Unfortunately, Bulletproof got away at Exeter yesterday (won 7-2) and oppossing shortlisted winners has become an unwelcome habit this past week or so, and it just goes to show how betting psychology can effect even the most experienced of punters. The irony is that I had the horse down as a value punt as part of my alternative ‘value’ betting project which I’ve been paper trading since the start of the month with the following results…
L L W5-1 W2-1 L W4-1 L W7-2
8 Bets 4 Winners (50%) PROFIT + 10.5 pts (131%)
On to today’s shortlist, which is…
Newmarket 1.35 Quiet Reflection
Newmarket 3.10 Minding
Newton Abbot 3.00 Just A Normal Day
Quiet Reflection is a filly I like. She’s progressive and this is almost certainly her level. It’s only the fact that Karl Burke’s horses keep hitting the crossbar of late, as opposed to getting into the winners enclosure that puts me off, especially at such cramped odds of 10-11.
Minding won the Group 1 Moyglare Stakes comfortably last time out from stablemate Ballydoyle and has solid claims here. She’s bred to, and should stay the mile, as she’s by Galileo.
Just A Normal Day is not straightforward, being an idle sort, but he is progressing over timber. Stamina is unproven though and he’d probably be better on faster ground than he’s got today.
I’m going for…
Newmarket 3.10 MINDING
…as my best of the day. I’ll even put her up as a 1 pt recommended bet, and she also qualified for my value system at 2-1 BOG before posting.