I’m certainly not going to argue after Lady Lydia yesterday! Will go 25/75 on Rupert Boy, but I also agree that a previous win over 7f is a big plus, and I will have a small bet on Fossa.
Won on it’s only appearance here albeit over 6f and in 2013, but shows up on the speed ratings, has plummeted down the weights and may have one last decent run in him.Jockey has placed five times in eight runs aboard, another 25/75 bet for me.
I’ve never been a layer by nature, but I’m wondering if we could develop a decent laying method from this. Yesterday we opposed Simply Me the short priced favourite, my reasoning was that his last two wins were over a mile and he was coming back in trip. He had won over 7f in the past but perhaps he now needs further, this is the report of his run:
Tracked leaders, switched left and soon not clear run, switched right and unable to quicken inside final furlong
It may be that there is a future in laying jollies that have never won over the distance, or whose previous wins/runs were over further. Today neither of the two at the top of the market have won over 7f, I’m not inclined to take on Tassaboq with Adam Kirby booked but would consider laying Limerick Lord.
Perhaps we can find out the record of jollies that have been beaten over 7f having never won over the distance before, or that are stepping back in trip. Chris, we need you!