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Any thoughts on the remaining races on day three?
14:10 Pertemps Final Handicap Hurdle 3m
2019 Winner: SIRE DU BERLAIS 4/1 fav
Trainer – Gordon Elliott
Jockey – Barry GeraghtySelection of Andy Newton Trends
Positives…
· 8 of the last 10 winners started their careers in bumpers (6) or points (2)
· 10 of the last 19 winners were from outside the top 5 in the betting
· The last 9 winners were rated 138 or higherNegatives…
· Just 5 Irish-trained winners in the last 14 runnings
· Avoid horses with less than 6 runs over hurdlesBetting (14th February 2020)
Lisnagar Oscar 8/1
Phoenix Way 8/1
Sire Du Berlais 8/1
The Storyteller 8/1
Relegate 14/1
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16:10 Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate 2m 5f
2019 Winner: SIRUH DU LAC (9/2)
Trainer – Nick Williams
Jockey – Lizzie KellySelection of Andy Newton Trends
Positives…
· 27 of the last 32 winners were officially rated 141 or less
· 10 of the last 11 winners carried under 11-0
· Look out for French-bredsNegatives…
· Avoid horses that are yet to win at Class 3 or better
· The Irish have only sent out 4 winners since 1951Betting (14th February 2020)
Glenloe 12/1
La Bague Au Roi 12/1
Simply The Betts 12/1
Ben Dundee 16/1
Imperial Aura 16/1.
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16:50 Dawn Run Mares’ Novices Hurdle 2m1f
2019 Winner: EGLANTINE DU SEUIL 50/1
Trainer – Willie Mullins
Jockey – Noel FehilySelection of Andy Newton Trends
Positives…
A new race (Just four renewals)
Favourites have won 3 of the four runnings
3 of the last 4 winners won last time outBetting (14th February 2020)
Minella Melody 3/1
Lamarckise 6/1
Floressa 9/1
Dolcita 10/1
Colreevy 12/1
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17:30 Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Handicap Chase 3m 1½f
2019 Winner: ANY SECOND NOW (6/1)
Trainer – Ted Walsh
Jockey – Mr Derek O’ConnorSelection of Andy Newton Trends
Positives…
· Respect 8 and 9 year-olds
· 3 of the last 9 winners ran in the BetVictor Handicap Chase (Open Meeting)
· The last 8 winners ran off a mark of 137 or moreNegatives…
· Just three Irish winners for 36 years (but have won 3 of the last 6)
· Avoid Paul Nicholls-trained horses – he’s just 1 placed horse from his last 21Betting (14th February 2020)
Glenloe 7/1
Ok Corral 14/1
Le Breuil 16/1
Shady Operator 16/1
Truckers Lodge 16/1“Floressa is a definite for the Dawn Run Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle. She should have been second at Doncaster. I thought she ran a very good race and the winner, Lady Buttons, is a good mare. I think she has a great chance. Daphne Du Clos could run too, but she was not that impressive the other day and has a bit to do.
Nicky Henderson“Welsh Saint and Diablo De Rouhet will go for the Pertemps Nerwork Final. Diablo De Rouhet had a run over fences after he won over hurdles at Newbury, but he was so good in that hurdle race, I did not want to run him over hurdles as he did not need to go up in the weights. Welsh Saint needs to go up four or five pounds and his win at Haydock on Saturday was just the job. I think he would have a good chance.
Nicky HendersonPrice Update (Monday 24th February)
14:10 Pertemps Final Handicap Hurdle 3m
Phoenix Way 7
Sire Du Berlais 8
The Storyteller 8
Welsh Saint 12
Skandiburg 1416:10 Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate 2m 5f
Ben Dundee 12
Simply The Betts 12
Oldgrangewood 16
Spiritofthegames 16
16:50 Dawn Run Mares’ Novices Hurdle 2m1fMinella Melody 3
Lamarckise 6
Floressa 8
Daylight Katie 10
Dolcita 1017:30 Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Handicap Chase 3m 1½f
Le Breuil 10
No Comment 12
At The Acorn 14
Fitzhenry 14
Kilfilum Cross 144.10 kauto riko its a tracker horse of mine think its capable of a big run if it runs in this finished out the frame last year in this race could be a good ew bet at a decent price
sunchuI have never seen the Cheltenham Festival as a serious punting angle as it is far too competitive
I do however love to watch the festival as it’s spectacular to watch, but definitely a no no as regards of serious punting. .I’ll be having a go at my placepot and maybe an e/w L15 or L31, I think the races are to competitive and unpredictable to have any large wagers at, I’ll be placing a 10p perm on my placepot, somethink like 2x2x3x3x3x2 = 226 bets, favs do well in none handicaps at cheltenham so I’ll probably do somethink like fav and sec fav in those races, and put three outsiders i fancy in the handicap races, been doing this for a few years and been up every year but 1..
Good luck Lickybits
Don’t forget, everyone this tidy bit of kit from Matt
His MULTI-BET BULDER which includes a Placepot perm calculator
Great day , hope the favs and 2nd favs continue to place, not had this much luck in my place pots, hope day 3 is has good
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