FONTWELL – JUNE 5
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2017: £22.60 (6 favourites – 4 winners – 1 placed – 1 unplaced)
Breakdown of the percentage of successful units in each Placepot race last year and the prices of the horses which finished in the frame – favourites which finished out of the Placepot positions are offered in brackets:
Race 1: 53.6% units went through – 7/2 & 11/4*
Race 2: 73.4% of the remaining units when through – 2/9* (Win only)
Race 3: 94.5% of the remaining units went through – 8/13* & 15/8
Race 4: 51.1% of the remaining units went through – 15/8* & 5/1
Race 5: 27.2% of the remaining units went through – 20/1 & 9/2 (2/1)
Race 6: 62.2% of the units secured the dividend – 4/7* (Win only)
Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Fontwell:
Leg 1 (2.15): 3 (Westerbee) & 2 (Carraigin Aonair)
Leg 2 (2.45): 3 (Diakali) & 1 (Our Three Sons)
Leg 3 (3.15): 2 (Peculiar Places), 1 (Double Treasure) & 3 (Pontresina)
Leg 4 (3.45): 4 (Innocent Girl) & 7 (Brown Bear)
Leg 5 (4.15): 3 (Bagging Turf), 9 (Roparta Avenue) & 1 (Mogestic)
Leg 6 (4.45): 6 (Mason Dixon), 1 (Chantra Rose) & 7 (Findusatgorcombe)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
2.15: It is not usual to find (respectfully) the name of Seamus Mullins featured in the top ten NH trainers list in terms of the number of winners this season (eight in total), but that is a fact as we contemplate a disappointing day of sport this morning. Only the race planners will know why we have three NH cards on offer today and none on the flat (turf racing). Just two horses have been declared in the first race at Bangor and I wonder how many would be entered in a flat (turf) race at Sandown on semi frozen ground in January? It beggars belief with the bowl out as they say oop north! Back to Seamus at Fontwell by suggesting this his entry WESTERBEE can go close in a race which should not prove difficult to win. The ‘dark horse’ in the race is CARRAIGIN AONAIR from the shrewd Olly Murphy yard which knows how to place its horses to winning effect – and then some!
Favourite factor: The opening race is a new contest on the Fontwell card.
2.45: This is not a bad turnout at all, though whether a winner will emerge as Black Corton did last year before setting out a grand sequence of efforts we will have to wait and see. If that scenario evolves, it would likely stem from a success for DIAKALI who represents ‘local’ trainer Gary Moore. Richard Johnson takes the ride which is only the fifth time that the champion jockey has ridden for Gary (without a winner) during the last five years. That said, the partnership has teamed up to winning effect nine times down the years and the booking takes the eye today. OUR THREE SONS has less to prove and appears to be the main threat.
Favourite factor: Five of the six market leaders have claimed Placepot positions having won their respective events.
3.15: Jamie Snowden saddles Our Three Sons in the previous race on the card and the trainer has definite claims here as well, having declared DOUBLE TREASURE to contest a race over timber for the first time in the thick end of two years. Jamie’s seven-year-old inmate was running of an official mark of 108 in those days which gives him something to find here against the likes of PONTRESINA and (to a fashion) Present Destiny. That said, Gavin Sheehan’s mount has subsequently improved a great deal though with PECULIAR PLACES having attracted overnight support, we can take nothing for granted in an interesting heat.
Favourite factor: All three (8/13, 4/6 & 15/8) favourites have prevailed thus far.
3.45: Seven-year-olds have won three of the last six renewals and lone vintage representative BROWN BEAR brings plenty of fast ground form into the race, whereby Nick Gifford’s local raider looks sure to be there or thereabouts turning for home on the final circuit at this unique venue. The figure of eight course (steeplechases) is the only track like it in the country, since Windsor ceased its interest in NH racing – wait for it – twenty years ago! I have a wonderful ‘obituary’ article about the day that Windsor closed its doors on the jump racing scene if you would like to contact me via a direct message on my Twitter page – it is well worth a read. Back to this event by suggesting that INNOCENT GIRL is the threat to the seven-year-old record in the contest.
Favourite factor: Six of the last eight favourites have obliged, though the other two (even money & 2/1) market leaders finished out of the frame during the period.
Record of the two course winners in the fourth contest on the card:
1/1—Innocent Girl (good)
3/9—Brown Bear (2 x good & good to firm)
4.15: Seamus Mullins was mentioned positively in despatches earlier and the trainer has another chance on the card with MOGESTIC, though Gary Moore has a potential ‘springer’ in the contest having declared BAGGING TURF with claims on the best of his form from yesteryear. ROPARTA AVENUE has his ground (his only two victories have been recorded on good going) and can rarely be left out of the equation in this grade/company.
Favourite factor: Three of the five favourites (via four renewals) have secured Placepot positions though that said, three of the four gold medallists were returned at odds of 20/1, 12/1 & 8/1 alongside a successful 5/2 market leader.
Record of the course winner in the field:
1/6—Roparta Avenue (good)
4.45: MASON DIXON looks a typical ‘rerouted’ Tim Vaughan raider ready to pounce to winning effect, especially with Richard Johnson having been booked to ride. There are worse outsiders on the card than FINDUSATGORCOMBE on this ground, whilst CHANTARA ROSE is a definite player with Peter Bowen having saddled four of this last five runners to winning effect. Peter’s nine-year-old-mate is his only runner until Friday (earliest) this week.
Favourite factor: Six of the eight winners have been sent off at a top price of 7/2, statistics which include four successful market leaders.
Record of the three course winners in the Placepot finale:
2/4—Champagne George (good to soft & soft)
2/7—Lee Side Lady (soft & heavy)
1/1—Findusatgorcombe (good to firm)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.