#313439

sondrio2
Participant

you make an interesting point sunrise, a bad run of form, all be it for trainer, jockey or horse will undoubtably end and result in a winner, but as you say we dont have to bet,its prudent to keep our powder dry when faced with negative stats, i keep a worst case scenario table handy which shows how many losers i can expect to respective strike rates of systems i use, its a handy reminder that no system or selction method is infallable. if we consider that favourites win 30 odd percent of races, the wost case scenario for a strike rate of 35% is 16 losers on the spin before hitting a winner. it certainly makes me consider every angle every single time i place a bet.

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