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Any thoughts on the remaining races on day four?
14:10 Randox Health County Handicap Hurdle 2m 1f
2020 Winner: CH’TIBELLO (12/1)
Trainer – Dan Skelton
Jockey – Harry SkeltonSelection of Andy Newton Trends
Positives…
· The Irish have won 8 of the last 13 runnings
· 4 of the last 12 winners ran in that season’s Coral.ie Hurdle (Leopardsotwn)
· 13 of the last 14 winners were rated in the 130’sNegatives…
· Strangely, previous course winners have a bad record
· Since 1960 only 5 winners carried more than 11st 2lbBetting (14th February 2020)
Darver Star 10/1
Front View 12/1
Janidil 14/1
Pic DOrhy 14/1
Black Tears 16/1
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16:10 St James’ Place Foxhunter Chase 3m 2½f
2019 Winner: HAZEL HILL (7/2 fav)
Trainer – Philip Rowley
Jockey – Mr Alex EdwardsSelection of Andy Newton Trends
Positives…
· 25 of the last 29 winners were aged under 11 years-old
· 25 of the last 34 won last time out
· 8 of the last 11 winners came from the first 4 in the bettingNegatives…
· Horses that ran in a handicap race that season haven’t got a good record
· Avoid horses that hadn’t won a race under rulesBetting (14th February 2020)
Hazel Hill 11/2
Minella Rocco 6/1
Billaway 8/1
Caid du Berlais 12/1
Wishing And Hoping 12/1
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16:50 Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Handicap Chase 2m ½f
2019 Winner: CROCO BAY (66/1)
Trainer – Ben Case
Jockey – Kielan WoodsSelection of Andy Newton Trends
Positives…
· 16 of the last 20 winners carried 11st or less
· 14 of the last 16 winners had run at the Festival before
· 8 of the last 16 winners ran in the previous renewalNegatives…
· Horses aged 10+ are just 2 win from the last 24 runnings
· Horses that last ran 45 days or more ago have seen just 7 winners since 1990Betting (14th February 2020)
Lisp 12/1
Dynamite Dollars 14/1
Eclair De Beaufeu 16/1
Grand Sancy 16/1
Greaneteen 16/1
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17:30 Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle 2m 4½f
2019 Winner: EARLY DOORS (5/1)
Trainer – Joseph O’Brien
Jockey – Jonjo O’NeillSelection of Andy Newton Trends
Positives…
· 10 of the last 11 winners were 2nd season-hurdlers
· 31 of the 33 win and place horses were 1st or 2nd season hurdlers
· 9 of the 11 winners were placed in the top 4 last time outNegatives…
· Despite being named after his father the David Pipe stable has a poor record so far (0 from 19, inc 3 favs)
· Just 1 winning fav in the 11-year history (7/10 returned in double-figures)Betting (14th February 2020)
Ilikedwayurthinkin 6/1
Chantry House 8/1
Column Of Fire 10/1
Blackbow 12/1
Janidil 12/1“I suppose Theinval and Whatswrongwithyou will go for the Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Handicap Chase. They are solid handicap chasers but somewhat exposed.”
Nicky HendersonPRICE UPDATE (MONDAY 24th FEBRUARY)
14:10 Randox Health County Handicap Hurdle 2m 1f
Ciel De Neige 10
Chitbello 14
Aramon 20
Eglantine Du Seuil 20
Front View 20
Not So Sleepy 2016:10 St James’ Place Foxhunter Chase 3m 2½f
Hazel Hill 5
Minella Rocco 6
Billaway 8
Bob And Co 11
Caid du Berlais 12
Shantou Flyer 1216:50 Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Handicap Chase 2m ½f
Greaneteen 10
Lisp 10
Chosen Mate 14
Brelan DAs 16
Eclair De Beaufeu 16
Lady Buttons 1617:30 Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle 2m 4½f
Ilikedwayurthinkin 8
Column Of Fire 9
Five O Clock 1416/1 BAR
“Pileon has only had three runs over hurdles and won the last two very easily, albeit in extremely moderate affairs. His first run was maybe his best when he was fourth here in a good novices’ hurdle in the autumn. He will run in the Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys’ Handicap Hurdle I would imagine.
Phillip Hobbs
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