Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends – 1st Oct 2016

Andy Newton takes you through the LIVE C4 races this Saturday at Ascot, Redcar and Newmarket from a trends angle – Did you know that 12 of the last 14 Cumberland Lodge favourites have been placed? Narrow down the fields and find the best winning profiles!

 

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Ascot Horse Racing Trends (C4/ATR)

 

2.30 - Gigaset Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 1m4f CH4

14/14 - Finished fourth or better last time out
13/14 – Returned 7/2 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Had won over 1m4f before
12/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
12/14 – Placed favourites
11/14 – Won at Listed or better class before
11/14 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
10/14 – Winning distance 1 ¾ lengths or more
10/14 – Had 5 or more runs that season
9/14 – Had raced at the course before (4 won)
9/14 – Won last time out
8/14 – Had won 4 or more times before
8/14 – Favourites to win
6/14 – Raced at Doncaster last time out
5/14 – Trained by Marcus Tregoning
2/14 – Ridden by Martin Dwyer
1/14 – Filly or mare winners
Trainer James Fanshawe (Star Storm) won the race in 2015
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/4

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

3.05 - John Guest Bengough Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f CH4

Only 8 previous runnings
8/8 – Won over 6f previously
8/8 – Officially rated 100 or higher
7/8 – Winning distance – 3/4 length or less
7/8 – Won 4 or more times previously
7/8 – Had run within the last 30 days
6/8 – Aged 4 or older
6/8 – Raced 6 or more times that season
4/8 – Won their previous race
3/8 – Returned a double-figure price
2/8 – Raced at the Curragh last time out
1/8 – Favourites to win
Horse from stall 7 has been placed in 4 of the last 5 runnings (2 wins)
Horses from stall 5 and 7 have won 4 of the last 5 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 6 years is 11/1

 

3.40 – totescoop6 Challenge Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f CH4

13/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
12/14 – Won between 2 and 4 previous races
11/14 – Won over 7f previously
10/14 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
10/14 – Had raced within the last 30 days
9/14 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
9/14 – Raced at Ascot previously
9/14 – Raced 7 or more times that season
7/14 – Carried 8-12 or less in weight
7/14 – Returned a double-figure price
5/14 – Raced at Ayr last time out
3/14 – Favourites to win
2/14 – Trained by Roger Charlton
2/14 – Trained by Mick Channon
2/14 – Won their previous race
0/14 – Filly or mare winners
Buckstay won the race in 2015
Intransigent won the race in 2014
Heavens Guest won the race in 2013
6 of the last 8 winners came from stalls 8-13 (inc)
4 of the last 8 horses from stall 10 were placed in the top 3
3 of the last 8 horses from stall 11 were placed in the top 3
The Average winning SP in the last 10 years is 16/1
Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newmarket

 

4.15 - Ascot And Camra 10th Anniversary Rous Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 5f CH4

12/12 – Returned 11/1 or shorter in the betting
12/12 – Had raced in the last 5 weeks
12/12 – Won over 5f before
10/12 – Rated 101 or higher
10/12 – Winning distance – ½ length or shorter
10/12 – Aged 5 or younger
9/12 – Had won between 3-7 times before
8/12 – Yet to win at Listed or better class
8/12 – Unplaced last time out
6/12 – Raced at Newbury last time out
5/12 – Irish bred
3/12 – Trained by Bryan Smart
1/12 – Winning favourites
1/12 – Won last time out
8 of the last 10 winners came from stalls 8 or lower
The Average winning SP in the last 10 years is 8/1

 

Newmarket Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)


2.15 - British EBF Breeders´ Fillies´ Series Sprint Handicap Cl2 6f CH4

No previous runnings
Trainer Mick Appleby has a 29% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has a 17% record with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ralph Beckett is just 3 from 41 (7%) with his 3 year-olds at the track

 

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2.50 - British Stallions Supporting EBF Breeders´ Fillies´ Series Mile Handicap Cl2 1m CH4

No previous runnings
Trainer Luca Cumani is just 2 from 54 (4%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ed Dunlop is just 2 from 38 (5%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer David Simcock is just 1 from 38 (3%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas is 0 from 25 with his 4 year-olds at the track

 

3.25 - British Stallions EBF Breeders´ Fillies´ Series Middle Distance Handicap Cl2 1m2f CH4

No previous runnings
Trainer Luca Cumani is just 2 from 54 (4%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer Ed Dunlop is just 2 from 38 (5%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer David Simcock is just 1 from 38 (3%) with his 3 year-olds at the track
Trainer William Haggas is 0 from 25 with his 4 year-olds at the track

 

4.00 - Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m CH4

10/12 – Had won over at least 1m before
10/12 – Previous Group winners
10/12 – Won between 3-5 times before
9/12 – Raced in the last 6 weeks
8/12 – Rated between 113 and 119
7/12 – Previous Group One winners
5/12 – Aged 3 years-old
5/12 – French-trained winners
5/12 – Raced at Deauville last time out
4/12 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/12 – Winning favourites (1 co)
2/12 – Won by a previous winner of the race
2/12 – Won last time out
Horses from stall 1 have won 3 of the last 10 runnings
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2

 

Redcar Horse Racing Trends (C4/RUK)

 

3.15 - totepool Two-Year-Old Trophy (Listed Race) Cl1 6f CH4

11/14 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
11/14 – Had 4 or more previous runs that season
9/14 – Foaled in March or later
9/14 – Had won 1 or 2 previous races
9/14 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
9/14 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
8/14 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/14 – Had won over 6f before
8/14 – Unplaced favourites
5/14 – Won last time out
3/14 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
3/14 – Filly winners
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Trained by Tim Easterby
2/14 – Trained by Stan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1

 

 

 

Trainers Quotes

TRAINERS-QUOTES.COM: GET THE BEST INFO FROM 21 TOP STABLES EACH DAY - Sent direct to your in-box!

"Next Sensation: In great form - has been much more like himslef the last two starts. Unlucky to fall when looking the winner last time. We've given him plenty of time since and seems as good as ever at home - hopefully he can make amends today and hopeful of a big run."
Michael Scudamore

26/09/16 1st 7/4

"GUNS OF LEROS  should have a great chance today. Probably the toughest race he has been in yet but he looks to be improving to me (won his last two) and as long as he can cope with the undulations of this track then I expect him to be there at the finish. "
Gary Moore

25/09/16 1st 5/1

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