Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 30th Jan 2016

A huge day ahead this Saturday with the C4 cameras heading to the trials meeting at Cheltenham, plus they are also at Doncaster - Andy Newton's got all the trends.

tvtrends-300x73

 

 

 

Cheltenham Trials Day Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)

 

12.40 – JCB Triumph Hurdle Trial (A Juvenile Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m1f

10/12 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Triumph Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
10/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/12 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
9/12 – Placed favourites
9/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/12 – Winning distance – 2 ¼ lengths or less
8/12 – Had previously won at least once over hurdles in the UK
7/12 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the market
7/12 – Won last time out
6/12 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
6/12 – Went onto be placed in that season’s Triumph Hurdle (2 winners, Peace & Co 2015, Katchit 2007)
4/12 – Trained by Alan King
3/12 – Won by a German bred horse
3/12 – Won by an Irish bred horse
3/12 – Had raced at Cheltenham previously
3/12 – Priced 25/1, 50/1 or 100/1

2015 Winner: PEACE AND CO (N Henderson) 4/9 fav

1.15 – Timeform Novices´ Handicap Chase Cl2 2m5f

12/12 – Aged 8 or younger
12/12 – Winners that went onto ran at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 winner, La Landiere Cathcart 2003)
11/12 – Won between 0-2 races over fences in the UK previously
10/12 – Priced 13/2 or shorter
10/12 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
9/12 – Finished either 1st or 2nd last time out
9/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Had won over at least 2 1/2f (fences) in the UK previously
8/12 – Rated 128 or higher
8/12 – Winning distance – 5 lengths or more
6/12 – Carried 11-2 or more
6/12 – Irish bred
5/12 – French bred
4/12 – Won last time out
4/12 – Ran at Kempton last time out
3/12 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/12 – Trained by Venetia Williams
3/12 – Won with 11-12 in weight
2/12 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
1/12 – Winning favourites

2015 Winner: GENEROUS RANSOM (N Gifford) 6/1

1.50 - BetBright Trial Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 3m1f110y CH4

12/12 – Officially rated 151 or higher
11/12 – Raced in the last 8 weeks
11/12 – Won between 2-6 times over fences
11/12 – Ran at Cheltenham over fences before (7 had won)
11/12 – Ran over at least 3m (fences)
9/12 – Ran at either Wetherby (3), Cheltenham (3) or Kempton (3) last time
9/12 – Went onto race in that season’s Gold Cup (no winners, all placed 8th or better)
8/12 – Aged 9 or 10 years-old
8/12 – Priced 6/1 or less
7/12 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
7/12 – Placed favourites
6/12 – Unplaced last time out
5/12 – Winners from outside the top 3 in the market
5/12 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
4/12 – Won by a French-bred horse
4/12 – Won last time out
2/12 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard
1/12 – Went onto win the Grand National (Many Clouds, 2015)
0/12 – Favourites
Looks Like Trouble (2000) was the last winner to go onto win the Cheltenham Gold Cup

2015 Winner: MANY CLOUDS (O Sherwood) 4/1

2.25 - freebets.com Trophy Chase (A Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 2m5f CH4

12/12 – Had won over at least 2m5f (fences) previously
11/12 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
11/12 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
11/12 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences previously
10/12 – Rated 130 or higher
9/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
9/12 – Aged 8 or older
9/12 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
9/12 – Had run over fences at Cheltenham before (5 won)
7/12 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
7/12 – Carried 10-7 or less
7/12 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
7/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/12 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/12 – Won last time out
4/12 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Won by the Pipe stable

2015 Winner: ANNACOTTY (M  Keighley) 5/1

3.00 – Neptune Investment Management Novices´ Hurdle (Grade 2) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4 2m4f110y C4

