Trainer Stats: 6th Nov 2012


Dalgleish Hitting The Back Of The Net....

This week Andy Newton has a trainer that’s currently operating with an 80% strike-rate......Yes, 80%!

KEITH DALGLEISH (4 winners from his last 5 runners, 80% strike-rate): In all the weeks I’ve been doing this feature I’m not sure I can remember too many 80% strike-rates that have appeared – but step forward Mr Dalgleish! Yes, the former jockey is having a great time of it on the AW tracks at the moment, and his only loser this month – Aragorn Rouge – made up for that defeat with an easy victory at Wolverhampton on Monday - a win that also gave jockey Joe Fanning his 100th of the season. With this only being his second season in operation then the 39 he managed last term was a great achievement, but they’ve already bettered that with 43 successes. As the flat action dies down the AW meetings are ramping up, so you can expect a strong finish to the year from the Dalgleish yard. Of the four sand tracks they are still looking for their first winner at Kempton, and surprisingly they are just 1 from 19 at Southwell, but do look out for anything they send south to Lingfield (5 from 15, 33%), while their bulk of their AW runners come at Wolverhampton (19 from 87, 22%). They do also have the odd NH runner, but they are currently 0-from-6 with their jumpers.
Track stats and upcoming entries:  Redcar (0 from 16), Wolverhampton AW (19 from 87, 22%), Mussleburgh (7 from 70, 10%)

 

NICKY HENDERSON (10 winners from their last 18 runners, 56% strike-rate): With 4 Saturday winners at Ascot last weekend then it looks as if it’s back to business for the Henderson team – great for Saturday punters, but the bookmakers must be hating it! With 39 winners already then they remain on target to get near the 167 they managed last season, especially with more NH meetings each week, while it won’t be long before we start to see some of the Henderson ‘big-guns’ on the track. Just like Ruby for Nicholls we can now expect Barry Geraghty to be riding most days over here now, while if previous campaigns are anything to go by then you can expect him to ride between 60-78 winners at the UK tracks – he is, however, currently on just 7!
Track stats and upcoming entries:  Exeter (5 from 15, 33%), Chepstow (2 from 20, 10%), Warwick (14 from 44, 32%), Towcester (14 from 60, 23%), Fontwell (14 from 37, 38%)


LUCINDA RUSSELL
(5 winners from her last 11 runners, 45% strike-rate):
Sent out a treble up at Ayr on Saturday and then followed that up with another victory at Carlisle on Sunday to make it 32 wins for the season – and that’s only 25 short of what they managed in the whole of the 2011-12 campaign. With Peter Scudamore assistant trainer too then things really look like they’ve stepped up a notch or two from previous seasons and this really should be their best yet – with 57 winners to beat. Don’t forget they also have the odd runner on the flat too, but they’ve only sent out 2 winners on the level since 1999! Peter Buchanan is their main man in the saddle, but I think I’ve mentioned before that Craig Nichol, who can claim a handy 10lbs, Grant Cockburn and Steven Fox are up-and-coming jockeys they are also giving plenty of chances to of late. They are doing equally well this season with their chasers and hurdlers, but with 9 of their 12 NH Flat runners coming fourth or better, including 3 winners, then keep a look out for runners in these races.
Track stats and upcoming entries:  Musselburgh (14 from 102, 14%), Hexham (27 from 158, 17%)

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PAUL NICHOLLS (6 winners from his last 16 runners, 38% strike-rate): Let battle commence! Yes, the champion trainer remains second favourite to retain his title with the Henderson team looking to hold a few more aces in their string this season, but one thing’s for sure – Nicholls won’t go down without a fight. Kauto Stone and Silviniaco Conti showed last weekend that there is life after Denman, Master Minded and Kauto Star, while it could be that Nicholls has sparked a bit of life back into Tidal Bay after he beat a decent bunch up at Wetherby on Saturday too. Let’s also not forget a certain Big Buck’s then there’s plenty to look forward to in the coming months. In terms of winners this puts the yard on 52 for the season, and with over £327,000 banked in total prize money then although things can change in the blink of an eye they are currently just over £85,000 ahead of Henderson. Now that the season is hitting top gear then we are also seeing Ruby over here a lot more, which is great for racegoers – he’s currently on 15 GB wins from 41 rides. Finally, did you know that in the last 5 years the yard have only had 2 runners at Towcester? They were, however, both winners and at this stage have two entered at the track later this week.
Track stats and upcoming entries:  Exeter (35 from 117, 30%), Chepstow (36 from 176, 20%), Warwick (6 from 28, 21%), Towcester (2 from 2, 100%), Fontwell (33 from 92, 36%)


