Sat TV Trends – 7th Nov 15

This weekend the C4 cameras are at Wincanton for the Badger Ales Chase, Doncaster for the November Handicap, plus also take in to races at Aintree – We've got all the trends for the LIVE races…..

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Doncaster Racing Stats (C4/ATR)

1.50 - Betfred Good Luck Hayley Turner Handicap Cl2 7f CH4

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Carried 9-1 or less in weight
6/7 – Carried 8-13 or less in weight
6/7 – Run at least 6 times before that season
6/7 – Won at least 3 times in their career
5/7 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
5/7 – Won over at least 7f before
5/7 – Officially rated between 88 and 93
5/7 – Raced at Doncaster before
4/7 – Returned a double-figure price
4/7 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
3/7 – Unplaced last time out
2/7 – Winning mares/fillies
2/7 – Favourites
The average winning price in the last 7 years is 13/1

2.20 - Betfred Lotto £100K Cash Giveaway Wentworth Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 6f CH4

12/13 – Had at least 6 previous runs that season
12/13 – Priced 12/1 or shorter in the betting
11/13 – Won over 6f before
11/13 – Aged 4 or older
11/13 – Won from stall 12 or lower
10/13 – Rated 99 or higher
9/13 – Won at least 5 times before in their career
7/13 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
7/13 – Won at Doncaster before
6/13 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
4/13 – Won last time out
5/13 – Raced at York (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
2/13 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/13 – Favourites
2/13 – Winning mare/filly
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 15/2
Jack Dexter won the race in 2013
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Windsor

2.55 - Betfred TV EBF Stallions Breeding Winners Gillies Fillies´ Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f60y CH4

12/12 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/12 – Never raced at Doncaster before
10/12 – Had 3 or more runs that season
10/12 – Won at least twice before
8/12 – Raced at either Lingfield (3), Goodwood (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
7/12 – Won over 1m2f before
7/12 – Unplaced last time out
7/12 – Priced 8/1 or bigger in the betting
7/12 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
6/12 – Favourites unplaced
5/12 – Won by an Irish-bred filly
2/12 – Trained by Ralph Beckett
2/12 – Ridden by Jim Crowley
2/12 – Favourites (1 co)
2/12 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 13/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was run at Windsor

3.30 - Betfred November Handicap Cl2 1m4f CH4

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11/13 – Raced at least 5 times that season
11/13 – Won between 2 and 4 races before
11/13 – Raced at Doncaster before (6 had won)
11/13 – Winners that came from draw 9 or higher
10/13 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
10/13 – Favourites that were unplaced
10/13 – Had won over 1m4f before
9/13 – Won carrying 8-13 or less in weight
9/13 – Placed in their last race
9/13 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
8/13 – Priced a double-figure price in the betting
4/13 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
3/13 – Won their last race
2/13 – Ridden by jockey Martin Dwyer
1/13 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11.5/1
Just 1 winning favourite since 1995

Wincanton Racing Stats (C4/RUK)

1.30 - Bathwick Tyres Rising Stars Novices´ Chase (Grade 2) Cl1 2m4f110y

10/11 – Favourites placed
10/11 – Won no more than once over fences before
9/11 – Priced 2/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Raced in the last 4 weeks
8/11 – Favourites
8/11 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
8/11 – Aged 5 or 6 years-old
6/11 – French bred
6/11 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard
5/11 – Aged 5 years-old
5/11 – Won their last race
3/11 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/11 – Won by the Pipe stable
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/2

2.05 - Badger Ales Trophy (A Handicap Chase) (Listed Race) Cl1 3m1f110y CH4

13/13 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
11/13 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
11/13 – Won at least two chase races previously
11/13 –  Had run at the course previously (4 won over fences)
11/13 – Won a 3m or further chase race previously
10/13 – Won between 2 and 5 times over fences before
10/13 – Placed favourites
10/13 – Won by a horse aged between 7 and 9 years-old
10/13  – Placed in the top four in their last race
8/13 – Raced at either Sandown (2), Wincanton (3) or Cheltenham (3) last time out
8/13 – Irish-bred horse
8/13 – Raced already that season
7/13 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
6/13 – Carried 10-5 or less in weight
6/13 – Priced at double-figures
5/13 – Won their latest race
5/13 – Favourites that won (1 joint)
4/13 – Won by the Pipe stable
4/13 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/13 – Ridden by a claiming conditional jockey (including 3 of the last 6 years)
2/13 – Ridden by Andrew Thornton
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 17/2

3.15 - StanJames.com Elite Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (Grade 2) Cl1 2m CH4

12/12 – Aged 7 or younger
11/12 – Won between 2-5 times before (hurdles)
10/12 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
9/12 – Came from the top three in the betting
9/12 – Unplaced in their last race
8/12 – Rated 150 or lower
7/12 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
7/12 – Having first run of the season
5/12 – Raced at Aintree last time out
5/12 – Carried 10-6 or less in weight
4/12 – Carried 11-10 in weight
3/12 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/12 – Trained by John Quinn
2/12 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
2/12 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 5/1

Aintree Racing Stats (C4/RUK)

2.30 – Betfred Hurdle Cl2 2m4f CH4

No previous runnings
Nicky Henderson has a 22% record with his hurdlers here
Peter Bowen is just 2 from 44 with this hurdlers here
John Ferguson is only 2 from 30 with his hurdlers here

3.05 - Betfred "Scoop6Soccer" Handicap Chase Cl2 2m3f200y CH4

10/10 – Aged 9 or younger
10/10 – Priced 10/1 or shorter in the betting
8/10 – Aged 8 or younger
8/10 – Won 2 or less times over fences before~
7/10 – Won over 2m4f (or further) over fences before
7/10 – Last ran over 6 months ago
7/10 – Rated between 119 and 130
7/10 – Carried 11-0 or more
7/10 – Favourites unplaced
6/10 – Raced at Aintree before
5/10 – Won their last race
2/10 – Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies
1/10 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/2

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