Your first 30 days for just £1

10/10 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
9/10 – Ran within the last 7 weeks
9/10 – Favourites placed
8/10 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles previously
8/10 – Winners that later raced at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (3 winners)
8/10 – Won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) previously
7/10 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
7/10 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
7/10 – Won their latest race
7/10 – Won by a horse aged 6 years-old
6/10 – Raced at Cheltenham previously
6/10 – Priced 7/2 or less
3/10 – Raced at Newbury last time out
3/10 – Favourites that won
3/10 – Winners that went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
3/10 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
2/10 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
2/10 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty

2015 Winner: ORDO AB CHAO (A King) 16/1

3.35 – galliardhomes.com Cleeve Hurdle (Grade 2) Cl1 3m CH4

10/11 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
10/11 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
10/11 – Won at least 3 times over hurdles previously
9/11 – Went to run in that season’s Ladbrokes World Hurdle (3 won)
9/11 – Raced at Cheltenham (hurdles) previously
8/11 – Officially rated 155 or higher
8/11 – Winners that finished in the top 4 in that season’s Ladbrokes World Hurdle
7/11 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
6/11 – Finished either 1st or 2nd in their last race
6/11 – Favourites placed
6/11 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
5/11 – Won their latest race
5/11 – Won by a French-bred horse
4/11 – Favourites that won
3/11 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
2/11 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
Note: The 2006 running was staged at Sandown

2015 Winner: SAPHIR DU RHEU (P Nicholls) 3/1

4.10 - Steel Plate And Sections Handicap Hurdle (CLASS 2) (4yo+) RUK Soft 2m1f

11/11 – Rated 121 or higher
10/11 – Had raced within the last 9 weeks
10/11 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
9/11 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
8/11 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
8/11 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 winner La Fontana)
8/11 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/11 – Irish bred
6/11 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
6/11 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or less
5/11 – Unplaced favourites
4/11 – French bred
3/11 – Won last time out
3/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/11 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/11 – Ridden by Tom Scudamore

2015 Winner: LIGHTENTERTAINMENT (C Gordon) 7/2


Doncaster Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)

2.05 - OLBG.com Doncaster Mares´ Hurdle (Registered as The Doncaster Mares´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m110y CH4

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Aged 8 or younger
5/6 – Had won over this trip before
5/6 – Had run in the last 5 weeks
4/6 – Won between 1-3 times before
4/6 – Went onto run in the Mares Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
4/6 – Won last time out
3/6 – Irish bred
2/6 - Winning favourites
Intense Tango won the race in 2015
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 7.4/1

2.40 – Albert Bartlett Novices´ Hurdle (Registered as The River Don Novices´ Hurdle) (Grade 2) Cl1 3m110y CH4

6 previous runnings
6/6 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or less
6/6 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
6/6 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
5/6 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/6 – Placed favourites
5/6 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
4/6 – Won last time out
3/6 – Irish bred
2/6 – Had raced at Doncaster before
2/6 – Winning favourite
2/6 – Trained by Malcolm Jefferson
The average SP in the last 5 runnings is 9/2
No real age trend with 5,6,7 & 8 year-olds all winning

3.15 – Sky Bet Chase (A Handicap) (formerly The Great Yorkshire Chase) (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (5yo+ 0-155) CH4 3m

10/10 – Had won between 0-3 times over fences before
9/10 – Carried 11-2 or less
9/10 – Aged 9 or younger
7/10 – Finished unplaced last time out
7/10 – Officially rated 130 or higher
7/10 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
7/10 – Carried 10-12 or less
6/10 – Unplaced favourites
6/10 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
6/10 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
2/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/10 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/10 – Ridden by Andrew Thornton
2/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9.5/1
Note: The 2007 running was staged at Southwell
Other Stats:
4 of the last 10 winners of this race went onto contest the William Hill Trophy (now JLT Chase) at the Cheltenham Festival that season (1 winner)
4 of the last 10 winners went onto run in that season’s Grand National (no winners, all unplaced)

 

Follow Andy Newton Here - @NewtsDailyLays

Trainers Quotes

FREE TRIAL: TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 21 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

Your first 30 days for just £1