Urcalin took a heavy fall at Kempton yesterday, not jumping fluently throughout, and was well beaten when eventually hitting the deck.
That takes the current losing run to 1 winner in 11 bets. Thankfully that winner went in at 6-1, so not too much damage has been done. This run must end at sometime though, so why not today, where the shortlist is…
Redcar 1.00 Je T’Aime Encore
Redcar 3.30 With Hindsight
Southwell 3.10 Brassbound
Je T’Aime Encore won a three runner apprentice seller at Chepstow back in August and does have the form in the book to win this. Gay Kelleway’s yard has now gone two months without a winner though and he’s not one that can be backed with confidence.
With Hindsight is progressing. Won a similar handicap when making all at Catterick last time and a repeat of that form would see him go close. May well get an uncontested lead here despite his outside draw, but all his wins to date have come on much tighter tracks than this.
Brassbound was over the top when last seem at Ascot in May. Has won here twice already and, if fit, would take all the beating with the the only concern being the fact that he’s set to carry 10-2 here.
I’m going for…
Southwell 3.10 BRASSBOUND
…as my best of the day. His last run can be excused, but the lack of a recent run coupled with a big weight means I’ll be putting him up as a highlighted horse as opposed to a 1 pt recommended bet.