Viewing 11 posts - 1 through 11 (of 11 total)
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  • #2801725
    TonyMac11
    Participant

    Any thoughts on the remaining races on day three?

    14:10 Pertemps Final Handicap Hurdle 3m
    2019 Winner: SIRE DU BERLAIS 4/1 fav
    Trainer – Gordon Elliott
    Jockey – Barry Geraghty

    Selection of Andy Newton Trends

    Positives…
    · 8 of the last 10 winners started their careers in bumpers (6) or points (2)
    · 10 of the last 19 winners were from outside the top 5 in the betting
    · The last 9 winners were rated 138 or higher

    Negatives…
    · Just 5 Irish-trained winners in the last 14 runnings
    · Avoid horses with less than 6 runs over hurdles

    Betting (14th February 2020)
    Lisnagar Oscar 8/1
    Phoenix Way 8/1
    Sire Du Berlais 8/1
    The Storyteller 8/1
    Relegate 14/1
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    16:10 Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate 2m 5f
    2019 Winner: SIRUH DU LAC (9/2)
    Trainer – Nick Williams
    Jockey – Lizzie Kelly

    Selection of Andy Newton Trends

    Positives…
    · 27 of the last 32 winners were officially rated 141 or less
    · 10 of the last 11 winners carried under 11-0
    · Look out for French-breds

    Negatives…
    · Avoid horses that are yet to win at Class 3 or better
    · The Irish have only sent out 4 winners since 1951

    Betting (14th February 2020)
    Glenloe 12/1
    La Bague Au Roi 12/1
    Simply The Betts 12/1
    Ben Dundee 16/1
    Imperial Aura 16/1

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    16:50 Dawn Run Mares’ Novices Hurdle 2m1f
    2019 Winner: EGLANTINE DU SEUIL 50/1
    Trainer – Willie Mullins
    Jockey – Noel Fehily

    Selection of Andy Newton Trends

    Positives…
    A new race (Just four renewals)
    Favourites have won 3 of the four runnings
    3 of the last 4 winners won last time out

    Betting (14th February 2020)
    Minella Melody 3/1
    Lamarckise 6/1
    Floressa 9/1
    Dolcita 10/1
    Colreevy 12/1
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    17:30 Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Handicap Chase 3m 1½f
    2019 Winner: ANY SECOND NOW (6/1)
    Trainer – Ted Walsh
    Jockey – Mr Derek O’Connor

    Selection of Andy Newton Trends

    Positives…
    · Respect 8 and 9 year-olds
    · 3 of the last 9 winners ran in the BetVictor Handicap Chase (Open Meeting)
    · The last 8 winners ran off a mark of 137 or more

    Negatives…
    · Just three Irish winners for 36 years (but have won 3 of the last 6)
    · Avoid Paul Nicholls-trained horses – he’s just 1 placed horse from his last 21

    Betting (14th February 2020)
    Glenloe 7/1
    Ok Corral 14/1
    Le Breuil 16/1
    Shady Operator 16/1
    Truckers Lodge 16/1

    #2801837
    TonyMac11
    Participant

    Floressa is a definite for the Dawn Run Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle. She should have been second at Doncaster. I thought she ran a very good race and the winner, Lady Buttons, is a good mare. I think she has a great chance. Daphne Du Clos could run too, but she was not that impressive the other day and has a bit to do.
    Nicky Henderson

    #2801839
    TonyMac11
    Participant

    Welsh Saint and Diablo De Rouhet will go for the Pertemps Nerwork Final. Diablo De Rouhet had a run over fences after he won over hurdles at Newbury, but he was so good in that hurdle race, I did not want to run him over hurdles as he did not need to go up in the weights. Welsh Saint needs to go up four or five pounds and his win at Haydock on Saturday was just the job. I think he would have a good chance.
    Nicky Henderson

    #2801997
    TonyMac11
    Participant

    Price Update (Monday 24th February)

    14:10 Pertemps Final Handicap Hurdle 3m

    Phoenix Way 7
    Sire Du Berlais 8
    The Storyteller 8
    Welsh Saint 12
    Skandiburg 14

    16:10 Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate 2m 5f

    Ben Dundee 12
    Simply The Betts 12
    Oldgrangewood 16
    Spiritofthegames 16


    16:50 Dawn Run Mares’ Novices Hurdle 2m1f

    Minella Melody 3
    Lamarckise 6
    Floressa 8
    Daylight Katie 10
    Dolcita 10

    17:30 Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Handicap Chase 3m 1½f

    Le Breuil 10
    No Comment 12
    At The Acorn 14
    Fitzhenry 14
    Kilfilum Cross 14

    #2802404
    sunchu
    Participant

    4.10 kauto riko its a tracker horse of mine think its capable of a big run if it runs in this finished out the frame last year in this race could be a good ew bet at a decent price
    sunchu

    #2802410
    yzahjh
    Participant

    I have never seen the Cheltenham Festival as a serious punting angle as it is far too competitive
    I do however love to watch the festival as it’s spectacular to watch, but definitely a no no as regards of serious punting. .

    #2802486
    lickybits
    Member

    I’ll be having a go at my placepot and maybe an e/w L15 or L31, I think the races are to competitive and unpredictable to have any large wagers at, I’ll be placing a 10p perm on my placepot, somethink like 2x2x3x3x3x2 = 226 bets, favs do well in none handicaps at cheltenham so I’ll probably do somethink like fav and sec fav in those races, and put three outsiders i fancy in the handicap races, been doing this for a few years and been up every year but 1..

    #2802496
    TonyMac11
    Participant

    Good luck Lickybits

    Don’t forget, everyone this tidy bit of kit from Matt

    His MULTI-BET BULDER which includes a Placepot perm calculator

    MULTI-BET BUILDER

    #2802513
    lickybits
    Member

    Tnx, made a small.profit on day 1, placepot wasn’t a big one but onto.day 2

    #2802547
    lickybits
    Member

    Great day , hope the favs and 2nd favs continue to place, not had this much luck in my place pots, hope day 3 is has good

    #2802557
    TonyMac11
    Participant

    Best of luck lickybits.

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