Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 30th July 2016

A big day at Glorious Goodwood with their final day of their meeting, while the C4 cameras also take in two races at Newmarket – As always Andy Newton’s on hand with all the LIVE Saturday C4 race trends…………………

 

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NEWMARKET (JULY) (C4 & RUK)

2.15 - British Stallion Studs EBF Chalice Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m4f CH4

10/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/10 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Had won no more than twice before
8/10 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/10 – Had won over 1m2 or further in the past
6/10 – Unplaced favourites
2/10 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
1/10 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 running is 6/1
Note: From 2014 back the race was run at Newbury

 2.50 - British EBF Fillies´ Nursery Handicap Cl2 6f CH4

7/8 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
7/8 – Carried 9-3 or less
6/8 – Had won at least won race before
6/8 – Had won over 5 or 6f before
5/8 – Won by a March or April foal
4/8 – Drawn in stall 9 or 10
4/8 – Returned a double-figure price
3/8 – Unplaced favourites
2/8 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 9/1


GLORIOUS GOODWOOD (C4/RUK)


2.00 - Qatar Stewards´ Sprint Stakes (Handicap) (Consolation Race for Qatar Stewards´ Cup) Cl2 6f CH4

12/12 – Didn’t win their last race
12/12 – Raced at Goodwood previously
12/12 – Won at least 3 times during their career
11/12 – Had won over 6f previously
10/12 – Had 4 or more runs that season
8/12 – Finished 4th or worse in their last race
7/12 – Favourites unplaced
6/12 – Winning Distance - 1 ¼ lengths or more
6/12 – Raced at either York (3) or Newmarket (3) last time out
6/12 – Priced between 8/1 and 12/1 in the market
6/12 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
4/12 – Won by the David Nicholls yard
3/12 – Trained by Clive Cox
3/12 – Ridden by Adrian Nicholls
2/12 – Favourites (none in the last 10 years)
0/12 – 3 year-old winners
The last 10 winners carried 9-0 or more
7 of the last 10 winners carried between 9-0 and 9-5
No winner from stall 1 in the last 10 runnings
Horse from stall 3 has won 2 of the last 7 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 running is 14/1

2.35 - Qatar (Handicap) Cl2 1m4f CH4

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12/12 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
10/12 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
9/12 – Favourites
8/12 – Rated between 85-93
7/12 – Carried 8-13 or less in weight
6/12 – Won over 1m4f previously
6/12 – Came from outside the top 3 in the market
4/12 – Won their last race
4/12 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/12 – Trained by Mark Johnston
2/12 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/12 – Ridden by Seb Sanders
2/12 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
0/12 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 10/1
7 of the last 10 winners came from stall 10 or lower
Horses from stall 10 have won 2 of the last 10 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 running is 8/1

3.10 - Qatar Nassau Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m1f192y CH4

12/12 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the market
11/12 – Had run within the last 6 weeks
10/12 – Aged either 3 or 4 years-old
9/12 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
9/12 – Had won over 1m2f previously
8/12 – Won between 2-4 times before
8/12 – Favourites
7/12 – Had won a Group One race previously
6/12 – Favourites
3/12 – Ridden by Tom Queally
3/12 – Trained by John Gosden (inc last 3 runnings)
2/12 – Won by the Sir Michael Stoute yard
2/12 – Won by the Aidan O’Brien yard
2/12 – Ridden by Kieren Fallon
7 of the last 10 winners were drawn 7 or lower Stalls 1
6 and 7 have won 6 of the last 10 renewals
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2

3.45 – Qatar Stewards´ Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4

13/13 – Aged 6 or younger
13/13 – Had won over 6f before
12/13 – Had at least 3 previous career wins to their name
11/13 – Had 3 or more previous runs that season
11/13 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
9/13 – Carried 9-1 or less
8/13 – Placed favourites (top 4)
8/13 – Raced at either Ascot, York or Newmarket last time out
7/13 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
6/13 – Raced at Goodwood before
3/13 – Favourites (1 joint, 1 co)
2/13 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/13 – Ridden by Kieren Fallon
2/13 – William Haggas
0/13 – Winning 3 year-olds
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 13/1
8 of the last 10 winners came from a double-figure stall
Stall 18 has won 2 of the last 9 runnings
7 of the last 9 top 2 finishers came from a double-figure stall
Since 1978 all bar one winner has been aged 6 or younger

 

Trainers Quotes

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"Palmerston - Won well for us two runs back beating a fair yardstick in Fort Jefferson. That was over a mile so the return to this trip after trying 1m2f last time is a big plus. Yes, 5lbs higher than that win and higher grade but the horse is very well at home and I think we head here with a great each-way chance at a nice price. We've a few out today, but this one looks the value e/w bet from all my runners."
Mick Appleby

23/07/16 1st 20/1 

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