Daily Stat Pack

Daily Stat Pack, 5th June 2013

Daily Stat Pack

Daily Stat Pack

WEDNESDAY 05/06: (full racecards here)

Ayr:

25% (7/28) favourites obliged during the first four flat meetings at Ayr last year during which time, 25/28 winners were returned at a top price of 9/1. Kevin Ryan (11/8-9/1-11/2), Charlie Hills (11/4-7/2*-10/1)) and David Barron (6/5*-11/2-7/2) led the way in the training sector during the study period with three winners apiece.

Ripon:

RIPON DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Ripon: 35

Favourite stats: 9 (25.7%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 0/3

Leading trainers of winners at Ripon in 2013 (includes one dead-heat):

4/10--David Barron (2/1*-16/1-5/2-7/2)

4/16--David O'Meara (6/4*-4/1**-5/1-9/4*)

4/18--R. Fahey (13/8-9/4*-5/4*-5/2)

2/9--Mick Channon (9/2 & 10/3)

2/13--Kevin Ryan (5/2 & 16/1)

1/1--Tony Carroll (11/4)

1/1--Luca Cumani (6/4*)

1/1--David Lanigan (11/10)

1/1--Karen McLintock (17/2)

1/1--Olly Stevens (5/4*)

32/36 winners (88.9%) were returned at odds of 10/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

4--Richard Fahey (5/2-4/1**-15/8-5/2**)

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3--David O'Meara (7/2-7/2**-5/2**)

2--Tim Easterby (15/8** & 11/4)

2--John Quinn (4/1*** & 15/8**)

2--Saeed Bin Suroor (7/2 & 10/11)

6.45: Three of the last ten renewals have fallen the way of the favourites, the biggest priced winner being returned two years ago at 8/1. Eight of the last nine market leaders have finished in the frame (exact science), statistics which include two successful (11/8 & 8/11) favourites. Kevin Ryan saddles his Sleeping Indian newcomer Tahomo having secured back to back victories in the race in 2007/8.

7.15: Four-year-olds lead their elders 6-3 via eight renewals in a race which is confined to the two vintages which offers a pleasant change. Four-year-olds are 4/7 to extend their lead on this occasion via declarations before the form book is consulted. Five of the last ten favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include one clear market leader and one joint favourite.

7.45: Eight of the last ten winners were returned at odds of 8/1 or less during which
time, three favourites have won, with market leaders having prevailed twice in the last three years. That said, the last four market leaders not to have won their respective events have finished out with the washing.

8.15: Two of the five favourites (via four renewals) have secured toteplacepot positions, both market leaders having won their respective events.

8.45: The last ten winners had scored at odds of 5/1 or less before last year's 50/1 gold medallist reared its ugly head. Five favourites have obliged during the last eleven years, whilst three-year-olds lead the four-year-olds 8-2 via results during the last decade.

9.15: Five of the last six winners have carried weights of 9-1 or more, whilst just one
favourite has prevailed during the last eleven years.

 

Kempton (A/W):

Last week’s Kempton winner Expert Fighter was backed in from 8/1 to 5/2 following a mention in dispatches here and I see no reason to disregard Saeed Bin Suroor’s Future Reference who like last week’s scorer, was Saeed’s only runner on the card at the time of writing.

 

Southwell (A/W):

The 25% strike rate of Jo Hughes (via sixteen winners during the last five years) at Southwell makes for impressive enough reading, notwithstanding her LSP reading of thirty-one points into the bargain. Jo has declared Left Defender (3.00) and Harbour Pilot (3.30) on the card.
 

Newton Abbot:

NEWTON ABBOT DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Newton Abbot: 35
Favourite stats: 13 (42.8% of races--includes joint and co favourites)
Odds on ratio: 4/6

Trainers of most winners at Newton Abbot in 2013:
3--Jonjo O'Neill (4/1-3/1*-6/1)
2--R. Barber (10/11* & 11/8*)
2--Susan Gardner (14/1 & 9/2*)
2--Philip Hobbs (11/4** & 11/1)
2--Paul Nicholls (1/2* & 9/4)
2--Fergal O'Brien (10/1 & 9/1)

32/35 winners (91.4%) to date were returned at 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:
4--Paul Nicholls (9/4-6/4-2/1**-2/7)
2--Colin Tizzard (2/1 & 6/4)
2--Tim Vaughan (10/3 & 4/6)
2--Nicky Henderson (5/4 & 11/4)