
18 of the last 23 winners finished 1st or 2nd last time out
No British-trained winner for 24 years (18 runners)
Supreme Novice Hurdle winners have only won 4 times
17 of the last 18 were aged either 5 or 6 years-old
Willie Mullins winners in 2009, 2010, 2014, 2015, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2021, 2023 & 2024
Trainer Noel Meade winners in 2002, 2005, 2006 & 2008
Trainer Jessie Harrington won in 2013 and 2016

2024 Winner: Mystical Power (2/1 fav)

6:00pm – William Hill Champion Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m

9 of the last 21 runnings were won by the favourite
20 of the last 25 winners from the top three in the betting
16 of the last 22 finished 1st or 2nd last time out
16 of the last 22 were Irish-trained
16 of the last 22 were aged 9 or younger
French breds have won 11 of the last 17
18 of the last 22 priced 7/1 or shorter
13 of the last 22 had won at the course
All of the last 22 winners had won over 2m
5 of the last 19 were unplaced that season’s Champion Chase at Cheltenham
15 of the last 21 winners raced in the Queen Mother Champion Chase
7 of the last 21 winners raced in the Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown)
Paul Nicholls won the race in 2008 & 2009
Willie Mullins won the race in 2010, 2015, 2018, 2019, 2021, 2022 & 2023
Paul Townend has ridden 4 of the last 5 winners
Captain Guinness was 2nd in 2024

2024 Winner: Banbridge (6/1)

Punchestown Festival Trends DAY TWO – Wednesday 30th April 2025

5:30pm– Ladbrokes Punchestown Gold Cup (Grade 1) (5yo+) 3m 1/2f

Recent Punchestown Gold Cup Winners

2024 – FASTORSLOW (7/2)
2023 – FASTORSLOW (20/1)
2022 – ALLAHO (6/5 fav)
2021 – CLAN DES OBEAUX (10/3)
2020 – No race (Covid)
2019 – KEMBOY (13/8 fav)
2018 – BELLSHILL (4/1)
2017 – SIZING JOHN (9/10)
2016 – CARLINGFORD LOUGH (12/1)
2015 – DON COSSACK (5/2)
2014 – BOSTON BOB (5/2 fav)
2013 – SIR DES CHAMPS (2/1 fav)
2012 – CHINA ROCK (20/1)
2011 – FOLLOW THE PLAN (20/1)
2010 – PLANET OF SOUND (14/1)
2009 – NOTRE PERE (15/8 fav)
2008 – NEPTUNE COLLONGES (9/10 fav)
2007 – NEPTUNE COLLONGES (8/1)
2006 – WAR OF ATTRITION (4/5 fav)
2005 – KICKING KING (8/11 fav)
2004 – BEEF OF SALMON (5/4 fav)
2003 – FIRST GOLD (7/4 fav)

Punchestown Gold Cup Betting Trends

18/21 – Top 4 last time out
16/21 – Irish-trained winners
16/21 – Aged 8 or younger
15/21 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
11/21–Ran in that season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup
10/21 – Favourites
10/21 – Priced 2/1 or less
9/21 – Raced in the Cheltenham Gold Cup last time out
9/21 – Won last time out
5/21 – Won by trainer Willie Mullins (5 of the last 11)
3/21 – Won by trainer Paul Nicholls
Paul Townend has only ridden one winner (Allaho, 2022)
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 6/1
9 of the last 19 favourites
Only 4 of the last 20 winners aged 9+
10 of the last 16 Irish-trained favourites have won
Since 1999 only 3 Irish-trained winners hadn’t won at the course before
11 of the last 25 winners raced in that season’s John Durkan Memorial Chase

Punchestown Festival Trends DAY THREE – Thursday 1st May 2025

3:40pm – Mongey Communications La Touche Cup Cross Country Chase (5yo+) 4m1f

6 winning favourites in the last 18 (3 join/co)
Trainer Enda Bolger has won 13 of the last 25
11 of the last 18 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
8 of the last 18 carried 12-2 or more
15 of the last 18 winners were aged 9 or older
7 of the last 18 winners ran in the race 12 months ago
21 of the last 29 winners returned 7/1 or less
10 of the last 18 winners raced in the Cheltenham Festival Cross Country race
5 of the last 6 winners were ridden by a claiming jockey
Trainer Peter Maher has won 2 of the last 5 runnings
8 of the last 10 winners aged 11+
Vital Island won the race in 2023
Three By Two was 2nd in 2024
Coko Beach was 3rd in 2024



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2024 Winner: Singing Banjo (28/1)

5:25pm - Barberstown Novice Chase (Grade 1) (5yo+) 2m

9 favourites in the last 13 runnings
17 of the last 18 winners priced 11/2 or shorter
The last 10 winners all aged 6 or 7
26 of the last 28 winners priced 6/1 or less
11 of the last 18 winners raced in the Arkle Chase (Cheltenham) that season
UK-based trainers have won 4 of the last 15 times they have had entries
16 of the last 20 winners had run at least 4 times over fences before
Willie Mullins winners in 2009, 2013, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2021, 2022, 2023 & 2024 (won the last 9)
Paul Townend has won 3 of the last 4

