Daily Stat Pack

Daily Stat Pack, 20th June 2013

Daily Stat Pack

Daily Stat Pack

THURSDAY 20/06: (full racecards here)

Royal Ascot (Day 3)

The festival so far:  

Number of races: 12

Favourite stats: 2 (16.7%)

Odds on ratio: None to date

Trainers of winners: 

3/16--Aidan O'Brien (20/1-9/2*-15/2)

1/1--Edward Lynam (6/1)

1/1--Jonjo O'Neill (9/1)

1/1--Jonathan Portman (11/1)

1/2--Jim Bolger (5/4*)

1/2--Clive Brittain (6/1)

1/2--Olly Stevens (16/1)

1/2--David Watchman (10/3)

1/3--George Baker (33/1)

1/3--Roger Charlton (11/4)

9/12 winners (75.0%) to date have scored at odds of 11/1 or less 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

2--Aidan O'Brien (5/2)

2--Lady Cecil (4/1--collective stats at Royal Ascot this week: 0/2)

1--Andrew Balding (10/1***--collective stats this week: 0/5)

1--Clive Cox (4/1--collective stats this week: 0/4)

1--William Haggas (10/1***--collective stats this week: 0/7)

1--Richard Hannon (4/1--collective stats this week: 0/21)

1--M.F. De Kock (11/4--collective stats this week: 0/1)

1--H. Graham Motion (5/4--collective stats this week: 0/1)

1--David O'Meara (10/1***--collective stats this week: 0/7)

1--Sir Michael Stoute (6/1--collective stats this week: 0/3)

Successful sires:

2--War Front

1--Dandy Man

1--Danehill Dancer

1--Dubawi

1--Exceed And Excel

1--Iffraaj

1--Kyllachy

1--Lucky Story

1--New Approach

1--Oasis Dream

1--Selkirk

ASCOT DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Ascot: 30   5 MEETINGS--UP TO DATE

Favourite stats: 5 (16.7%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 0/1

Trainers of winners at Ascot in 2013:

3/5--Clive Brittain (8/1-6/1-7/2)

3/16--Aidan O'Brien (20/1-9/2*-15/2)

3/33--Richard Hannon (7/1-7/2-5/2)

2/9--Mark Johnston (6/1 & 11/4*)

1/1--Paul Cole (11/1)

1/1--Edward Lynam (8/1)

1/1--Jonjo O'Neill (9/1)

1/1--Jonathan Portman (11/1)

1/1--Olly Stevens (16/1)

1/1--Ian Williams (13/2)

24/30 winners (80.0%) were returned at odds of 11/1 or less

Trainers of beaten favourites:

4--Richard Hannon (10/11-3/1-2/1-4/1)

2--Lady Cecil (4/1 & 11/4)

2--John Gosden (4/1 & 5/2)

2--William Haggas (11/8 & 10/1***)

2--Aidan O'Brien (5/2 twice)

2--David O'Meara (5/1 & 10/1***)

2--Sir Michael Stoute (5/2 & 6/1)

 

Last year’s toteplacepot dividend on Thursday: £1505.80

Average toteplacepot dividend for Thursday over the last 11 years: £936.92

2.30: Norfolk Stakes: Nine of the seventeen favourites during the last fifteen years claimed toteplacepot positions, statistics which include four winners.  Eight of the last twelve market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.
‘First three in the betting’ in the last ten years: 8 winners—8 placed—14 unplaced
Starting prices in the last ten years:
4/1 or less: 7 winners—5 placed—7 unplaced (63.1% win or placed)
9/2 or more: 3 winners—15 placed—75 unplaced (19.3%)
25/1 or more: 1 runner in the frame (second)—36 unplaced

3.05: Ribblesdale Stakes: Just two clear winning favourites has been recorded since 1998, ’recent’ scorers having been registered at 25/1—22/1—14/1—12/1—10/1.  Thirteen of the eighteen market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions in the process.  It is interesting that Aidan O’Brien was responsible for three of the fifteen five day acceptors for the race, given that Aidan has yet to saddle the winner of the Ribblesdale Stakes.

3.45: Ascot Gold Cup: Eight market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions during the last sixteen years, statistics which include six successful favourites during the period. Aidan O’Brien has won five of the last seven contests with an 8/1 representative having been beaten a neck in 2010.  This year’s race looks to be an exceptionally weak renewal and with William Buick already jocked aboard the German raider Earl Of Tinsdal, the prize could be heading over the English Channel.

4.25: Brittania Handicap: The last nine winners of the ‘Britannia’ have carried weights of 8-10 or more.  The record of favourites in this event is plenty good enough given the competitive nature of the contest on an annual basis. Four clear market leaders have prevailed in the last sixteen years, alongside a joint market leader back in 1999.  Seven of the twenty favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions in the process.  Juvenile that were not over raced (preferably a maximum of three races) have a good record, with late developing horses particularly suited to this event.

5.00: Group 3 event--formally the ‘Hampton Court’: Four favourites has won via thirteen renewals, though the first market leader was withdrawn before a new market was able to be formed back in 2000.  All the other market leaders (aside from the winners) have finished out with the washing.

5.35: King George V Handicap:  Mark Johnston has saddled the winner of four of the last eleven renewals with the trainer holding six options at the five day stage. This was exactly same scenario which was in place last year before Mark prevailed with a 12/1 gold medallist. The last eleven winners have carried weights of 8-13 or less, whilst ten of the nineteen favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions during the last thirteen years (three winners).

