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Any thoughts on the remaining races on day two?
14:50 Coral Cup Handicap Hurdle 2m 5f
2019 Winner: WILLIAM HENRY (28/1)
Trainer – Nicky Henderson
Jockey – Nico de BoinvilleSelection of Andy Newton Trends
Positives…
· 11 of the last 15 were 2nd season hurdlers
· 9 of the last 11 winners hailed from the top 8 horses in the weights
· 11 of the last 14 winners hailed form the top 7 in the bettingNegatives…
· No winning favourite in the last 16 years
· Horses aged 10+ are just 3 from 305 to even place since 1999Betting (14th February 2020)
King Roland 10/1
Birchdale 12/1
Janidil 14/1
Not Many Left 14/1
Protektorat 14/1
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16:10 Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase 3m 7f
2019 Winner: TIGER ROLL 5/4 fav
Trainer – Gordon Elliott
Jockey – Keith DonoghueSelection of Andy Newton Trends
Positives…
· The Irish have won 13 of the last 15 runnings
· Respect Enda Bolger-trained runners (won the race 5 times)
· 18 of the last 22 winners came from the top three in the bettingNegatives…
· Debutants over these fences/course have a poor record
· Avoid horses aged 7 or younger – they are only 2 from 97Betting (14th February 2020)
Tiger Roll 13/8
Easysland 10/3
Yanworth 9/1
Elegant Star 12/1
Rathvinden 12/1
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16:50 Fred Winter Juvenile Handicap Hurdle 2m ½f
2019 Winner: BAND OF OUTLAWS7/2 fav
Trainer – Joseph O’Brien
Jockey – J J SlevinSelection of Andy Newton Trends
Positives…
· 11 of the last 15 winners had run just 3 times over hurdles before
· French bred horses have a good record
· 7 of the last 9 winners all came from the bottom half of the weights/handicapNegatives…
· Just 1 recent winner had last raced in January or further back
· Willie Mullins runners are 0 from 14 (just 1 placed in top 5 too)
Betting (14th February 2020)
Aramax 8/1
Wolf Prince 12/1
A Wave Of The Sea 16/1
Cerberus 16/1
Palladium 16/1
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17:30 Weatherbys Champion Bumper 2m ½f
2019 Winner: ENVOI ALLEN 2/1 fav
Trainer – Gordon Elliott
Jockey – Jamie CoddSelection of Andy Newton Trends
Positives…
· 25 of the last 27 had won last time out
· Respect Irish-trained runners (20 from 36)
· 4 of the last 10 winners were won by UK-based trainersNegatives…
· Avoid horses with 4 or more NH Flat runs
· 4 year-olds are 1 from 60 since 2000Betting (14th February 2020)
Appreciate It 2/1
Panic Attack 10/1
Ballyadam 12/1
Israel Champ 12/1
Ferny Hollow 14/1Interesting chat on Twitter (Sunday 16th February)
Were we all happy with Tiger Rolls’ comeback today at Navan?
Who do we fancy for the Cross Country? Anyone taking him on in the National? #racehour
”Grand comeback travelled well and will improve for it no doubt. Purely on price I fancy Yanworth for the Cross Country at about 8/1. As for the Grand National I’m hoping Discorama could come back to form and run well.”
”He’ll win the Cross Country but I’ll have to be against him at that price for the National.”
”That was a perfect prep run for Tiger Roll today. That definitely gave him a good blow in his first race. His jumping over hurdles was excellent. He will win Cross Country race at Cheltenham. GN I’m not sure about winning it. There other very good ones in that field.”
”Great first run done as well as expected would love him to clean up again and has a huge chance , main dangers are easyland cross country and kimberlite candy national personally.”
”It was a decent prep for the cross country! Hes obviously the one to beat but Easylands is a real danger and should be an interesting match between the two!
The National under that weight he has to be taken on surely!””Je suis Easyland.”
Gavin Cromwell has been forced to rule leading Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle contender Wolf Prince out of the Cheltenham Festival because of injury.
From Racing PostWolf Prince, who was second in the Spring Juvenile Hurdle at Leopardstown behind A Wave Of The Sea, has picked up a knock that will rule him out of Cheltenham.