OLIVER SHERWOOD (5 winners from their last 13 runners, 38% strike-rate): There’s no stopping the Oliver Sherwood team at present with 5 winners since the 24th October, and with several of those winning easily then if turned out again soon I suspect they could be improving these figures even more. In fact 11 of their last 13 runners have finished fifth or better, but despite this purple patch this does still only put them on 6 winners for the season. That said, they’ve only had 37 runners, so that’s not a bad strike-rate, while their 9 length NH Flat winner at Ascot on Saturday (Puffin Billy) certainly looked above average and could be one for the notebook. 4 of their 6 winners have been with their hurdlers, and in terms of their best tracks then look out for any they run at Fontwell, who race on Friday, (27%, +£75) and Hereford (23%, +£18). The final thing to look out for is when they use 7lb conditional Tom Garner – two of his last 3 rides have been winning ones.
Track stats and upcoming entries: Exeter (2 from 28, 7%), Chepstow (1 from 20, 5%), Warwick (1 from 15, 7%), Towcester (10 from 60, 17%), Fontwell (15 from 56, 27%)

 

RALPH BECKETT (4 winners from their last 15 runners, 27% strike-rate): With 61 winners already in 2012 then the Becket yard need just 8 more to equal their best-ever tally of 69 (2010), and with excellent strike-rates at both Southwell (28%) and Kempton (20%), then there’s a good chance they will manage that with the AW meetings starting to hot up. Actually with 17% records at the other two AW tracks too, then it will be a surprise if they can’t make this their best-ever season. Like I said, pay special attention to any Southwell runners, as they are currently 9 from just 32 there, especially any 2 year-olds (4 from 9).
Track stats and upcoming entries: Nottingham (11 from 60, 18%), Kempton AW (40 from 197, 20%)

 

MAHMOOD AL ZAROONI (4 winners from their last 11 runners, 36% strike-rate): It’s nip and tuck with the two Godolphin yards as Al Zarooni currently sits on 62 winners with Bin Suroor on 77. However, Bin Suroor has got the total prize money stakes sewn-up as he’s over £500,000 ahead with £1,745,000 already banked. Both yards are respected at this time of year on the AW tracks as they unleash some of their late developers and we could just see the odd star of the future in the next month or so. Mickael Barzalona tends to ride the bulk of the Al Zarooni runners these days – he’s been on all-bar-one of their four recent winners, with De Sousa riding the other, while Frankie has ridden just 3 of their last 26 runners! With 39 of their 62 winners coming with their juveniles then things are certainly looking rosy for 2013, while although they have by far their most runners at Kempton it’s Lingfield they hold the best strike-rate at (29%).
Track stats and upcoming entries: Wolverhampton AW (3 from 27, 11%), Nottingham (5 from 40, 13%), Kempton AW (8 from 66, 12%)

 

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5 replies
  1. Avatar
    Bazza says:

    Andy, I left a post on today’s Stats some 6 hours ago, do you know why it hasn’t been registered as the 5th today ?. Thankyou B

    • Avatar
      Andy Newton says:

      Hi Barry – sorry, only just seen this. I put them up a day or so early this week mainly because of the decent Exeter card on Tuesday.

  2. Avatar
    oneman says:

    Hi Andy.

    I predict Emma Lavelle will rate in your stats next week and i’m a bit surprised you did not put her in this week. She has fantastic figures for November over the years. Great stuff again.

    Kind regards
    Chris

    • Avatar
      Andy Newton says:

      Hi Chris – I think you might be right. Winners on Weds and Thurs this week have seen her strike-rate improve over the last few days, but her horses are clearly in form – let’s she what she does over the weekend….. thanks again Andy

      • Avatar
        oneman says:

        I hate Saturdays Andy. too many punters affecting the prices and no luck for Emma today, I do prefer her mid week one off’s. Shenna West is steady and sure though! And i must not Forget Harry Fry (well maybe today i can.) But just in case Matt is listening i thought i would give a mention. Looking forward to next weeks.

        Kind regards once again.

        Chris.

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