 

Leicester:

LEICESTER (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Leicester: 50

Favourite stats: 24 (48.0% of races--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 6/11 (54.5%)

Trainers of winners at Leicester in 2013:

4/17--Richard Hannon (11/4-2/1*-9/4*-5/2**)

3/5--David O'Meara (7/1-3/1*-7/2)

3/5--Roger Varian (5/2*-8/1-11/4*)

2/3--Roger Charlton (9/4* & 5/6*)

2/3--Luca Cumani (3/1 & 10/11*)

2/5--Ed Dunlop (7/4* & 4/1)

2/6--Roy Bowring (9/2 & 8/1)

2/6--Mick Channon (5/2 & 2/1*)

2/7--Charlie Hills (6/5* & 7/1)

1/1--Alison Hutchinson (13/2)

1/1--John Quinn (10/3*)

1/1--Kristin Stubbs (11/2)1

1/1--Saeed Bin Suroor (9/2)

1/1--Nigel Tinkler (9/4*)

48/50 winners (96.0%) returned at odds of 11/1 or less to date

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

2--David Lanigan (5/2 & 15/8**)

 

Ripon:

RIPON DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Ripon: 47

Favourite stats: 15 (31.9%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 0/3

Leading trainers of winners at Ripon in 2013 (includes one dead-heat):

6/21--David O'Meara (6/4*-4/1**-5/1-9/4*-9/2-9/4)

5/12--David Barron (2/1*-16/1-5/2-7/2-11/8*)

4/21--Richard Fahey (13/8-9/4*-5/4*-5/2)

3/13--Mick Channon (9/2-13/8*-10/3)

2/15--Kevin Ryan (5/2 & 16/1)

2/12--Ruth Carr (6/1 & 9/2)

2/13--Richard Whitaker (17/2 & 7/2)

1/1--Peter Bowen (7/4*)

1/1--Tony Carroll (11/4)

1/1--Luca Cumani (6/4*)

1/1--Tom Dascombe (4/1*)

1/1--David Lanigan (11/10)

44/48 winners (91.7%) were returned at odds of 10/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

5--David O'Meara (7/2-7/2**-5/2**-7/2**-2/1)

4--Richard Fahey (5/2-4/1**-15/8-5/2**)

3--Tim Easterby (15/8**-11/4*-11/4)

2--John Quinn (4/1*** & 15/8**)

2--Saeed Bin Suroor (7/2 & 10/11)

 

Warwick: 

WARWICK (FLAT) DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Warwick: 25

Favourite stats: 9 (47.4%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 2/2

Leading trainers of winners at Warwick (flat) in 2013:

3/5--Rod Millman (9/2-15/2-7/2*)

2/9--David Evans (8/13* & 7/4*)

1/1--Tom Dascombe (8/1)

1/1--Alex Hales (20/1)

1/1--Ron Harris (6/4*)

1/1--John Jenkins (10/1)

1/1--Gay Kelleway (10/1)

1/1--Alastair Lidderdale (12/1)

1/1--George Margarson (10/1)

1/1--Tim Pitt (9/4*)

1/1--Michael Wigham (12/1)

24/25 winners (96.0%) returned at odds of 12/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

3--Richard Fahey (9/2**-3/1-7/2)

2--Tony Carroll (11/8 & 7/4)

 

Ffos Las:

FFOS LAS NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Ffos Las: 77

Favourite stats: 26 (33.8%--includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/7 (42.8%)

Leading trainers of winners at Ffos Las in 2013:

9--Peter Bowen (3/1**-3/1-7/1-11/4*-5/1-5/2-15/8-9/4*-4/7*)

9--Rebecca Curtis (11/2-4/1-16/1-7/2-4/1-11/10*-5/2-3/1-15/8)

6--Evan Williams (7/1-7/2-9/4-20/1-5/2-9/4)

4--David Pipe (3/1-2/1-2/1**-5/1)

4--David Rees (4/1-7/1-6/1-8/1)

3--Paul Nicholls (9/4-11/10-13/8*)

3--Jonjo O'Neill (9/2-7/2-3/1)

3--Nigel Twiston Davies (5/4*-7/1-4/1)

72/78 winners (92.3%) were sent off at odds of 8/1 or less

Trainers of most beaten favourites:

8--Rebecca Curtis (11/4-4/9-10/11-7/4-7/4-2/1**-11/8-11/4)

4--Peter Bowen (11/4**-9/2-7/4-11/4)

4--David Pipe (9/4-9/4-15/8-7/2)

3--Philip Hobbs (11/8-11/4-5/4)

3--Jonjo O'Neill (11/8-2/1-5/2)

3--Evan Williams (7/2-15/8**9/4)

 

Lingfield (A/W):

It will be interesting to see if Tom Dascombe confirms the five day entry of Saga Lout for the scheduled 6.10 contest, given the 1/1 Lingfield (A/W) record the Assertive gelding holds at the track.  Tom had very few runners involved aside from the main meetings this week (Royal Ascot, Newmarket and Newbury) whereby the potential declaration of his only option at Lingfield (Saga Lout) would be of interest, especially given Tom’s LSP reading of forty two points at the venue in recent years.