#2747696

maverick99
Participant

Day 15 Results: 6/29 + 12.87 Pts at BFSP less 5% Comm (Bellow Mome 3.45, Champagne Fever 2.48, Relentless Dream 10.70, Augusta Kate 1.24, Clic Work 19.00, Micks Maestro 6.73 )

Running total 73/382 +141.76 pts at BFSP after 5% Comm

Future, before I list today’s selections following on from your question yesterday. I had a brief scan of the results/data and the price ranges of the results. Have you ever heard of the Pareto principle? The Pareto principle (also known as the 80/20 rule, the law of the vital few, or the principle of factor sparsity) states that, for many events, roughly 80% of the effects come from 20% of the causes. To put this into a racing perspective broadly speaking 80% of the profits would be generated from 20% of the selections. So taking all listed selections with an early price of 16/1 or greater I found there were 69 selections (69/382 = 18.06%) and these alone generated 103.63 points of the current profit. (104/141 = 73.76%). Interesting 18% of the selections have generated 74% of the current profits and from just 69 selections. Puts all the “sinister” type threads into perspective.

Friday Day 16 29 Races – 50 Selections

Doncaster
1.25: Indian Brave (10/1)
2.00: Carlo Rocks (10/1), Tommy O Dwyer (12/1)
2.35: Special Catch (10/3), Azert De Coeur (13/8)
3.10: Lough Derg Leader (5/2)
3.40: Cadellin (50/1), Marten (9/2) Take to Heart (11/2)

Newbury
12.30: Bags Groove (3/1), Hidden Cargo (33/1), Jenkins (8/11)
1.05: Double W’s (9/2), Winner Massagot (8/1), Knockgraffin (8/1), Sirabad (9/2)
1.35: Clan Des Obeaux (3/1)
2.10: Ubak (12/1), Unowwhatimeanharry (13/2)
2.45: Tenor Nirvernais (15/2) San Benedeto (7/1)
3.20: Uncle Jimmy (25/1)
3.50: Any Drama (5/2), Classico Dais (20/1), General Bux (25/1), Waterloo Warrior (14/1)

Newcastle
1.15: Incandescent (10/1), Middle Kingdom (9/2)
1.45: Native Soldier (10/3), Al Yarmouk (10/1)
2.20: Statuesque (6/1)
3.30: The Lynch Man (20/1)
4.00: Initially (11/8)

Wolves
4.15: Llewellyn (16/1), Anieres Boy (13/2) Monsieur Jimmy (25/1)
5.15: Tayaar (20/1), The Grey Hobbit (25/1)
5.45: Snuggy (11/1), Flashing Light (14/1)
6.15: Volunteer Point (5/2), Dutch Destiny (13/2)
6.45: Waneen (3/1)
7.15: Oregon Gift (11/2)
7.45: St Patricks Day (50/1)

Dundalk
5.30: Toccata Blue (11/2)
7.00: Ollys Folly (14/1)
7.30: She’s Majestic (100/1)
8.00: Captain Cullen (20/1)
8.30: Imprimateur (40/1)