PONTEFRACT – MAY 25
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2017: £16.20 (8 favourites – 4 winners – 2 placed – 1 unplaced)
Breakdown of the percentage of successful units in each Placepot race last year and the prices of the horses which finished in the frame – favourites which finished out of the Placepot positions are offered in brackets:
Race 1: 53.9% units went through – 11/4** - 11/4** - 16/1 (11/4**)
Race 2: 30.4% of the remaining units when through – 3/1* - 25/1 – 8/1
Race 3: 54.3% of the remaining units went through – 2/1* (Win only)
Race 4: 38.4% of the remaining units went through – 7/2* - 16/1 – 8/1
Race 5: 72.4% of the remaining units went through – 10/3 & 7/4*
Race 6: 97.9% of the units secured the dividend – 9/2 & 7/4 (Fav W/D)
Friday's Placepot permutation at Pontefract:
Leg 1 (6.30): 10 (Kings Academy), 2 (Heir Of Excitement), 4 (Laqab) & 1 (Zlatan)
Leg 2 (7.00): 3 (New Society) & 5 (Alfred Richardson)
Leg 3 (7.30): 3 (Victory Command) & 1 (Celebrity Dancer)
Leg 4 (8.00): 9 (Foxtrot Night), 3 (Henley) & 7 (Alsvinder)
Leg 5 (8.30): 10 (Sempre Presto), 9 (Shes Queen) & 3 (Savannah Moon)
Leg 6 (9.00): 2 (Angels) & 1 (Breaking Records)
Suggested stake: 288 bets to 10p stakes
6.30: Four-year-olds have won six of the eleven races contested during the last twelve years, whilst nine gold medallists carried nine stones or more. Vintage representatives completely dominated the finish two years ago, with two of the three horses filling the frame carrying the relevant weights. KINGS ACADEMY (drawn 4/17 – low numbers best at Pontefract) is close enough to the rail to figure prominently, whilst others to consider include HEIR OF EXCITEMENT (10), LAQAB (2) and ZLATAN (7) in the most difficult race on the card to assess for openers.
Favourite factor: Eleven of the last fifteen favourites have secured Placepot positions, statistics which include five successful market leaders.
Pontfract record of the four course winners in the opening event:
2/12—Trinity Star (good & good to firm)
1/5—Beverley Bullet (soft)
1/4—Mr Cool Cash (good to soft)
7.00: Six of the last seven winners have carried a minimum burden of 9-1, whilst four-year-olds have won five of the last ten contests, with NEW SOCIETY and ALFRED RICHARDSON potentially representing the vintage to good effect this time around. The two horses are listed in order of preference, though five-year-old ICELAND has attracted overnight support which adds interest to proceedings.
Favourite factor: Favourites of one description or another have claimed eight of the last ten contests, whilst eight of the last fourteen market leaders have secured Placepot positions.
Pontefract record of the three course winners in the second race:
1/2—Alfred Richardson (good to firm)
1/2—Icefall (good to firm)
7.30: I highlighted Mark Johnston’s (successful) 5/1 chance Rufus King to big effect twelve months ago and with the trainer coming to the gig on a hat trick this time around, VICTORY COMMAND is the first nomination for the team sheet. I don’t possess quite the same enthusiasm as I did last year, mainly because of the declaration of CELEBRITY DANCER who scored here on debut under soft conditions. Although “good to firm” was the call by the officials first thing this morning, rain is set to hit Pontefract Park whereby you might want to take that statement with the proverbial pinch of salt.
Favourite factor: Eight renewals had slipped by since the last two favourites scored for Mark Johnston. Eight of the last ten market leaders have finished in the frame, whilst horses returned at a top price of 9/2 have secured eight of the eleven contests.
Pontefract record of the course winner in the field:
1/1—Celebrity Dancer (soft)
8.00: Much depends on which way the wind blows here in terms of how much rain falls throughout the day. Rain would very much suit FOXTROT KNIGHT and having to declare my cards 13 hours in advance of the contest, I will take a chance that enough of the wet stuff will emerge to increase his chance. Others to consider include ALSVINDER (cautionary note; performs better on A/W surfaces) and HENLEY.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 7/2 market leader was ‘short headed’ before last year’s favourite made amends by going one better that the same price.
Pontefract record of the two course winners in the fourth contest:
1/2—Foxtrot Knight (soft)
2/4—Grandad’s World (good & good to soft)
8.30: Three-year-olds have won eight of the last ten renewals whereby it is surprising to say the least that just two vintage raiders have been declared this time around. SEMPRE PRESTO and SHES QUEEN should both be there or thereabouts as the jockeys raise their whips though if rain falls to half decent effect, SAVANNAH MOON would have to enter calculations.
Favourite factor: Three winning favourites have been recorded via eleven renewals during the last twelve years, with four of the last eight market leaders having claimed Placepot positions.
Pontefract record of the course winner in the penultimate leg of our favourite wager:
1/1—Savannah Moon (soft)
9.00: ANGELS and BREAKING RECORDS should have the finish to themselves and with Tim Easterby in high spirits after his victory in the National Stakes at Sandown last night, the trainer could be partying the night away with ANGELS having added to the tally in more ‘local’ surroundings.
Favourite factor: The Placepot finale is a new contest on the card.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.