Sat TV Trends: 7th March 2015

This Saturday the C4 cameras are at Sandown, with the Imperial Cup their main race, plus they also head to Wolverhampton for two races that include the Lincoln Handicap Trial.

 

Sandown (RUK/C4)

2.00 – European Breeders´ Fund William Hill "National Hunt" Novices´ Handicap Hurdle Final (Grade 3) Cl1 2m4f CH4

12/12 – Won no more than twice over hurdles previously
11/12 – Aged 6 or younger
11/12 – Carried 10-11 or more in weight
10/12 – Officially rated 128 or less
10/12 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
9/12 – From outside the top 3 in the betting
9/12 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
9/12 – Priced 8/1 or less in the betting
9/12 – Irish bred
8/12 – Aged 6 years-old
8/12 – Favourites unplaced
6/12 – Won over this trip previously
4/12 – Won their last race
2/12 – Won by AP McCoy
2/12 – Won by Nicky Henderson
2/12 – Won by the Pipe yard
1/12 – Favourites
1/12 – Winners that went onto run at Cheltenham (3rd Martin Pipe)
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 10/1

TRAINER STATS:
Nicky Henderson has a 27% record with his hurdlers here
John Quinn is 2 from 5 with his hurdlers here
Gary Moore is just 7 from 75 with his hurdlers here
Oliver Sherwood is just 1 from 24 with his hurdlers here

2.35 – williamhill.com Mobile Cheltenham Money Back 2nd Handicap Chase Cl3 3m110y CH4

11/12 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
11/12 – Won over at least 2m4f (fences) previously
10/12 -  Officially Rated between 125-134
10/12 – From the top 3 in the betting
10/12 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
10/12 – Won between 1-4 times over fences
9/12 – Aged 8 or older
8/12 – Favourites placed
8/12 – Unplaced in their last race
7/12 – Priced7/2 or shorter in the betting
7/12 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
6/12 – Irish bred
4/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/12 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/12 – Ridden by AP McCoy
2/12 – Favourites (1 joint)
1/12 – Won their last race
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 11/2

TRAINER STATS:
Lucy Wadham is 2 from 3 with her chasers here
Alan King has a 20% record with his chasers here

3.10 – William Hill Imperial Cup Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) Cl1 2m110y CH4

12/12 – Won no more than twice over hurdles previously
11/12 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles previously
11/12 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
11/12 – Carried 10-13 or less in weight
9/12 – Aged 6 or younger
9/12 – Officially Rated 124 or higher
8/12 – Won over at least 2m1f (hurdles) previously
8/12 – Placed in the top two last time out
8/12 – Carried 10-7 or less in weight
8/12 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or more
8/12 – Went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (1 winner, Gaspara - Fred Winter)
6/12 – Ran at either Cheltenham (2), Sandown (2) or Ascot (2) last time out
6/12 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
6/12 – Won their last race
5/12 – French bred
5/12 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
5/12 – Won by the Pipe stable (have won it 9 times in all)
5/12 – Favourites
5/12 – Ran at Sandown (hurdles) before – 2 had won there previously
1/12 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
The average winning SP in the last 12 renewals is 9/1

TRAINER STATS:
Nicky Henderson has a 27% record with his hurdlers here
John Quinn is 2 from 5 with his hurdlers here
Venetia Williams is just 3 from 39 with his hurdlers here
Oliver Sherwood is just 1 from 24 with his hurdlers here

3.45 – EBF Stallions/TBA Mares´ Standard Open National Hunt Flat Race (Listed) Cl1 2m110y CH4

11/11 – Won at least one NH Flat race previously
10/11 – 1ST or 2ND in their last race
9/11 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
9/11 – Priced 17/2 or shorter in the betting
8/11 – Won just once before (NH Flat race)
8/11 – Won their last race
6/11 – Aged 5 years-old
2/11 – Ridden by AP McCoy
1/11 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 13/2

TRAINER STATS:
Nick Williams is 1-from-1 with his NH Flat runners here

 

Wolverhampton (ATR/C4)

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2.15 – Ladbrokes Lady Wulfruna Stakes (AW Championship Fast-Track Qualifier) (Listed Race) Cl1 7f32y CH4

7/8 – Won over 7f previously
7/8 – Won at least 4 times previously
7/8 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
6/8 – Favourites placed
6/8 – Ran within the last 3 weeks
6/8 – Drawn in stall 7 or higher
6/8 – Rated 105 or higher
5/8 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
5/8 – Won at Wolverhampton previously
5/8 – Aged 6 or 7 years-old
5/8 – Unplaced in their last race
3/8 – Favourites
2/8 – Trained by Marco Botti
The average winning SP in the last 8 renewals is 13/2

TRAINER STATS:
Sir Mark Prescott has a 29% record with his older horses here
Charlie Appleby has a 50% record with his older horses here
Roger Varian has a 45% record with his older horses here

2.50 – Ladbrokes Lincoln Trial Handicap Cl2 1m141y CH4

12/12 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
11/12 – Won over a mile previously
11/12 – Aged 6 or younger
10/12– Won at least three times previously
9/12 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
8/12 – Raced at Lingfield last time out
7/12 – Winners from outside the top 3 in the betting
7/12 – Came from stall 9 or higher
7/12 – Favourites placed
6/12 – Aged 5 years-old
5/12 – Won at Wolverhampton previously
3/12 – Won their last race
2/12 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/12 – Ridden by Jamie Spencer
2/12 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
2/12 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 7/1

TRAINER STATS:
Sir Mark Prescott has a 29% record with his older horses here
Mark Johnston has a 29% record with his older horses here
Charlie Appleby has a 50% record with his older horses here
Roger Varian has a 45% record with his older horses here

 

 

 

 

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More great winners this week..............................

"Tidestream: The favourite is out so that helps - Fourth run and first time into handicap company helps too - looks on a fair opening mark. We take off 5lbs too so that reduces his big weight. Has ability and should find this easier than recent runs. Will win races, but a bit harder to read this one so far with what he's doing at home, so we'll know a bit more after today."
Tim Vaughan 02/03/15 1st 10/1

"Azabitmour - Should improve for the step up in trip and Tom O Brien gets on with him well. Possibly not the best handicapped horse in the race but working well and hopeful of a good run."
Suzy Smith 02/03/15 1st 9/2

"Royale Django: Toby Lerone will be hard to beat - but the rest of the places up for grabs. We won on debut with this horse so has ability and was a bit better last time. Not a lot of depth in the race so will be hoping to land 2nd or 3rd here."
Tim Vaughan 02/03/15 1st 5/1

"Smidgen: Would have needed the run last time - not 100% sure Wolverhampton will suit, but has an okay draw (5) so hopeful."
Ed de Giles 02/03/15 1st 9/2

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