#318557

Ray Thompson
Participant

The Autumn Equinox on 22/23 September each year appears to be about the start of the deterioration of winners at the popular end of the betting forecasts (and actual prices at the off) as more and more outsiders make their presence felt. There are also some big fields, which in turn mean a lot of contenders in each race. It’s difficult to find filters when a single 100/1 win every month or so returns high hundreds – and even 1,000/1 plus at Betfair. To catch these huge outsiders means having to bet on every eligible nag in every race, but as you’ll see, this need not be too painful once your bank is up and running. Yesterday for instance, I had a nerve-wracking afternoon after I’d placed 75 bets on at £2 each at Betfair. £150 is a lot to part with when there are so many races/runners on the day. However, my confidence in doing that was restored by the end of racing with five winners returning exactly double my original stake. Well, actually, after 5% commission was removed it was £285 added to my account, but still a decent £135 profit.

Anyway, let’s get ourselves into my TARDIS and I’ll take you for a spin back to 2010 for a look at the returns from all races containing contenders for the big prize. After my discoveries on this trip through time and race(s) I’ve seen things mere mortals could only dream of! Oh, hang on a mo’, erm, that was actually Roy Blatty in Blade Runner wasn’t it? Back to reality *cough*, and my decision to split First + Last (FL* on the grid) from Maidens, Handicaps, All-Weather and NH flat. You might be surprised at some of these, but you’ll recall that after specifying Flat TURF only, I mentioned a couple of times that other races (AW + NH Flat) sprang up with some massively priced winners in the first few weeks of the season. Well, they’re there at the last few weeks as well.

These are the complete results for 23rd Sept to November 6th in 2010. The First and Last are of particular interest for anyone who might be just getting into this or don’t wish to cover a whole day’s races. The F+L are indicated by an asterisk and refer to any contenders in the first and last race at each qualifying meeting of the day. I’ve some notes after these figures which will give you an idea of the sort of returns we’re looking at. Betfair prices are bracketed, and my, don’t some of them look fine!?!

2010 September 23rd: 16/1* (22), 16/1* (22), 20/1* (32). 24th: 20/1 (32), 21* (30). 25th: 20/1* (32), 20/1 (30),16/1 (24), 20/1 (32), 16/1 (24), 16/1* (25). 26th: 20/1* (32), 16/1 (22), 16/1* (23), 20/1 (32). 27th: 16/1 (46), 25/1 (42). 28th: 50/1 (70), 66/1 (140). 29th: 16/1 (24), 20/1* (32), 33/1 (240). 30th: 33/1* (65), 25/1* (40), 20/1 (32), 16/1 (25), 16/1* (26).

2010 Oct 1st: 16/1 (32), 16/1 (26), 20/1* (32), 20/1* (34), 25/1* (40), 16/1* (24), 25/1* (48) . 2nd: 20/1* (32), 16/1 (25). 3rd: 25/1* (40), 25/1 (40). 4th: 16/1* (23), 16/1* (25), 33/1* (70); 5th: 16/1* (25), 33/1 (70). 6th: 25/1 (40), 33/1 (70), 16/1 (25), 66/1* (250). 7th: 22/1* (36), 40/1 (65), 16/1 (25), 25/1* (55), 16/1* (25). 8th: 33/1 (65), 28/1 (55), 16/1 (25), 18/1 (28), 25/1 (50). 9th:

Sorry, just realised it’s my swim night; I’m sure you get the gist of this, back tomorrow to complete through to this year.

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