Geegeez Placepot

Placepot Picks: Salisbury, 5th May 2013

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SALISBURY--SUNDAY 5TH MAY

Last five toteplacepot returns at Salisbury:

October 15--£243.20 (three clear favourites secured toteplacepot posiitons)

October 3--£58.50 (three)

September 6--£160.10 (three)

August 31--£316.90 (two)

August 16--£48.80 (four)

Toteplacepot returns for the last five corresponding meetings:

2012--£2,366.90 (two clear favourites secured toteplacepot positions)

2011--£45.80 (four)

2010--£184.50 (three)

2009--£37.90 (three)

2008--£380.00 (three)

 

1.50: Richard Hannon narrowly holds the edge over Henry Candy in this event (see stats below) and ROYAL CHALLIS and SECRETLY should run well for their respective yards in the opening event.

That said, beaten favourite SECONDO could be worth another chance in this grade/company, with Andrew Balding's newcomer LIGHT CATCHER also in the mix at the time of writing.

Trainer trends: Henry Candy saddles three horses this time around having won two of the last three contests, though Richard Hannon usurps that figure with three winners since 2007.

Vintage stats: This is a three-year-old maiden event

Weight information: Not applicable

Favourite/SP facts: Three of the last ten renewals (three of the last six to be exact) have been won by market leaders, whilst seven favourites have secured toteplacepot positions during the study period.

 

2.20: Four-year-olds carrying 9-3 or less stand out from the crowd in this contest whereby the trio of AL SAHAM, CASTILO DEL DIABLO and MYSTERIOUS MAN are included in the overnight mix, though SEASIDE SIZZLER represents Ralph Beckett who has targeted this race successfully in recent years.

Trainer trends: Ralph Beckett (Seaside Sizzler) has secured a medal of each colour via since 2007 which is no mean achievement given that the trainer was not represented in two of the relevant contests.

Vintage stats: Four-year-olds have won five of the last seven renewals via 41.8% (23/55) of the total number of runners.

Weight information: Five of the last six winners have carried a maximum burden of 9-3.

Favourite/SP facts: Four renewals have slipped by since a success market leader was recorded though that said, the previous four favourites had prevailed.  Seven of the last nine winners scored at a top price of 8/1.  Seven of the last nine favourites have secured toteplacepot positions.

 

2.55: The form of the Kempton race in which FIG ROLL finished second is working out well and I would be surprised if Richard Hannon's Bahamian Bounty representative failed to figure prominently.  Richard has saddled three winners during the last decade for good measure.  David Evans is double handed with LIMEGROVE and INTENSE FEELING having won two of the last three contests.

Trainer trends: The trends are mentioned in despatches by way of a change.

Vintage stats: This is a two-year-old contest

Weight information: Not applicable

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Favourite/SP facts: Five favourites have won during the last decade during which time, eight gold medallists were returned at a top price of 6/1.  Only one of the other five market leaders has additionally secured a toteplacepot position, with two of the ‘casualties’ having been sent off at 2/5 (last year) and 5/6 (2010).  Both of the beaten odds on chances were saddled by Richard Hannon.

 

3.35: AL JAMAL could be anything following her Kempton victory back in November. 'Godolphin' could do with a lift or two just now and the declaration of the Authorized filly is (hopefully) well timed.  PETHER'S MOON and SWING EASY are feared most.

Trainer trends: No obvious trend to offer with dual winner (during the last decade) Roger Charlton not represented this time around.

Vintage stats: This event is a handicap confined the three-year-olds.

Weight information: Four of the last five winners have carried weights of 9-2 or more.

Favourite/SP facts: Only one favourite has obliged via the last nine renewals though to balance the facts out, I need to pass on the news that seven of the last eight scorers were sent off at odds of 17/2 or less.  Only one of the last six market leaders (winner at 7/2) has finished in the frame (exact science).

 

4.10: Sir Michael Stoute introduces his Nayef newcomer BAIHAS following a 12/1 success in this event twelve months ago.  TEFFLAH is well related and started too slowly (running green in the process) to do herself justice on her debut.  Roger Varian's Teofilo filly will have learned a lesson or two from her first day at school.

Trainer trends: Sir Michael Stoute had saddled five of his last ten runners to winning effect before Saturday's sport was contested when this column was 'scribbled'.

Vintage stats: This is a three-year-old maiden event

Weight information: Not applicable

Favourite/SP facts: Six market leaders have prevailed during the last decade, albeit only one other favourite secured an additional toteplacepot position during the study period.

 

4.45: The weight trends suggest that FLEETING SMILE and TANTSHI will take some kicking out of the 'short field' frame.

Trainer trends: Leading yards have supplied the winners of this event to date; namely Michael Bell (11/2), Mick Channon (14/1) and Saeed Bin Suroor (7/4*).

Vintage stats: This three-year-old handicap event closes out our favourite bet.

Weight information: All three winners to date have carried a minimum burden of 9-2, as have six of the nine horses to have secured toteplacepot positions thus far.

Favourite/SP facts: Two of the three favourites have finished out of the frame since the inaugural 7/4 market leader obliged back in 2010.

Mal's toteplacepot permutation:

2.10 A 5-10-4

2.45 A 6-12-7

3.20 A 3-6

3.55 A 5-1   B 2

4.30 A 1-5

5.05 A 1-2

= 216 lines.

Readers can use the ticket builder at www.geegeez.co.uk/ppot/ to create their own part perms. For instance, creating the A's and B's suggested in the perm.

Place your toteplacepot bets with totepool directly, using the link below:

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