Saturday TV Trends

Saturday & Sunday TV Trends: 30th April – 1st May 16

It’s Guineas Weekend at Newmarket this Saturday and Sunday, while the C4 cameras are also taking in races over the two days at Goodwood, Hamilton and Salisbury. As always we’ve all the LIVE C4 races covered from a trends and stats angle.

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SATURDAY 30th April 2016


Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


2.00 - championsofracing.co.uk Suffolk Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m1f CH4

11/11 – Priced 12/1 or shorter
11/11 – Had won at least twice before
11/11 – Had won over at least a mile before
9/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
9/11 – Carried 9-0 or less in weight
9/11 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley) before
8/11 – Returned between 9/1 and 12/1 in the betting
8/11 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/11 – Rated between 90 and 95
6/11 – Aged 4 years-old
5/11 – Irish bred
4/11 – Having their first run of the season
4/11 – Won last time out
3/11 – Came from stall 9
1/11 - Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/1


2.30 - Pearl Bloodstock Palace House Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 5f CH4

12/13 – Had won over 5f before
12/13 – Won 3 or more times before
11/13 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
11/13 – Priced 15/2 or shorter
10/13 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
10/13 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
10/13 – Had run at Newmarket before
9/13 – Placed favourites
9/13 – Rated between 108 and 114
9/13 – Aged 5 or younger
9/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/13 – Won last time out
6/13 – Winning favourites
5/13 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
5/13 – Aged 5 years-old
2/13 – Trained by Bryan Smart
Sole Power has won this in 2013 and 2014
Just 1 placed horse from stall 1 in the last 9 runnings
6 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 2-7 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 8/1


3.05 – Dunaden At Overbury Jockey Club Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m4f CH4

13/13 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/13 – Had won between 3-5 times in their career
11/13 – Won over 1m4f before
11/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/13 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or more
9/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/13 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
7/13 – Rated 112 or higher
7/13 – Winning favourites
7/13 – Aged 4 years-old
6/13 – Had won a Group race before
6/13 – Aged 5 years-old
6/13 – Having their first run of the season
5/13 – Won last time out
4/13 – Returned 7/4 in the betting
4/13 – Ran at Newbury last time out
2/13 – Won by Mark Johnston
2/13 – Trained by Andre Fabre
Second Step won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 10/3


3.45 – Qipco 2000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m CH4

14/14 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
12/14 – Had won over at least 7f before
12/14 – Had won a Group race before
12/14 – Had won between 2-5 times before
11/14 – Won last time out
10/14 – Winning distance – less than 2 lengths
9/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/14 – Having their first run of the season
8/14 – Had won just 2 or 3 times in their career before
9/14 – Placed favourites
8/14 – Won by an Irish-based yard
8/14 – Irish bred
6/14 – Won by trainer Aidan O’Brien (7 wins
5/14 – Had won over a mile before
5/14 – Winning favourites
4/14 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley) before
4/14 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (2 winners)
3/14 – Ran at the Curragh last time out
3/14 – Won the Dewhurst Stakes the previous season
6 of the last 9 winners came from stalls 10 or lower
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 11/1

Other 2,000 Guineas Facts
- Aidan O’Brien has won the race in 1998, 2002, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2012 & 2015
- Kieren Fallon rode the winner in 2000, 2001, 2005, 2006 & 2014


Goodwood Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


2.15 – Betfred TV EBF Stallions Daisy Warwick Stakes (Fillies´ & Mares) (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f

5 previous runnings
5/5 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
5/5 – Didn’t win last time out
4/5 – Had won over 1m4f before
4/5 – Had won between 2-3 times before
3/5 – Unplaced favourites
3/5 – Aged 4 years-old
2/5 – Winners from stall 2
2/5 – Raced at Ascot last time out
1/5 – Winning favourites
Miss Marjurie won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 9/2
Trainer James Fanshawe has a 25% record with his older horses at the track
Trainer Sir Michael Stoute has a 24% record with his older horses at the track
Kieren Fallon has a 21% record riding older horses at the track


2.50 – Betfred "Treble Odds On Lucky 15´s" Handicap Cl2 7f CH4

Just 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Carried between 8-7 and 8-12
3/3 – Had won between 2-4 races before
3/3 – Winners that came between stalls 5-9 (inc)
2/3 – Aged 4 years-old
2/3 – Finished second last time out
2/3 – Ran at Kempton last time out
1/3 – Winning favourites
Fiftyshadesofgrey won this 12 months ago


SUNDAY, 1st May 2016


Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

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1.50 – Qipco Supporting British Racing Stakes (Handicap) Cl2 1m4f CH4

