#315233

maverick99
Participant

Thanks Chris. Glad that it was perceived as I intended. The beauty of what you accomplish with SOTD is fundamentally to identify horses that from a statistical view should be shorter in price than what is currently available – the price being an indicator of its probability of winning the race. That creates the value, which in turn leads to the profits. Conversely therefore it must be true that all selections may have a price point, whereby value/profits may not be as certain. Statistically I would contend that historically this price point based on your selections must be c.0.75 points lower than your recommended identified price. Obviously that doesn’t mean that individual selections will not win regardless of the price, but over time one should realistically think twice, before placing a bet if the original price has been missed and the currently available price is reduced by that 0.75 point margin.

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