Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 23rd July 2016

It’s King George day at Ascot this Saturday, while the C4 cameras also head to York – As always, Andy Newton’s got all the big TV race trends & stats.

 

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Ascot Horse Racing Trends (C4/ATR)


2.45 – Princess Margaret Juddmonte Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 6f CH4

11/13 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
10/13 – Had won just once before
10/13 – Foaled in either Feb or March
10/13 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
10/13 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
8/13 – Won over 6f before
7/13 – Winning favourite
5/13 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/13 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/13 – Won last time out
2/13 – Won by the Hannon yard
2/13 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
5 of the last 10 winners were Irish bred
7 of the last 10 horses from stall 1 were placed
4 of the last 5 winners came from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newbury


3.20 – Woodford Reserve Handicap Cl2 1m CH4

Only 5 previous runnings
4/5 – Carried 8-8 or more
4/5 – Winners between stalls 9-14
4/5 – Had won just once before
3/5 – Won last time out
3/5 – Unplaced favourites
3/5 – Returned 10/1 or bigger in the betting
2/5 – Raced at Ascot last time out
2/5 – Irish bred
1/5 – Winning favourite
William Haggas won the race in 2014
Hughie Morrison won the race in 2012


3.55 – Gigaset International Stakes (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f CH4

13/13 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
13/13 – Had raced at Ascot previously
13/13 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
11/13 – Won over 7f previously
11/13 – Favourites unplaced
10/13 – Carried 8-9 or more in weight
9/13 – Won between 2-4 times previously
9/13 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
9/13 – Winners that came from outside the top three in the market
9/13 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
8/13 – Aged 4 years-old
5/13 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
4/13 – Won their last race
3/13 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/13 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/13 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/13 – Ridden by Jimmy Quinn
0/13 – Favourites
Heavens Guest won the race in 2015
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 21/1
Note: The 2005 running was staged at Newbury

 

4.30 – King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes (Sponsored By Qipco British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m4f CH4

14/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
14/14 – Previous Group 1 or 2 winners
13/14 – Had 2 or more runs already that season
12/14 – Had won over 1m4f before
11/14 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
11/14 – Placed last time out
10/14 – Previous Group 1 winner
8/14 – Won their previous race
8/14 – Had run Ascot before
6/14 – Favourites that won
6/14 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time out
5/14 – Won at Ascot before
3/14 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1981, 1983, 2002, 2009 & 2010
Saeed Bin Suroor won the race in 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999 & 2004
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/2


York Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


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8 previous runnings
8/8 – Carried 9-3 or more
7/8 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
7/8 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
7/8 – Had won over 7f before
6/8 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/8 – Had won at York before
4/8 – Rated between 73 and 80
4/8 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
3/8 – Returned 4/1 in the betting
2/8 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/8 – Won by the David O’Meara yard
1/8 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 6/1


3.35 – Skybet York Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m2f88y CH4

9/10 – Aged 6 or younger
9/10 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
8/10 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
7/10 – Horses from stall one that finished in the top two
7/10 – Had won over 1m2f before
7/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Had won at least 4 times before
7/10 – Rated between 112 and 117
5/10 – Ran at Sandown last time out
5/10 – Had run at York before
4/10 – Winning favourites
3/10 – Aged 6 years-old
2/10 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
Tullius won the race in 2015
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 5/1


4.10 – Skybet Dash (Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4

12/12 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
11/12 – Carried 8-12 or more
11/12 – Had won between 2-6 times before
11/12 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Aged 5 or younger
10/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
8/12 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/12 – Raced at either Hamilton, York, Newmarket or Ascot last time
8/12 – Placed favourites
6/12 – Had run at York before
5/12 – Winning favourites
2/12 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/12 – Won last time out
7 of the last 10 winners carried 9-0 or more
Tanzeel won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/2

4.45 - Sky Bet Best Odds Guaranteed EBF Fillies´ Stakes (Handicap) Cl3 1m2f88y

11/11 – Returned 12/1 or shorter
9/11 – Carried 8-13 or more in weight
9/11 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
9/11 – Had won over at last 1m2f before
9/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Raced at either Lingfield, Doncaster, Newcastle & Newbury last time out
8/11 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Placed favourites
7/11 – Rated between 79-84
7/11 – Horses from stall 2 that finished in the top 3
7/11 – Aged 3 years-old
6/11 – Winning favourites (4 of last 5)
5/11 – Won last time out
5/11 – Had won just once before
3/11 – Winners from stall 3
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

 

 

Trainers Quotes

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"Eager Beaver - She has not run a bad race all year and she is in really good form, would love to get her first win under her belt and feel this race gives her a good opportunity."
William Muir

20/07/16 1st 7/2

"Masqueraded - Only wins have been on the AW to date so still some questions to answer on the turf. Hoping the drop back to a mile will suit though and this doesn't look the best race into Selling grade again. A bit to find with 3 or 4 on these terms though so a place might be the best we can hope for."
Gay Kelleway

20/07/16 3rd 25/1

"Attain - Is well-handicapped on the turf at present. He is off his old rating here but has gone up 3lbs in future for his second at Beverley last week. Liam takes off 7lbs too so on these terms must have a good e/w chance."
Julia Feilden

20/07/16 1st 4/1

 

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