11/12 – Had won at least twice before
11/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
11/12 – Finished in the top 5 in their last race
11/12 – Carried 9-2 or less in weight
10/12 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Winning distance 1 ½ lengths or less
8/12 – Had won over 1m4f before
8/12 – Had won between 2-4 times before
5/12  Having their first run of the season
4/12 – Had run at Newmarket before (Rowley)
3/12 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/12 – Winning favourites (1 co)
1/12 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6.7/1


2.25 – Charm Spirit At Tweenhills In 2017 Dahlia Stakes (Group 2) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m1f CH4

12/12 – Placed in the top 5 last time out
11/12 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
11/12 – Had won over 1m (or further) before
10/12 – Returned 9/2 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Had won a Listed or Group race before
8/12 – Had run at the course before
8/12 – Aged 4 years-old
7/12 – Ran at either Kempton (4) or Newmarket (3) last time out
7/12 – Won this on first run of the season
6/12 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
5/12 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
4/12 – Won last time out
4/12 – Ran at Kempton last time out
4/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/12 – Ridden by Seb Sanders
2/12 – Ridden by William Buick
6 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 1-4 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 7/2


3.00 – longholes.com Rehab And Pre-Training Handicap Cl2 6f CH4

12/12 – Had won between 2-5 times before
11/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
10/12 – Had won over 6f before
10/12 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
9/12 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
9/12 – Carried 9-1 or less
6/12 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
5/12 – Returned between 10/1-12/1 in the betting
5/12 – Won last time out
5/12 – Irish bred
3/12 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
1/12 – Winning favourites
Just 1 placed horse from stall 1 in the last 8 runnings
6 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 9 or higher
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 14/1


3.40 – Qipco 1,000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies) Cl1 1m CH4

13/14 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
11/14 – Had won a Group race before
11/14 – Had won between 2-3 times before
10/14 – Won their previous race
10/14 – Winning distance – 1 ½ lengths or less
8/14 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
8/14 – Yet to win a race over a mile (or further)
8/14 – Had raced at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
7/14 – Returned a double-figure price
7/14 – Favourites were unplaced
6/14 – Won on their seasonal reappearance
6/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
6/14 – Had won at Newmarket (Rowley Mile) before
4/14 – Won by a US bred horse
4/14 – Went onto win the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot
4/14 – Previous Group One winners
4/14 – Irish-trained winners
3/14 – Won by the favourite
3/14 – French-trained winners
3/14 – Went onto finish fourth in the Epsom Oaks
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/14 – Ridden by Frankie Dettori
1/14 – Went onto win the Epsom Oaks (Kazzia)
No placed horses from stall 1 in the last 8 runnings
5 of the last 8 winners came between stalls 2-8 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 14 years is 10.4/1

1,000 Guineas Facts
Owner Hamdam Al Maktoum has won the race 5 times (1990, 1991, 1995, 2000 & 2009)
Frankie Dettori has ridden the ridden the winner 3 times (1998, 2002 & 2011)
Godolphin have won the race 3 times (1998, 2002 & 2011)
Aidan O’Brien has trained two winners , Virginia Waters (1995) and Homecoming Queen (2012)


Salisbury Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

2.05 - Betfred "City Bowl" Handicap Cl3 1m6f21y CH4

12/12 – Didn’t win last time out
10/12 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
10/12 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Had won over at least 1m4f before
10/12 – Had won between 1-3 times on the flat
10/12 – Carried 8-12 or more
9/12 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/12 – Aged 4 years-old
6/12 – Had run in the last 5 weeks
5/12 – Winning favourites
3/12 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/12 – Ridden by Seb Sanders
9 of the last 10 favourites finished in the top 3
3 of the last 6 winners came from stall 1
7 of the last 10 winners came between stalls 1-6 (inc)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

 

Hamilton Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

2.45 - totepoolliveinfo.com Buttonhook Handicap Cl3 1m5f14y CH4

10/10 – Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Aged 5 or older
9/10 – Horses from stall 6 placed
9/10 – Won between 4-8 times before
9/10 – Had won over at least 1m4f
8/10 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
7/10 – Carried 9-0 or more in weight
7/10 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
5/10 – Raced at Musselburgh last time out
5/10 – Unplaced favourites
4/10 – Aged 5 years-old
4/10 – Winners from stall 6
3/10 – Winning favourites
2/10 – Trained by Alan Swinbank
1/10 – Won last time out
Alan Swinbank’s Aramist win the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 6/1

 

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