Cromwell said on Monday: “It’s disappointing. He got a small knock at Leopardstown and I suppose we were being a bit optimistic and were hoping he’d be okay in time for Cheltenham.
“Unfortunately, Cheltenham looks as though it will come a bit too soon and we had to make that decision this morning.”
The injury is not thought to be career-threatening and Cromwell is hoping the dual hurdles winner can race again this season.
He added: “I’m not sure whether he’ll be back in time for the other spring festivals. I wouldn’t rule anything in or out at this stage.”
Might Bite
“He will hopefully go for the Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase. He had not trained with the other horses before Newbury. He had been doing his own thing, jumping all sorts of spooky things around here, and he absolutely loved it. I would like to get two practice sessions into him over the cross country course beforehand.”
Nicky Henderson“Palladium and Fraser Island are my two for the Boodles (Fred Winter) Juvenile Handicap Hurdle. I don’t have anything for the JCB Triumph Hurdle. I knew early on that I did not have a star among the juveniles but, then again, neither did I this time last year – then Pentland Hills and Fusil Raffles came along. That won’t happen again this year I can assure you.
Nicky HendersonTiger Roll
Elliott said: “Tiger Roll and Out Sam will run in the Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase. I was very happy with the way Tiger Roll ran on Sunday and, as you saw this morning, he has come out of the race very well. He would be the one horse we are all looking forward to during Cheltenham week.
“I actually thought that, given the ground, he would not run as well as he did on Sunday, as he had only been back cantering since 1 January. I thought he showed a lot of zest and jumped very well. He looked the winner between the third and second last, and then got tired. It was great to see him back and running so well.
“He will probably go over to Cheltenham now for a school [over the cross country course] and then it will be all systems go for The Festival.
“We are very lucky to have a horse like him. The odds are against him in the Grand National – four and a quarter miles, 30 fences and 40 runners. I am not worried about top weight. The handicapper had his job to do and he can’t have done any more than that.
“We may run him in Punchestown this year, but if he ran in a Gold Cup, I don’t think he would go out on the last circuit. He is just that type of horse, even though his rating suggests that he should be bang there in it. Hopefully, I am wrong, but I think he enjoys doing different things and jumping different types of fences.
“If he is one piece, he will stay in training next season and there is no reason why he can’t have a go at the cross country race again. He is 10 years of age and Michael O’Leary is not buying any more horses, so we need to keep as many of them in as we can!
Gordon Elliott“Appreciate It has done everything right on last couple of runs. He looks to have a big chance in the Weatherbys Champion Bumper. Although he is by Jeremy, he is a big chasing type. He gallops all day and has a huge cruising speed, which is probably what you need for Cheltenham. He would have to be one of our main hopes of the week. Ferny Hollow could also go here. He is entered at Fairyhouse this weekend, so we will see what happens there. Five Bar Brian had a good run in England, had a bit of trouble, and he ended up over here. He won the other day and I think there is a lot of improvement. I think connections would like to have a runner at The Festival. We will see how he is. To me, Eric Bloodaxe looked the best bumper horse in Ireland until his run the last day.
Willie Mullins
Price Update (Monday 24th February)
14:50 Coral Cup Handicap Hurdle 2m 5fProtektorat 12
Bachasson 16
Dame De Compagnie 16
Birchdale 20
Burrows Edge 20
Canardier 20
Ciel De Neige 20
Conflated 20
Easywork 20
Front View 20
Harry Senior 20
Janidil 20
McFabulous 20
Tamaroc Du Mathan 20
Thosedaysaregone 20
Traffic Fluide 2016:10 Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase 3m 7f
Tiger Roll 11/10
Easysland 3
Elegant Star 12
Rathvinden 12
Urgent De Gregaine 1216:50 Fred Winter Juvenile Handicap Hurdle 2m ½f
Aramax 7
Mick Pastor 12
Thyme White 14
A Wave Of The Sea 16
Cerberus 16
Palladium 16
Saint DOroux 16
Sir Psycho 16
Tronador 1617:30 Weatherbys Champion Bumper 2m ½f
Appreciate It 2
Panic Attack 10
Ferny Hollow 12
Israel Champ 12
Queens Brook 14
Ballyadam 16
Farouk DAlene 16
Fire Attack 16
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