2024 Winner: Il Etait Temps (7/2)

6:00pm - Ladbrokes.com Champion Stayers Hurdle (Grade 1) (4yo+) 3m

Past Ladbrokes.com Champion Stayers Hurdle Winners

2024 – TEAHUPOO (5/6 fav)
2023 - KLASSICAL DREAM (3/1 jfav)
2022 – KLASSICAL DREAM (11/10 fav)
2021 – KLASSICAL DREAM (5/1)
2020 – No race (Covid)
2019 – UNOWHATIMEANHARRY (16/1)
2018 – FAUGHEEN (11/2)
2017 – UNOWHATIMEANHARRY (4/1)
2016 – ONE TRACK MIND (10/1)
2015 – JEZKI (5/2)
2014 – JETSON (20/1)
2013 – QUEVEGA (6/4 fav)
2012 – QUEVEGA (11/10 fav)
2011 – QUEVEGA (8/11 fav)
2010 – QUEVEGA (5/2 fav)
2009 – FIVEFORTHREE (5/4 fav)
2008 – BLAZING BAILEY (10/3 fav)
2007 – REFINEMENT (16/1)
2006 – ASAIN MAZE (8/13 fav)
2005 – CARLYS QUEST (25/1)
2004 – RHINESTONE COWBOY (5/2)
2003 – HOLY ORDERS (6/1)

Ladbrokes Champion Stayers Hurdle Betting Trends

17/21 – Ran the Cheltenham Festival that season
16/21 – Priced 6/1 or shorter
14/21 – Aged 8 or younger
14/21 – Placed in the top three in their last race
14/21 – Irish trained winners
10/21 – Trained by Willie Mullins
10/21 – Won their last race
10/21 – Favourites
7/21 – Raced in the Aintree Hurdle last time out
5/21 – Raced in the Mares’ Hurdle (Cheltenham) last time out
16 of the last 18 winners aged 9 or younger
11 of the 27 runnings have been won by a British-trained runner
8 of the last 20 winners ran at Aintree’s Grand National Meeting last time
14 of the last 21 winners had won a Grade One over 3m+
Trainer Gordon Elliott has won the race just once (2024)j
Only two Stayers’ Hurdle (Cheltenham) winner in the last 24 runnings
Favourites have won 12 of the last 23 runnings
12 of the last 22 winners won last time out

Punchestown Festival Trends DAY FOUR – Friday 2nd May 2025

6:40pm – Boodles Champion Hurdle (Grade 1) 2m

13 of the last 20 favourites (2 joint)
12 of the last 18 winners won their last race
16 of the last 17 winners finished in the top 3 in last race
17 of the last 19 winners were aged 6 or older
16 of the last 25 winners raced in that season’s Champion Hurdle
The current Champion Hurdler hasn't finish out of the top two when running
16 of the last 19 winners returned 3/1 or shorter in the market
Willie Mullins has won the race in 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2023 & 2024
10 of the last 13 winners returned odds-on
17 of the last 19 winners were Irish-trained
Paul Townend has ridden the last two winners

2024 Winner: State Man (2/7 fav)

6:05pm – Alanna Homes Champion Novice Hurdle (GRADE 1) 2m4f

13 of the last 19 favourites
12 of the last 19 winners were aged 5 years-old
17 of the last 19 winners were aged 5 or 6 years-old
Trainer Willie Mullins has won 13 of the last 22 runnings (last 4)
Jockey Paul Townend has ridden the last 4 winners
17 of the last 23 winners won last time out
Paul Townend and Willie Mullins have won the last 4 renewals
Since 1996 all-bar-two of the winners were aged either 5 or 6 years-old
Owner J Donnelly has won 2 of the last 4 runnings

2024 Winner: Ballyburn (1/5 fav)

Punchestown Festival Trends DAY FIVE – Saturday 3rd May 2025

4:50pm – Ballymore Four Year-Old Hurdle (GRADE 1) 2m

9 winning favourites in the last 19
17 of the last 19 winners returned 15/2 or less
Willie Mullins trained the winner in 2006, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2022, 2023 & 2024
Paul Townend and Willie Mullins have won the last 3
Willie Mullins has won 8 of the last 10 renewals
4 of the last 9 winners have been mares (last 2)
15 of the last 18 winners ran in that season’s Triumph Hurdle (Cheltenham)
9 of the last 16 winners ran in that season’s Spring Juvenile Hurdle
10 of the last 26 runnings went to a British-trained runner
Owner Rich Ricci has won 4 of the last 7 runnings

2024 Winner: Kargese (9/4 fav)

 



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