Ray Thompson

I did the maidens yesterday from season start, one winner on 28th Mar, the rest in April. I recorded four separate types of maiden race: Auction, Fillies/Stallions/Geldings only, Funds and the biggie, Stakes.

From 45 bets, Auctions came up with two winners – 16/1 and 20/1, returning 38 (-7) at ISP and 25 + 32 at BSP (+12) so I think we’ll say no to that one for the moment.

Fillies etc, from 88 bets produced one winner at 16/1 (20 BSP). ‘Nuff said!

Funds better, with only three winners from 149 bets. 40/1, 18/1 and 20/1, which would’ve lost 68 points, but Betfair gave 110, 40 & 42 or 182.50 after the 5% commission, enough to show a profit of +33.50. However, I don’t think that’s worth the hassle.

Maiden Stakes is a different kettle of fish though, and bears further research which I’ll get started on today. 173 bets returned nine winners at 25/1, 22/1, 50/1, 20/1, 25/1, 33/1, 16/1, 20/1 and 25/1. SP returned 245 a profit of +72. Nice, but…

Betfair gave 31,32,100,32,50,60,26,32,42. Yum! A total of 405, profit +212. Now THAT’S what I call a nice profit for the first month of the season.

As I said in an earlier post, this could be something that only happens early in the season, before even the trainers find out how good or bad their charges are. If it’s anything like the NH, beginning and end of the season are when the big prices are to be had. However, I’ll continue to bring this right up to date and see how it all pans out. And probably worth a comparison with last year. Also, if the first month or so is similar to this year, then we should also look at later in 2014 to see how we might get prepped for this year’s last couple of months of the flat.

Tigris, some good work there, which I see is comparable to my mini (but in depth!) examination.

I have to beg everyone’s pardon now, but because of my Asperger’s and the attendant OCD regarding our national language, I am known as somewhat of a sarcastic pedant in the circles I frequent, forever correcting the wrongs I perceive. So, to my friend, the OED, which explains to us:

loose. 1 Not tightly held. 2 Not held together. 3 inexact. 4 Morally lax

lose. 1 Be deprived of. 2 cease to have. 3 BE DEFEATED. 4 Stray from… etc

Back soon… 🙂

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