Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 12th December 15

A huge day on Saturday as the Cheltenham December Meeting continues, plus the C4 cameras are also at Doncaster – We’ve all the big-race trends.

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Cheltenham Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

1.50 – Caspian Caviar Gold Cup (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m5f CH4

13/13 – Aged 8 or younger
11/13 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
11/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/13 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival that season (no winners)
10/13 – Won between 2-4 times over fences before
10/13 – Raced at Cheltenham (fences) before (4 won)
10/13 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) before
9/13 – Officially rated 142 or higher
9/13 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
8/13 – French bred
8/13 – Favourites unplaced
7/13 – Carried 10-13 or more in weight
4/13 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
4/13 – Raced in the Paddy Power Gold Cup last time out (1 won)
4/13 – Finished in the top 5 in the Paddy Power Gold Cup last time out
3/13 – Won last time out
3/13 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
3/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/13 – Went to an Irish-trained horse
1/13 – Favourites (last winning fav 1996)
The average winning SP in the last 12 runnings is 9.6/1

2.25 - Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The Bristol Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m CH4

11/11 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
10/11 – Favourites placed
10/11 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/11 – Winning distance 1 ¼ lengths or more
10/11 – Aged 6 or younger
10/11 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
10/11 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Favourites (1 co, 1 joint)
8/11 – Went on run in the Albert Bartlett (2 won) at the Cheltenham Festival
8/11 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
7/11 – Won over 3m (hurdles) before
7/11 – Irish bred
7/11 – Won last time out
7/11 – Priced 2/1 or shorter in the betting
6/11 – Went onto finish in the top 4 in a Cheltenham Festival race that season
6/11 – Won at Cheltenham before
2/11 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/3

3.00 – StanJames.com International Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m1f CH4

13/13 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
13/13 – Finished in the top 3 in their latest race
13/13 – Ran over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
11/13 – Won 4 or more times over hurdles previously
11/13 – Won over 2m1f (hurdles) previously
11/13 – Won by a horse aged 7 years-old or younger
11/13 – Raced in the Champion Hurdle later that season (5 placed)
10/13 – Favourites (1 joint)
10/13 – Placed favourite
10/13 – Won last time out
10/13 – Returned 5/2 or shorter
9/13 – Won over hurdles at Cheltenham previously
8/13 – Won by a horse aged either 4 or 5 years-old
8/13 – Rated 162 or higher
7/13 – Winning distance:  4+ lengths
5/13 – Won the Greatwood Hurdle last time out
4/13 – Won by a French-bred horse
3/13 – Ridden by jockey Richard Johnson
3/13 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
3/13 – Trained by Philip Hobbs
3/13 – Won the Betfair Hurdle last time out
2/13 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
2/13 – Won by trainer Nicky Henderson
1/13 – Won the Champion Hurdle later that season (Rooster Booster 2002)
The New One won this race in 2013 & 2014
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/4

3.35 - OLBG Mares´ Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m4f56y CH4

No previous runnings
Venetia Williams is just 2 from 56 (4%) with her hurdlers here
Harry Fry has a 19% record with his hurdlers here
Kim Bailey is 0 from 27 with his hurdlers here
Dr Richard Newland is 0 from 25 with his hurdlers here
Nico de Boinville has a 33% record riding over hurdles here
Sean Bowen has a 27% record riding over hurdles here

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (C4/ATR)

2.05 – Bet365 Summit Juvenile Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 2m110y CH4

Five previous runnings
5/5 – Placed in the top 2 last time out
5/5 – Carried 11-2 or more in weight
3/5 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
2/5 – Trained by John Quinn
2/5 – Ridden by Dougie Costello
1/5 – Favourites
Peace and Co won the race 12 months ago and went onto with the Triumph Hurdle
John Ferguson has a 32% record with his hurdlers at the track
Dan Skelton is just 1 from 25 (4%) with his hurdles at the track

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2.40 – bet365 December Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m CH4

Only 5 previous runnings
Last two runnings won by trainer Paul Nicholls
4/5 – Priced 9/4 or shorter in the betting
4/5 – Favourites
4/5 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
Paul Nicholls has a 29% record with his chasers here

 

3.15 - bet365 Handicap Hurdle Cl2 2m140y

5 previous runnings
5/5 – Aged 5 or older
4/5 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
3/5 – Rated between 123-127
3/5 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
3/5 – Aged 5 years-old
3/5 – Favourites that finished second
3/5 – Won carrying between 11-0 and 11-3
3/5 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
2/5 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
John Ferguson has a 32% record with his hurdlers at the track

 

 

 

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