Saturday TV Trends

Sat TV Trends: 13th May 2017

Another jam-packed day Saturday on the horse racing front with the ITV4 cameras heading to Ascot, Haydock and Lingfield  - we've 8 races in total that include the Victoria Cup, Swinton Hurdle, plus the Lingfield Derby and Oaks Trials - As always, we’ve all the LIVE ITV contests covered from a trends and stats angle.

Saturday 13th May 2017

Haydock Horse Racing Trends (ITV/RUK)


3.10 - Pertemps Network Swinton Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m ITV4

14/14 – Aged 5, 6 or 7 years-old
14/14 – Had won over at least 2m miles (hurdles before)
14/14 – Carried 11-5 or less
13/14 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
13/14 – Didn’t win last time out
12/14 – Had won between 2-3 times over hurdles before
9/14 – Carried 10-8 or less
9/14 – Irish bred
9/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/14 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
8/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
6/14 – Ran at Aintree last time out
5/14 – Returned a double-figure price
4/14 – Winning favourites
3/14 – Ran at Ayr last time out
3/14 – Had run at the track before (hurdles)
2/14 – Trained by Evan Williams
2/14 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
1/14 – Irish-trained winners
4 of the last 11 winners returned 16/1
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/1


Ascot Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)


2.15 – Rosling King Handicap Cl3 1m4f ITV4

Only 6 previous runnings
6/6 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
5/6 – Aged 4 years-old
5/6 – Carried 9-3 or less
1/6 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 9/2
Trainer William Knight is 0 from 26 with his older horses at the track
Trainer David Elsworth is 1 from 21 with his older horses at the track
Jockey Jim Crowley is just 2 from 55 (4%) riding older horses at the track

 


2.50 - Carey Group Buckhounds Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f ITV4

10/11 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
10/11 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/11 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
7/11 – Favourites placed
7/11 – Had won 3 or more times before
6/11 – Had raced at Ascot before
6/11 – Winning favourites (inc co or joint)
5/11 – Raced within the last 3 weeks
5/11 – Had won over 1m4f before
4/11 – Won last time out
3/11 – Trained by John Gosden
2/11 – Trained by Roger Varian
2/11 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/11 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/4


3.25 - EBF Breeders´ Series Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 1m ITV4

11/11 – Failed to win last time out
11/11 – Had won 2-3 times on the flat before
10/11 – Had won over a mile before
9/11 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
9/11 – Aged 5 or younger
8/11 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Carried 9-0 or more
8/11 – Aged 4 years-old
7/11 – Favourites that finished 4th or better
7/11 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
6/11 – Rated between 82-87
6/11 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/11 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 7/1

 


4.00 - totepool Victoria Cup (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f ITV4

13/14 – Had run within the last 5 weeks
12/14 – Had won over 7f before
11/14 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
11/14 – Aged 5 or younger
11/14 – Had won no more than 3 times
10/14 – Carried 8-10 or less
9/14 – Unplaced favourites
8/14 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
7/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/14 – Had run at Ascot before (4 winners)
5/14 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/14 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7 of the last 10 winners came from a double-figure draw
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 14/1
Note: The 2005 running was staged at Lingfield

 


Lingfield Horse Racing Trends (ITV/ATR)

1.55 - Betfred Mobile Oaks Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4

12/13 – Had won no more than once before
11/13 – Had no more than 3 career runs
10/13 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
10/13 – Returned 15/2 or shorter in the betting
9/13 – Came from stall 5 or higher
9/13 – Went onto run in the Epsom Oaks (no winners, two seconds)
8/13 – Had only won over a mile or shorter in the past
7/13 – Returned 5/2 or shorter in the betting
6/13 – Having first run of the season
6/13 – Raced at either Newbury (3) or Newmarket (3) last time out
6/13 – Won last time out
5/13 – Winning favourites
4/13 – Winners from stall 5
4/13 – Winning distance exactly 6 lengths
3/13 – Had won over 1m2f before
3/13 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/13 – Trained by William Haggas
2/13 – Irish-trained winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/2

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2.30 - Betfred Derby Trial Stakes (Listed Race) (Colts & Geldings) Cl1 1m3f106y ITV4

14/14 – Had won no more than 3 times
12/14 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
12/14 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
11/14 – Went onto run in the Epsom Derby (no winners)
11/14 – Had run within the last 4 weeks
11/14 – Finished 4th or better last time out
10/14 – Favourites placed
8/14 – Drawn in stall 1 or 2
4/14 – Ran at Newbury last time out
4/14 – Won last time out
4/14 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
3/14 – Winning favourites
2/14 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/2
The last winner to go on and win the Epsom Derby was High Rise 1998

 


3.40 - Betfred "Supports Jack Berry House" Chartwell Fillies´ Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 7f1y ITV4

11/11 – Aged 5 or younger
11/11 – Drawn between stalls 3-8 (inc)
9/11 – Won between 1-4 times before
8/11 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
7/11 – Had won over 7f before
7/11 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
7/11 – Placed favourites
7/11 – Drawn in stall 3 (4) or 7 (3)
6/11 – Irish-bred
5/11 – Won last time out
5/11 – Non UK-trained winners
3/11 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
3/11 – Returned 16/1 in the betting
2/11 – Winning favourites
Ashadiahan won the race 12 months ago
5 of the last 8 winners returned double-figures in the betting
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 17/2


 

 

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